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On January 9th, a research report from CITIC Securities stated that the Hang Seng Composite Index will undergo a new round of review on February 13th, with the adjustments officially taking effect on March 9th. The Hong Kong Stock Connect will also be adjusted accordingly. We expect 38 stocks to be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, with information technology, healthcare, materials, and consumer discretionary sectors having higher market capitalization weightings. A-shares and H-shares do not need to wait for periodic adjustments; they can be directly included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect after a price stabilization period. Therefore, one stock may have already been included before March 9th. We also suggest investors pay attention to timing opportunities between the Hang Seng Composite Index announcement date and the Hong Kong Stock Connect effective date. Furthermore, since some arbitrage funds may position themselves before the Hong Kong Stock Connect takes effect, while passive funds often adjust their positions on the trading day before the effective date, some less liquid stocks may experience a surge in trading volume at the end of the day.Market news: South Korean President Lee Jae-myung will visit Japan from January 13 to 14.US Treasury Secretary Bessenter: We will not force institutional investors to withdraw from real estate investments.According to the Wall Street Journal, Nvidia (NVDA.O) has hired Google veteran Alison Wagonfeld as its first chief marketing officer.On January 9th, German Chancellor Merz stated on January 8th that the proposed formation of a "multinational force" to be deployed to Ukraine after a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine would not be feasible without Russias consent. Merz made these remarks after attending a closed-door meeting of the Christian Social Union (CSU) in Bavaria, southern Germany. He noted that the leaders of Germany, France, and the United Kingdom agreed in December to sign a memorandum of understanding with Ukraine regarding the deployment of troops, but this involved security guarantees for Ukraine after a ceasefire agreement. Merz emphasized that a ceasefire must be achieved first, followed by security guarantees for Ukraine and a long-term agreement with Russia; this order must be followed. All of the above would be impossible without Russias consent.

As fears of a US economic slowdown mount, the USD/JPY exchange rate attempts to push auctions below 132.00

Alina Haynes

Jan 09, 2023 14:46

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During the opening minutes of the Asian session, the USD/JPY pair breached the immediate support level of 132.0. Given the severe volatility of the US Dollar Index, it is anticipated that the major will modify its auction profile below 132.00. (DXY). As Japanese markets are closed on Monday in observance of Coming of Age Day, the USD/JPY exchange rate may decline.

 

As the S&P500 futures have prolonged their upward gallop in early Monday trade, the market players' appetite for risk has increased. In addition, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is feeling more offers after President Evans' speech at the Chicago Federal Reserve that was less forceful (Fed). The USD Index has extended its decline to approximately 103.35 and is projected to reach a six-month low of 103.00.

 

Evans, president of the Chicago Fed, was quoted in the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) as saying, "It was likely that economic data would justify a 25 basis point raise in the policy rate at the Fed's next meeting," according to a Reuters story.

 

Friday, Atlanta Fed bank president Raphael Bostic told Reuters that the Federal Reserve's actions will depend on the status of the economy. In addition, he noted that "The US economy is certainly faltering" due to a significant decrease in housing and interest rate activities. In terms of policy rate forecasts, the Fed policymaker anticipates a terminal rate above 5% and the continuation of policy rate peaks until CY2024.

 

As reported by Reuters, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida indicated on Sunday that his administration and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) must reevaluate their relationship in guiding economic policy after a new BoJ governor is appointed in April. In a move that would open the stage for an exit from the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy, he stated that the government may reconsider its decade-long commitment to combat deflation with the Bank of Japan.