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May 5th - The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP) released the April China Bulk Commodity Price Index today (May 5th). The index showed that, influenced by improved supply and demand in some domestic industries and external factors, the index continued to rise in April, although the increase was narrower than the previous month, indicating that the bulk commodity market remained generally stable and continued its positive development trend. The April China Bulk Commodity Price Index was 132.1 points, up 1.7% month-on-month and 20.2% year-on-year. Among the 50 key bulk commodities monitored by the CFLP, 38 saw month-on-month price increases in April. Paraxylene, methanol, and polypropylene saw the largest increases, rising by 22.4%, 14.5%, and 11.8% respectively compared to the previous month.According to the Wall Street Journal, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman discussed spinning off the company’s robotics and consumer hardware division late last year.U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio will hold a press conference at the White House at 3 a.m. Beijing time on Wednesday.The U.S. Supreme Court granted a request from Louisiana Republicans, allowing a key ruling on redistricting to take effect immediately, without waiting for the usual 32-day formal process. This decision means Louisiana can suspend its ongoing primary process and expedite the redrawing of congressional district maps for this years midterm elections. The new ruling effectively allows states to eliminate "Black majority districts" established to comply with the 1965 Voting Rights Act under certain conditions. Currently, Louisiana has six congressional seats, two of which are Black majority districts controlled by Democrats, while the remaining four are Republican. This redistricting could have a significant impact on the electoral landscape.On May 5th, at approximately 8:54 AM local time, an earthquake with a maximum intensity of 3 was observed in Iwate Prefecture, Japan. The Japan Meteorological Agency stated that the epicenter was located off the coast of the Sanriku region, at a depth of approximately 30 kilometers, and the estimated magnitude was 5.2. There is no risk of a tsunami.

The USD/JPY Currency Pair Swings in a 60-Pip Range as Bulls Reclaim 124.00 on a Positive Note

Drake Hampton

Apr 08, 2022 10:07

Tips

  • The USD/JPY is up 1.26 percent this week.

  • The greenback strengthens as investors shrug off geopolitical concerns.

  • Forecast for the USD/JPY Exchange Rate: As bulls, we are leaning upward and are aiming for the YTD high of 125.10.

 

As the Asian Pacific session opens, USD/JPY pair extends its weekly gains on broad US dollar strength. The USD/JPY remains strong at 124.15, after trading in a tight 55-pip range over the last three days as the Eastern Europe conflict between Russia and Ukraine enters its sixth day.

 

Asian market futures continue to trade higher, despite the ongoing Russia-Ukraine confrontation. Contrary to the positive tone of Asian market futures, which point to a stronger open, US equities concluded the afternoon in a divided mood. Investors shrugged aside Russia-Ukraine tensions on Thursday, despite Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's complaint that Ukraine's new draft accord submitted to Russia does not meet Russia's demands on Crimea and Donbas. Meanwhile, recent reports indicate that Russia is regrouping soldiers in preparation for another offensive aimed at reclaiming Ukraine's eastern territories, Donetsk and Luhansk.

 

The North American session on Thursday featured Fed speakers, lead by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who stated that the Fed is still behind the curve in its efforts to contain inflation. Bullard said that by the second half of the year, he would like to see the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) at 3.5 percent.

 

Later that day, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans indicated that "we (the Fed) will reach neutral by the end of this year or early next."

 

On the Japanese docket, the Current Account for February and Consumer Confidence for March would be the headline economic data releases. On the US front, Wholesale Inventories for February will be released on a monthly basis. 

USD/JPY Forecast: Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY continues bullish, but the average daily range (ADR) has been 55 pips during the last three days. Daily moving averages (DMAs) below the spot price further reinforce the uptrend, and it's worth noting that the 100-DMA at 109.48 is on the verge of crossing over the 200-DMA at 109.60.

 

With that considered, the first resistance level for the USD/JPY would be 124.00. If the latter is breached, the March 29 daily high of 124.30 will be revealed, followed by the year-to-date high of 125.10.


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