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On August 2, Russias First Deputy Permanent Representative to the United Nations, Konstantin Polyansky, stated at a Security Council meeting that UN staff were unwilling to take seriously the Ukrainian militarys attack on Russian civilian facilities, which undermined the UNs authority. He said: "In this case, the relevant staff of the UN Secretariat acted with extreme hypocrisy, feigning ignorance and evading responsibility by claiming they could not verify the authenticity of the information about Ukrainian crimes. All of this clearly undermined the authority of our global organization."On August 2nd, a full year since the Bank of England began its interest rate-cutting cycle, despite four consecutive rate cuts and the likelihood of further cuts, British households continue to face the highest borrowing costs in a generation. Analysis of Bank of England savings and mortgage data shows that Britons are spending £11 billion (US$14.5 billion) less annually than in July of last year. This loss stems primarily from two factors: First, the rate cuts have hit savers hard, significantly reducing the returns on their savings. Second, many homeowners have yet to benefit from the rate cuts, as they are still waiting for mortgages locked in during periods of high interest rates to expire. Edward Allenby, an economist at Oxford Economics, said: "Against the backdrop of slowing real wage growth and tighter fiscal policy, the lagged impact of past rate hikes on mortgage holders will continue to dampen consumption. The Bank of Englands rate-cutting cycle is unlikely to provide a significant boost to business investment and consumer spending over the next few years."DeepBlue Auto: Global deliveries of 27,169 vehicles in July, a year-on-year increase of 62%.On August 2, CNN reported that the United States plans to conduct the first large-scale test of its Golden Dome missile defense system before the 2028 presidential election, allowing the current administration to promote it as a political achievement during the campaign. The report indicated that the test is tentatively scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2028. An unnamed US Department of Defense official stated that this timeline indicates that Republicans want to have a demonstration to show during the November election. He also noted that completing the systems test preparations within such a tight timeframe is an "extremely challenging task," especially given the high technical complexity of deploying a new missile interceptor system. This test may only be the first phase of the Golden Dome project, and full deployment will take much longer.YouGov poll: Most Americans believe tariffs hurt American consumers; only 22% blame foreign manufacturers.

USD / JPY Traces Recovery In Yields To Rebound From a One-Month Low To 135.00, US Inflation, And BoJ Minutes Are Anticipated

Alina Haynes

Mar 13, 2023 11:42

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USD / JPY reverses course from the one-month low noted earlier in Asia, gaining bids to 134.50 during the first hour of Tokyo open on Monday. Despite this, the retirement of Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda has provoked hawkish demands for the Japanese central bank's next steps. The cautious tone preceding this week's top-tier data/events, such as the BoJ Minutes and the US consumer-centric numbers, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Retail Sales for February, may also present a challenge to pair purchasers.

 

The Yen pair's recent recovery may be attributable to recently higher US Treasury bond yields and a risk-on market sentiment, primarily driven by US regulators' efforts to contain the financial market risks posed by Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank. However, US 10-year Treasury bond yields recover from their largest daily loss in four months to near 3.75%, while S&P 500 Futures recover from a nine-week low.

 

Over the weekend, the US Treasury Department, Federal Reserve, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) collaborated to reduce the risks posed by SVB and Signature Bank. In a joint statement released minutes ago, the authorities stated that "all depositors of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank will be fully protected."

 

In a joint statement released minutes ago, the authorities stated that "all depositors of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank will be fully protected." Following the US government's late plan to contain the financial crisis, the S&P 500 Futures and US Treasury bond yields consolidate their losses from the previous day.

 

Despite the risk-on sentiment, rising hawkish bets on the Bank of Japan's next move, especially after Kuroda's retirement, appear to exert downward pressure on USD / JPY prices. Observers of the Federal Reserve (Fed) may be similarly undecided following Friday's conflicting US employment data. As a result, the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by more than 205K in February, to 311K, compared to 504K (revised), while the Unemployment Rate increased to 3.6% for the month, compared to 3.5% expected and previously. In February, Average Hourly Earnings increased year-over-year but decreased month-over-month, while Labor Force Participation increased.

 

In the future, Wednesday's BoJ Minutes will be crucial in affirming the latest hawkish bias for the Japanese central bank's next move, which, if in accordance with market expectations, could impact USD / JPY prices. If US consumer-centric data is stronger than anticipated ahead of the crucial March Fed Open Market Committee, USD / JPY investors may return (FOMC).

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