• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On May 9th, Futures News reported that from a macroeconomic perspective, Trumps primary objectives are to secure low-priced Middle Eastern oil, curb Irans nuclear program, and expand the dollars dominance in oil settlements, rather than perpetuating an energy price crisis. The likelihood of a macroeconomic upside is relatively high, but further analysis is needed. If the escalation of the US-Iran situation leads to a continued surge in oil prices and stagflation, the market will price gold as an inflation hedge and safe haven, thus boosting silver. However, weakness in the industrial sector will drag down silver, limiting its upside potential or causing a pullback. Conversely, if the Middle East situation does not lead to stagflation, and the Federal Reserve begins raising interest rates to mitigate inflation risks, silver will be under pressure. If US-Iran relations ease and the Strait of Hormuz resumes normal navigation, oil prices may fall significantly, and the market may price in a Fed rate cut this year, leading to an upward correction in silver prices. Overall, looking ahead to the second quarter, given the possibility of a breakthrough in the Middle East situation, the logic of a Fed rate hike this year may be disproven. Coupled with the supply and demand situation of regional market differentiation but persistent overall deficits, silver prices are likely to continue their moderate rise.On May 9th, NIO posted on social media to refute rumors that it had been summoned for questioning, stating that they were pure fabrication.On May 9th, JiKrs legal department posted on social media that they have recently noticed a group of social media accounts maliciously spreading information such as "eight new energy vehicle companies were summoned for talks," and using AI software to fabricate false information that JiKr had been "summoned for talks," which has greatly damaged JiKrs brand reputation. JiKr has not received any such "summoning" information. Regarding these malicious attacks and defamation, we have collected and secured evidence and will protect our rights in accordance with the law.May 9th - According to the latest data released by Cui Dongshu, Secretary-General of the China Passenger Car Association, my countrys automobile exports reached 3.28 million units from January to April this year, a year-on-year increase of 52%, setting a new record in recent years. The total export value reached US$56.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 54%, also a new record in recent years.On May 9th, World Health Organization (WHO) spokesperson Christian Lindmeier stated on May 8th that the WHO had initiated a response to the current Hantavirus outbreak in accordance with the International Health Regulations. In addition to the cruise ship affected by the outbreak, contact tracing is ongoing. Regarding public concern about the transmissibility of the Hantavirus, Lindmeier emphasized that the virus is not highly contagious and does not easily spread from person to person. Many people who have had close contact with infected individuals during this outbreak have tested negative for the virus, which sufficiently demonstrates that the risk of Hantavirus to the general population is very low.

The USD/JPY Currency Pair Swings in a 60-Pip Range as Bulls Reclaim 124.00 on a Positive Note

Drake Hampton

Apr 08, 2022 10:07

Tips

  • The USD/JPY is up 1.26 percent this week.

  • The greenback strengthens as investors shrug off geopolitical concerns.

  • Forecast for the USD/JPY Exchange Rate: As bulls, we are leaning upward and are aiming for the YTD high of 125.10.

 

As the Asian Pacific session opens, USD/JPY pair extends its weekly gains on broad US dollar strength. The USD/JPY remains strong at 124.15, after trading in a tight 55-pip range over the last three days as the Eastern Europe conflict between Russia and Ukraine enters its sixth day.

 

Asian market futures continue to trade higher, despite the ongoing Russia-Ukraine confrontation. Contrary to the positive tone of Asian market futures, which point to a stronger open, US equities concluded the afternoon in a divided mood. Investors shrugged aside Russia-Ukraine tensions on Thursday, despite Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's complaint that Ukraine's new draft accord submitted to Russia does not meet Russia's demands on Crimea and Donbas. Meanwhile, recent reports indicate that Russia is regrouping soldiers in preparation for another offensive aimed at reclaiming Ukraine's eastern territories, Donetsk and Luhansk.

 

The North American session on Thursday featured Fed speakers, lead by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who stated that the Fed is still behind the curve in its efforts to contain inflation. Bullard said that by the second half of the year, he would like to see the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) at 3.5 percent.

 

Later that day, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans indicated that "we (the Fed) will reach neutral by the end of this year or early next."

 

On the Japanese docket, the Current Account for February and Consumer Confidence for March would be the headline economic data releases. On the US front, Wholesale Inventories for February will be released on a monthly basis. 

USD/JPY Forecast: Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY continues bullish, but the average daily range (ADR) has been 55 pips during the last three days. Daily moving averages (DMAs) below the spot price further reinforce the uptrend, and it's worth noting that the 100-DMA at 109.48 is on the verge of crossing over the 200-DMA at 109.60.

 

With that considered, the first resistance level for the USD/JPY would be 124.00. If the latter is breached, the March 29 daily high of 124.30 will be revealed, followed by the year-to-date high of 125.10.


image.png