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On September 15th, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that in August, the year-on-year decline in new residential property prices in first-tier cities was 0.9%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month. Specifically, prices in Beijing, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen fell by 2.3%, 1.9%, and 2.3% respectively, while Shanghai saw an increase of 3.0%. In second- and third-tier cities, the year-on-year declines in new residential property prices were 2.7% and 4.1% respectively, both narrowing by 0.1 percentage points. In August, the year-on-year decline in existing residential property prices in first-tier cities was 2.7%, a decrease of 1.0 percentage point compared to the previous month. Specifically, prices in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen fell by 3.5%, 0.8%, 3.8%, and 2.7% respectively. In second- and third-tier cities, the year-on-year declines in existing residential property prices were 4.9% and 5.6% respectively, both narrowing by 0.2 percentage points.New Residential Housing Prices: 1. Beijing: August new residential housing prices -0.2% month-on-month (previous value -0.3%), -2.3% year-on-year (previous value -2.3%). 2. Shanghai: August new residential housing prices +0.4% month-on-month (previous value +0.2%), +3.0% year-on-year (previous value +3.0%). 3. Guangzhou: August new residential housing prices +0.1% month-on-month (previous value +0.1%), -1.9% year-on-year (previous value -2.2%). 4. Shenzhen: August new residential housing prices +0.2% month-on-month (previous value +0.2%), -2.3% year-on-year (previous value -2.9%). Second-hand Residential Housing Prices: 1. Beijing: August second-hand residential housing prices -0.1% month-on-month (previous value 0.0%), -3.5% year-on-year (previous value -4.5%). 2. Shanghais existing home prices in August increased by 0.3% month-on-month (previous value +0.3%) and decreased by 0.8% year-on-year (previous value -2.0%). 3. Guangzhous existing home prices in August remained unchanged month-on-month (previous value +0.4%) and decreased by 3.8% year-on-year (previous value -4.7%). 4. Shenzhens existing home prices in August increased by 0.1% month-on-month (previous value +0.2%) and decreased by 2.7% year-on-year (previous value -3.6%).National Bureau of Statistics: Beijings second-hand housing prices in August decreased by 0.1% month-on-month (previous value +0%) and decreased by 3.5% year-on-year (previous value -4.5%).According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the price of second-hand residential properties in Shenzhen rose 0.1% month-on-month in August (up 0.2% in the previous month) and fell 2.7% year-on-year (down 3.6% in the previous month).September 15th - The 2026 China Carbon Market Conference was held in Wuhan, Hubei Province this morning, and the "National Carbon Market Development Report (2026)" was released at the conference. Reporters learned that as of the end of August, the national carbon emission trading market had accumulated transactions exceeding 900 million tons, with a transaction value exceeding 60 billion yuan. The national carbon market has grown from nothing to a significant stage, playing a crucial role in promoting the achievement of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals.

The USD/JPY Currency Pair Swings in a 60-Pip Range as Bulls Reclaim 124.00 on a Positive Note

Drake Hampton

Apr 08, 2022 10:07

Tips

  • The USD/JPY is up 1.26 percent this week.

  • The greenback strengthens as investors shrug off geopolitical concerns.

  • Forecast for the USD/JPY Exchange Rate: As bulls, we are leaning upward and are aiming for the YTD high of 125.10.

 

As the Asian Pacific session opens, USD/JPY pair extends its weekly gains on broad US dollar strength. The USD/JPY remains strong at 124.15, after trading in a tight 55-pip range over the last three days as the Eastern Europe conflict between Russia and Ukraine enters its sixth day.

 

Asian market futures continue to trade higher, despite the ongoing Russia-Ukraine confrontation. Contrary to the positive tone of Asian market futures, which point to a stronger open, US equities concluded the afternoon in a divided mood. Investors shrugged aside Russia-Ukraine tensions on Thursday, despite Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's complaint that Ukraine's new draft accord submitted to Russia does not meet Russia's demands on Crimea and Donbas. Meanwhile, recent reports indicate that Russia is regrouping soldiers in preparation for another offensive aimed at reclaiming Ukraine's eastern territories, Donetsk and Luhansk.

 

The North American session on Thursday featured Fed speakers, lead by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who stated that the Fed is still behind the curve in its efforts to contain inflation. Bullard said that by the second half of the year, he would like to see the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) at 3.5 percent.

 

Later that day, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans indicated that "we (the Fed) will reach neutral by the end of this year or early next."

 

On the Japanese docket, the Current Account for February and Consumer Confidence for March would be the headline economic data releases. On the US front, Wholesale Inventories for February will be released on a monthly basis. 

USD/JPY Forecast: Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY continues bullish, but the average daily range (ADR) has been 55 pips during the last three days. Daily moving averages (DMAs) below the spot price further reinforce the uptrend, and it's worth noting that the 100-DMA at 109.48 is on the verge of crossing over the 200-DMA at 109.60.

 

With that considered, the first resistance level for the USD/JPY would be 124.00. If the latter is breached, the March 29 daily high of 124.30 will be revealed, followed by the year-to-date high of 125.10.


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