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Spains manufacturing PMI for July was 50.2, in line with expectations of 50 and the previous reading of 49.7.August 3 – Swiss inflation slowed to its lowest level in four months in July, showing resilience amid rapidly rising costs driven by energy prices across Europe. Data from the Swiss National Statistical Office showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% year-on-year in July, down from 0.5% in June and in line with economists median forecast. Cost pressures from rising diesel and heating oil prices were offset by lower prices for a range of goods and services, including clothing and car rentals. Core inflation, excluding volatile factors such as energy, remained at 0.3%. The latest data contrasts with the Swiss National Banks (SNB) previous forecast of a moderate, temporary acceleration in inflation. According to sources, based on the current weak inflation trend, the SNB internally expects interest rates to remain at zero until the end of next year, barring any new shocks.Futures News, August 3rd: Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) Energy and Chemical Warehouse Receipts and Changes on August 3rd: 1. Pulp futures warehouse receipts: 356,739 tons, an increase of 3,672 tons compared to the previous trading day; 2. Pulp futures mill warehouse receipts: 20,000 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 3. Offset paper futures warehouse receipts: 2,758 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 4. Offset paper futures mill warehouse receipts: 6,520 tons, a decrease of 80 tons compared to the previous trading day; 5. Fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 1,696 tons. 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 6. Petroleum asphalt futures warehouse receipts: 11,290 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 7. Petroleum asphalt futures factory warehouse receipts: 18,210 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 8. Medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse receipts: 2,961,000 barrels, unchanged from the previous trading day; 9. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 5,000 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 10. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures factory warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day.August 3 – Following the Houthi threat that disrupted regional shipping, Yanbu, a key Saudi export port on the Red Sea coast, appeared to be experiencing its busiest day yet. Meanwhile, an increasing number of ships turned off their tracking signals as they passed through the vital Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Satellite imagery showed five Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) docked at Yanbus oil loading terminal on Saturday, potentially marking the ports most active day since the Iranian-backed Houthi blockade of Saudi ports two weeks ago. These photos were taken by the EUs Sentinel-2 satellite. Because the satellite only passes through the area every few days, continuous monitoring is not possible. Yanbu has become a crucial node for Saudi Arabia to maintain large-scale crude oil exports after the war with Iran severely impacted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Saudi Arabia bypasses the Strait of Hormuz by transporting millions of barrels of crude oil daily to the Red Sea via pipelines for export to global markets.Shares of UK-listed energy companies fell, with Ithaca Energy down 4.1%, BP down 2.9%, and Shell down 2.1%.

USD / JPY Traces Recovery In Yields To Rebound From a One-Month Low To 135.00, US Inflation, And BoJ Minutes Are Anticipated

Alina Haynes

Mar 13, 2023 11:42

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USD / JPY reverses course from the one-month low noted earlier in Asia, gaining bids to 134.50 during the first hour of Tokyo open on Monday. Despite this, the retirement of Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda has provoked hawkish demands for the Japanese central bank's next steps. The cautious tone preceding this week's top-tier data/events, such as the BoJ Minutes and the US consumer-centric numbers, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Retail Sales for February, may also present a challenge to pair purchasers.

 

The Yen pair's recent recovery may be attributable to recently higher US Treasury bond yields and a risk-on market sentiment, primarily driven by US regulators' efforts to contain the financial market risks posed by Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank. However, US 10-year Treasury bond yields recover from their largest daily loss in four months to near 3.75%, while S&P 500 Futures recover from a nine-week low.

 

Over the weekend, the US Treasury Department, Federal Reserve, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) collaborated to reduce the risks posed by SVB and Signature Bank. In a joint statement released minutes ago, the authorities stated that "all depositors of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank will be fully protected."

 

In a joint statement released minutes ago, the authorities stated that "all depositors of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank will be fully protected." Following the US government's late plan to contain the financial crisis, the S&P 500 Futures and US Treasury bond yields consolidate their losses from the previous day.

 

Despite the risk-on sentiment, rising hawkish bets on the Bank of Japan's next move, especially after Kuroda's retirement, appear to exert downward pressure on USD / JPY prices. Observers of the Federal Reserve (Fed) may be similarly undecided following Friday's conflicting US employment data. As a result, the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by more than 205K in February, to 311K, compared to 504K (revised), while the Unemployment Rate increased to 3.6% for the month, compared to 3.5% expected and previously. In February, Average Hourly Earnings increased year-over-year but decreased month-over-month, while Labor Force Participation increased.

 

In the future, Wednesday's BoJ Minutes will be crucial in affirming the latest hawkish bias for the Japanese central bank's next move, which, if in accordance with market expectations, could impact USD / JPY prices. If US consumer-centric data is stronger than anticipated ahead of the crucial March Fed Open Market Committee, USD / JPY investors may return (FOMC).