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The Pakistan Army stated that the negotiations over the past 24 hours have made encouraging progress and taken an important step toward reaching a final agreement.On May 23, the Financial Times reported that mediators believe the US and Iran are close to reaching an agreement to extend the ceasefire by 60 days and lay the foundation for discussions on Irans nuclear program. According to senior sources familiar with the negotiations, the agreement would include a phased reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and a commitment to consult on the dilution or transfer of Irans highly enriched uranium stockpiles. The US would also ease its blockade of Iranian ports, agree to sanctions waivers, and phase out the freezing of Tehrans assets held overseas. A diplomat familiar with the negotiations stated, "The agreement seems to be moving in the right direction. It has been submitted to the US for review, and Iran is likely prepared to make further concessions on the nuclear issue." These signs of progress are attributed to a series of key meetings held by negotiators from Pakistan and Qatar with their Iranian counterparts on Thursday and Friday.On May 23, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Baghae stated that the core purpose of Pakistani Army Chief of Staff Munirs visit to Iran was to convey and exchange specific information between Iran and the United States. He said, "At this stage, all our core focus is on ending this war of imposition." Baghae indicated that the two sides have held several rounds of intensive exchanges of views on different clauses in the proposal. They have also conducted in-depth discussions on issues where they have serious disagreements. Given the consistently contradictory stance of the United States, Iran cannot currently assert that this negotiation process will undergo a fundamental change. He said, "Our views have indeed converged somewhat, but this does not mean an agreement has been reached; it merely allows us to explore a possible solution."On May 23, an Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson stated that the current mediation process with the United States is "time-consuming and laborious" because the USs hostility dates back decades. "We discussed some key points and wording where disagreements remain, and made suggestions, some of which are still under review, with all parties expressing their opinions," the Islamic Republic News Agency quoted Bagae as saying. Bagae also thanked Pakistan for its mediation efforts.Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: We are currently focused on finalizing the memorandum of understanding with the United States. Over the past week, the two sides have been getting closer, and we must wait and see what happens in the next three or four days.

US Dollar Index falls below 104,000 on China-inspired optimism and inconsistent Fed utterances in advance of US inflation

Daniel Rogers

Jan 09, 2023 14:43

US Dollar Index.png 

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) renews its intraday low near 103.75 as it extends the previous day’s U-turn from a three-week high during Monday’s Asian session. In doing so, the DXY expresses both optimism and mixed apprehension on the next move of the US Federal Reserve (Fed).

 

That Nevertheless, the risk-positive headlines from China, one of the world’s main commodities users, strengthen the market’s bullish sentiment as Beijing reopens national borders following a three-year suspension. On the same line would be the early evidence suggesting China’s strong spending throughout the Christmas season, as well as comments from People’s Bank of China (PBOC) Official suggesting optimism surrounding China’s economy conditions.

 

In contrast, negative US wage growth, ISM Services PMI, and Factory Orders data from the previous day depressed Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar Index (DXY). Nonetheless, the headline US Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate data for December were positive.

 

Raphael Bostic, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, highlighted dangers of a US economic slowdown in response to the mixed statistics, while Charles Evans, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, recommended a 0.50% rate hike in December. In addition, Kansas City Fed President Esther George underscored inflation fears, while Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Thomas Barkin praised the last two months of inflation figures as "a move in the right direction" but emphasized inflation anxieties due to the higher median values.

 

10-year US Treasury yields fell 16 basis points (bps) to 3.56 percent, the lowest level in three weeks, after Wall Street ended higher. At the time of publication, intraday gains for S&P 500 Futures was 0.20 percent.

 

Moving forward, Thursday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December is emphasized by the mixed US data and a decrease in US Treasury bond yields, as stronger inflation readings could shift focus to the Fed's hawkish bets and force the DXY to rebound.

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