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Joerg Kraemer, economist at Commerzbank: The recent strengthening of the euro, especially against the US dollar, is likely to continue in the coming months, which will reduce the price competitiveness of European products on the world market.Conflict Details: 1. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian forces occupied Komishuvakha in eastern Ukraine. 2. The Ukrainian military said it attacked oil refineries in Krasnodar and Syzran at night. 3. The Ukrainian Air Force said Russia launched 537 drones and 45 missiles during the nighttime attacks. 4. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russia attacked Ukrainian businesses, rocket and aviation facilities, and military airfields at night. 5. The regional governor stated that Russias attack on Zaporizhia, Ukraine, resulted in one death and at least 24 injuries. 6. Russian Chief of the General Staff Gerasimov: Russian forces are continuing their offensive along all fronts, and the task of establishing a buffer zone along the border between the Ukrainian Sumy and Kharkiv regions is progressing smoothly. 7. Russia and Ukraine are engaged in fierce battles over the key cities of Krasnodar (also known as Pokrovsk in Ukraine) and Konstantinovka in the Donetsk region. Other Developments: 1. Hungarian Foreign Minister: The European Commission has become a "Ukrainian Commission," representing the interests of Ukraine, not those of an EU member state. 2. EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Kallas stated that the return of frozen Russian assets to Russia is unthinkable unless Russia pays war reparations for Ukraine. 3. Ukrainian President Zelensky stated that Moscow exploited the lead-up to the summit to launch the attack and called for energy and banking sanctions. 4. Russian Chief of the General Staff Gerasimov stated that Russia controls 99.7% of Ukraines Luhansk region, 79% of the Donetsk region, 74% of the Zaporizhia region, and 76% of the Kherson region. 5. EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Kallas stated that EU countries have been asked to submit proposals for new sanctions against Russia next week.On August 31, officials of the Yemeni Houthi armed forces issued a statement saying that the group is ready to confront Israel after Israel launched an airstrike in Sanaa on Thursday, killing a senior official.On August 30th, local time, Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto stated after the EU Foreign Ministers meeting in Copenhagen that the EU and most of its member states are not interested in achieving peace and will continue to provide funding and arm Ukraine. The European Commission is acting as a "Ukrainian Commission," representing Ukraines interests rather than those of EU member states.On August 30, Russia and Ukraine engaged in a fierce battle over the Donetsk regions key cities of Krasnaya Zvezda (known as Pokrovsk in Ukraine) and Konstantinovka on August 29. The Russian Ministry of Defense released a video on the 29th claiming Russian forces used Grad rockets to strike Ukrainian positions in the direction of Krasnaya Zvezda. The Russian news agency TASS also released a video claiming Russian forces launched strikes against Ukrainian targets near Konstantinovka.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD consolidates above $2,000 as investors await initial US S&P PMI data

Daniel Rogers

Apr 21, 2023 13:52

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During the Asian session, the price of gold (XAU / USD) is oscillating above the psychological resistance of $2,000.00. After a gradual increase, the price of gold has leveled off near $2,005.00 as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States.

 

S&P500 futures have added some gains during the Asian session following three consecutive declines. As a result of Elon Musk's price-cutting frenzy, Tesla's revenue projections were gloomy, which dampened market sentiment. Near 101.77, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has extended its correction. The USD Index has been consolidating in a range between 100.90 and 102.03 for the past several trading sessions. Therefore, a move that exceeds the previously specified limit will be considered decisive.

 

The subdued USD index weighs on US Treasury yields as well. The demand for U.S. government bonds has increased as weekly unemployment claims have increased. The number of individuals claiming unemployment benefits rose to 245K, exceeding the consensus estimate of 240K. This indicated a softening in the labor market and bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not raise interest rates after the monetary policy meeting in May.

 

In the future, the publication of the preliminary US S&P PMI data will determine the impact of the Fed's rate hikes on the scope of economic activity. According to projections, the Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI will decline to 49.0 and 51.5, respectively. A preliminary PMI reading that is weaker than anticipated could impact heavily on the U.S. dollar.