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On September 4th, experts stated that as valuations of some companies in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector begin to appear overvalued, investors should focus on the productivity growth of AI companies. Jakub Nytra, founding partner of venture capital firm Purple Ventures, said, "We are likely to see a reshuffling as investors become more discerning about which technologies can create real value and which are merely functionalities disguised as business models." He predicts that capital allocation will become more selective over the next 6 to 12 months. Market concerns about a bubble persist because companies continued increases in capital expenditure seem endless, and extremely high growth figures raise questions about the sustainability of this expansion. Nytra stated that while AI can transform the economy, not every company that includes AI in its funding pitches deserves an extraordinary valuation. "The ultimate winners will be those companies that use AI to solve costly and extremely complex problems."On September 4th, it was reported that Zhipus launch of its official flagship store on Tmall has sparked widespread discussion. Data shows that within 48 hours of opening, brand searches for Zhipu surged 50 times compared to the previous period, driving a more than 160% increase in sales of subscription products such as AI tokens on Taobao and Tmall. Previously, Tmall launched the AI Space Station (Token Recharge Center), initially connecting major model manufacturers such as Alibaba Cloud, Zhipu, Kimi, MiniMax, and DeepSeek, allowing users to directly purchase related subscription services like "topping up phone credit."The National Bank of Kazakhstan lowered its policy rate to 16.25%, down from 16.75%. The central bank stated that there is limited room for further rate cuts.At midday closing, most domestic futures contracts rose, with ferrosilicon hitting its daily limit up, polyvinyl chloride (PVC) rising nearly 5%, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and palladium rising over 3%, soda ash rising nearly 3%, caustic soda rising over 2%, and alumina and Shanghai silver rising nearly 2%. On the downside, lithium carbonate fell over 7%, low-sulfur fuel oil (LU) fell over 2%, paraxylene and PTA fell over 1%, and SC crude oil fell nearly 1%.September 4th - The Cuban government announced a series of new policies on September 3rd to further reduce restrictions on foreign investment, foreign trade, and tourism, expanding the operating space for foreign-invested enterprises, joint ventures, and private companies. The new policies announced by the Cuban government include: removing the requirement for foreign-invested and joint-venture companies to hire Cuban employees through intermediary agencies authorized by the Cuban Ministry of Labor and Social Security, allowing direct employment; removing the requirement for joint ventures and domestic investors participating in international economic cooperation to obtain prior approval from the Central Bank of Cuba to open bank accounts abroad, replacing it with subsequent reporting to the Central Bank; updating import and export procedures to allow private companies to directly engage in foreign trade; relaxing restrictions on foreign capital participation in wholesale and retail trade, as well as investment in key areas and historical and cultural heritage sites; introducing tax incentives for ecotourism projects; and allowing foreign companies, foreign-invested enterprises, and non-state-owned entities to participate in tourism transportation and travel agency businesses.

The USD/JPY Currency Pair Swings in a 60-Pip Range as Bulls Reclaim 124.00 on a Positive Note

Drake Hampton

Apr 08, 2022 10:07

Tips

  • The USD/JPY is up 1.26 percent this week.

  • The greenback strengthens as investors shrug off geopolitical concerns.

  • Forecast for the USD/JPY Exchange Rate: As bulls, we are leaning upward and are aiming for the YTD high of 125.10.

 

As the Asian Pacific session opens, USD/JPY pair extends its weekly gains on broad US dollar strength. The USD/JPY remains strong at 124.15, after trading in a tight 55-pip range over the last three days as the Eastern Europe conflict between Russia and Ukraine enters its sixth day.

 

Asian market futures continue to trade higher, despite the ongoing Russia-Ukraine confrontation. Contrary to the positive tone of Asian market futures, which point to a stronger open, US equities concluded the afternoon in a divided mood. Investors shrugged aside Russia-Ukraine tensions on Thursday, despite Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's complaint that Ukraine's new draft accord submitted to Russia does not meet Russia's demands on Crimea and Donbas. Meanwhile, recent reports indicate that Russia is regrouping soldiers in preparation for another offensive aimed at reclaiming Ukraine's eastern territories, Donetsk and Luhansk.

 

The North American session on Thursday featured Fed speakers, lead by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who stated that the Fed is still behind the curve in its efforts to contain inflation. Bullard said that by the second half of the year, he would like to see the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) at 3.5 percent.

 

Later that day, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans indicated that "we (the Fed) will reach neutral by the end of this year or early next."

 

On the Japanese docket, the Current Account for February and Consumer Confidence for March would be the headline economic data releases. On the US front, Wholesale Inventories for February will be released on a monthly basis. 

USD/JPY Forecast: Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY continues bullish, but the average daily range (ADR) has been 55 pips during the last three days. Daily moving averages (DMAs) below the spot price further reinforce the uptrend, and it's worth noting that the 100-DMA at 109.48 is on the verge of crossing over the 200-DMA at 109.60.

 

With that considered, the first resistance level for the USD/JPY would be 124.00. If the latter is breached, the March 29 daily high of 124.30 will be revealed, followed by the year-to-date high of 125.10.


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