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May 5th - According to three sources familiar with the matter, US intelligence assessments indicate that the timeline for Iran to develop nuclear weapons has remained unchanged since last summer. At that time, analysts estimated that the joint US-Israeli strikes had delayed this timeline by up to a year. This unchanged timeline suggests that effectively stopping Irans nuclear program may require the destruction or removal of Irans remaining stockpile of highly enriched uranium (HEU). The sources stated that US intelligence agencies concluded before the 12-day war in June of last year that Iran was likely to produce enough weapons-grade uranium to build a nuclear weapon within three to six months. Following the June airstrikes, US intelligence assessments pushed this timeline back to approximately nine months to a year.According to the Wall Street Journal, "Big Short" Michael Burry has sold off his entire stake in GameStop (GME.N), after GameStop announced its intention to acquire eBay (EBAY.O).Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: With Federal Reserve Chairman nominee Warsh now serving as Chairman of the Federal Reserve, I believe the Feds culture and behavior will continue as they have been.US President Trump: Hundreds of millions of barrels of oil are flowing out of Venezuela.On May 5th, New York Federal Reserve President Williams stated that the Feds current accommodative stance reflects the likely long-term direction of monetary policy, while inflation dynamics have not yet reached the point where a rate hike needs to be discussed. Speaking to reporters after a speech in New York City, Williams said, "I dont see any indication from todays data that a rate hike is necessary in the near term." However, he added that given the current level of uncertainty, he believes "we cannot yet provide clear guidance on the direction of interest rates at the next few meetings."

GBP / USD Advances To 1.1950 As Investors Ignore Aggressive Fed Bets And Concentrate On UK Data

Alina Haynes

Mar 10, 2023 11:35

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During the Asian session, the GBP/USD pair successfully relocated its business above 1.1950. The Cable is attempting to extend its recovery towards 1.1950 despite investors' lack of concern regarding the United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Moreover, investors have begun to disregard the volatility associated with aggressive Fed rate hike wagers. Investors are aware that higher inflation could be contained by restrictive Fed measures; consequently, an increase in Fed interest rates is likely.

 

In the Asian session, S&P500 futures have extended their losses from Thursday, when investors were discouraged by higher taxes on corporations, billionaires, and wealthy investors. Higher taxes on corporations will reduce their Net Profit margins, resulting in lower dividends for shareholders.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell below Thursday's low of 105.13 on expectations that the US labor market is not as robust as previously thought. The US labor market may decelerate soon, according to an increase of 11% in Initial Jobless Claims and a quadrupling of planned layoffs by US companies. This may compel the Fed to continue its gradual pace of rate increases.

 

Notwithstanding, the release of the US NFP will be of the utmost importance to the market. The number of payrolls in the United States increased by 203K in February, as predicted. It is anticipated that the unemployment rate will remain at 3.4%.

 

On the front of the British Pound, manufacturing sector data will be intently observed. Monthly Manufacturing Production (January) and Industrial Production are anticipated to decrease by 0.1% and 0.2%, respectively.

 

Investors should be aware that the performance of the manufacturing sector in the United Kingdom has remained fragile over the past few months. This may compel the Bank of England (BoE) to pause policy tightening for the time being, allowing current monetary policy to demonstrate its impact.


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