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February 23rd, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Brent crude oil futures prices have retreated, attempting to find a higher retracement low as a base to help them gain the necessary bullish momentum for a rebound and further gains. In the short term, the main bullish trend remains dominant, and prices continue to trade above the 50-day EMA, further enhancing the likelihood of a short-term rebound. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), after digesting overbought conditions, has shown positive converging signals, providing strong support for Brent crude oil futures to achieve new gains.Despite the ban on European Central Bank staff receiving compensation, ECB President Christine Lagarde still received €140,000 from the Bank for International Settlements.Even as the US and Iran signaled their intention to negotiate, the risk of a US military strike against Iran remains. Russias Sputnik news agency reported on February 22 that, citing a former CIA operative, US media outlets stated that the US might launch a military strike against Iran on February 23 or 24.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.3 earthquake occurred at 12:34 on February 23 in Yuli County, Bayingolin Mongol Autonomous Prefecture, Xinjiang (40.97 degrees north latitude, 84.31 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 18 kilometers.Former Bank of Japan board member Makoto Sakurai stated that if the yen weakens again before the expected Japan-US summit in March, the Bank of Japan could raise interest rates as early as March. Sakurai said, "Intervention in the exchange rate will only have a temporary effect on curbing yen selling pressure. The best way to deal with a weak yen is for the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates." Sakurai added that further yen depreciation would push up inflation by increasing import costs and offset some of the downward pressure from government fuel subsidies. He further added that if a significant yen depreciation is needed, the Bank of Japan could raise interest rates as early as March, citing the expectation of strong wage growth from companies and unions in the spring annual wage negotiations.

In ahead of US NFP and Eurozone Inflation data, EUR/USD seeks a range break near 1.0600

Alina Haynes

Jan 05, 2023 15:11

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During the Asian session, the EUR/USD pair attempted to break out of the consolidation range it formed above the round-level support of 1.0600. Given the risk-on market mentality, it is expected that the major currency pair will continue its upward trend.

 

In Asia, S&P500 futures are indicating a modest retracement, but the overall risk profile remains sturdy following Wednesday's strong advances. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is languishing below 104.00 and is likely to continue on edge as further reduction of inflation expectations in the United States is expected to keep safe-haven assets under pressure in the short term.

 

According to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes, all Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers favored a more gradual rate of policy tightening. For Fed members to abandon their hawkish view on monetary policy, greater evidence of inflation moderation is required.

 

According to Reuters, the president of the Minneapolis Fed, Neel Kashkari, emphasized on Wednesday that the Fed must avoid hastily lowering the policy rate and reigniting inflation. In order to attain the inflation target of 2%, he suggested that the interest rate should peak at approximately 5.4% and then remain stable.

 

This week, investors will closely monitor the second catalyst considered by the Federal Reserve when crafting monetary policy. Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) are projected to be 200K, a decrease from the previous report's 263K. In addition, investors will pay attention to the Average Hourly Earnings (Dec) data, which is expected to be 5% lower. Given that consumers will continue to have more discretionary spending, a rise in wage expenses may cause the Consumer Price Index to grow (CPI).

 

Investors anticipate the release of the Eurozone's Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) on Friday. According to the consensus, the headline HICP is projected to decrease from 10.1% to 9.7%. Consensus has diminished as a result of falling energy prices and the government's one-time reimbursement of family energy expenses. Certainly, the European Central Bank (ECB) will be fascinated by this in the future.