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On January 9th, a research report from CITIC Securities stated that the Hang Seng Composite Index will undergo a new round of review on February 13th, with the adjustments officially taking effect on March 9th. The Hong Kong Stock Connect will also be adjusted accordingly. We expect 38 stocks to be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, with information technology, healthcare, materials, and consumer discretionary sectors having higher market capitalization weightings. A-shares and H-shares do not need to wait for periodic adjustments; they can be directly included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect after a price stabilization period. Therefore, one stock may have already been included before March 9th. We also suggest investors pay attention to timing opportunities between the Hang Seng Composite Index announcement date and the Hong Kong Stock Connect effective date. Furthermore, since some arbitrage funds may position themselves before the Hong Kong Stock Connect takes effect, while passive funds often adjust their positions on the trading day before the effective date, some less liquid stocks may experience a surge in trading volume at the end of the day.Market news: South Korean President Lee Jae-myung will visit Japan from January 13 to 14.US Treasury Secretary Bessenter: We will not force institutional investors to withdraw from real estate investments.According to the Wall Street Journal, Nvidia (NVDA.O) has hired Google veteran Alison Wagonfeld as its first chief marketing officer.On January 9th, German Chancellor Merz stated on January 8th that the proposed formation of a "multinational force" to be deployed to Ukraine after a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine would not be feasible without Russias consent. Merz made these remarks after attending a closed-door meeting of the Christian Social Union (CSU) in Bavaria, southern Germany. He noted that the leaders of Germany, France, and the United Kingdom agreed in December to sign a memorandum of understanding with Ukraine regarding the deployment of troops, but this involved security guarantees for Ukraine after a ceasefire agreement. Merz emphasized that a ceasefire must be achieved first, followed by security guarantees for Ukraine and a long-term agreement with Russia; this order must be followed. All of the above would be impossible without Russias consent.

EUR/USD falls toward 1.0500 as the US labor market tightens and investors investigate Eurozone inflation

Daniel Rogers

Jan 06, 2023 11:19

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In the early Tokyo session, the EUR/USD pair is hanging at the critical support level of 1.0520. The major currency pair is projected to prolong its slide to around the psychological support of 1.0500, as the United States' tight job market has spurred the threat of the Federal Reserve (Fed) sustaining rising interest rates beyond CY2023.

 

Investors applied heavy selling pressure on risk-perceived assets such as the S&P 500 as the better-than-anticipated addition of new payrolls to the U.S. labor market for the month of December could accelerate wage inflation in the future. Risk aversion was encouraged by investors, resulting in a jump in the US Dollar Index (DXY). The USD Index jumped to roughly 105.00 due to a boost in safe-haven demand. A reduction in investors' risk appetite affected the demand for United States government bonds.

 

The Automatic Data Processing (ADP) agency of the United States declared a large increase in the number of employment additions for the month of December, from 150K to 235K, compared to the previous release of 127K. It is abundantly evident that increasing demands for skill will be satisfied by paying higher remuneration, therefore stimulating wage growth and leaving individuals with more spare cash. The declaration could bring about a price index recovery through a spike in retail demand.

 

In the future, the United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) statistics release will give further information on the employment situation. The Unemployment Rate is anticipated to continue at 3.7%. In addition, the disclosure of the facts regarding the Average Hourly Wage will be of the utmost importance.

 

Investors will eagerly scrutinize the release of the Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) numbers on Friday. In view of the fall in energy prices and German inflation, it is quite possible that Eurozone inflationary pressures will follow a similar trend.

 

As reported by Reuters, European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau noted in a New Year's address: "It would be desirable to achieve the appropriate 'terminal rate' by the summer of next year, but it is too early to say at what level."


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