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On May 7th, CNBCs Jim Cramer stated on Wednesday that cloud computing giants absolutely cannot skimp on their investment in artificial intelligence (AI). Cramers comments came after some described the surge in data centers and AI-related stocks as a "build it and theyll come" model—companies aggressively investing in infrastructure in the hope of eventually attracting customers. However, Cramer argued that applying this famous line from the movie *What Happens When It Comes* to the AI boom ignores a crucial point: customers already exist, and cloud service providers eager to meet demand are working hard to satisfy it. "The key to this data center boom is that its not a fantasy story, because data centers are being built, customers are actually flocking in, theyve already secured their places, and the momentum is building until every seat is filled," he said. He cited Amazon as an example to demonstrate that a comprehensive AI strategy is no longer just a pipe dream. Cramer quoted Amazons CEO regarding the need for continued investment: "If you dont build this stadium, customers will go elsewhere, and youll miss out on a lot of business opportunities."The Hang Seng Tech Index rose more than 3% intraday, the Hang Seng Index rose 1.54%, Kuaishou (01024.HK) rose more than 7%, Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) rose more than 6%, and Tencent Music (01698.HK), Kingsoft (03888.HK) and Baidu (09888.HK) all rose more than 5%.On May 7th, according to foreign media reports, Malaysian palm oil futures fell for the second consecutive trading day on Thursday, pressured by weakness in rival edible oils, although stronger crude oil prices limited the decline. The most active palm oil futures contract fell 38 ringgit, or 0.83%, to 4,541 ringgit per metric tonne in early trading. The most actively traded soybean oil contract in Dalian fell 1.43%, and the palm oil contract fell 1.92%. Soybean oil prices on the Chicago Board of Trade fell 0.63%. In early trading, oil prices rose by about $1, rebounding from the previous days plunge, as investors weighed the success of the Middle East peace agreement. Stronger crude oil futures made palm oil a more attractive biodiesel feedstock option. The ringgit, the currency for palm oil, rose 0.26% against the US dollar, making it more expensive for buyers holding foreign currency to purchase palm oil. Analysts say Malaysian palm oil prices could rise by about 12% to 5,200 ringgit per tonne by mid-July, as the war between the US and Israel over Iran has led to higher energy prices, stimulating demand for biodiesel and tightening supply.On May 7th, Bank of America issued a report stating that HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) and Standard Chartered Group (02888.HK) will hold investor seminars in Hong Kong from May 19th to 21st. The report anticipates this event will be a positive catalyst for both banks, as management will showcase strong operating trends in Asia, particularly in wealth management and capital markets. The bank further noted that given HSBC Holdings winning position in the Asian market, its high-quality deposit business, and managements effective strategy execution amplifying its competitive advantage, the bank maintains a positive outlook on HSBC Holdings, giving it a buy rating and a target price of HK$158.25. Additionally, the bank maintains a neutral rating on Standard Chartered UK shares.On May 7th, Citigroup issued a research report stating that CK Hutchison Holdings (00001.HK) announced the sale of its 49% stake in its UK telecommunications joint venture, Vodafone Three, to Vodafone for a cash consideration of £4.3 billion (approximately HK$45.5 billion). The bank believes this sale is a value-added transaction for CK Hutchison, and expects management to continue seeking opportunities to unlock value, which will help narrow the stocks current significant NAV discount of approximately 58%. CK Hutchison expects to record an after-tax gain of approximately HK$4.7 billion upon completion of the transaction. Citigroup points out that the sale price is approximately 9% higher than its valuation of Vodafone Three (approximately HK$41.7 billion) and approximately 13% higher than CK Hutchisons net investment at the end of 2025 (approximately HK$40.1 billion). The bank expects the transaction to be completed as early as the end of 2026. Citigroup accordingly raised its target price for CK Hutchison from HK$78 to HK$81.5 and maintained its buy rating.

The USD/JPY Currency Pair Swings in a 60-Pip Range as Bulls Reclaim 124.00 on a Positive Note

Drake Hampton

Apr 08, 2022 10:07

Tips

  • The USD/JPY is up 1.26 percent this week.

  • The greenback strengthens as investors shrug off geopolitical concerns.

  • Forecast for the USD/JPY Exchange Rate: As bulls, we are leaning upward and are aiming for the YTD high of 125.10.

 

As the Asian Pacific session opens, USD/JPY pair extends its weekly gains on broad US dollar strength. The USD/JPY remains strong at 124.15, after trading in a tight 55-pip range over the last three days as the Eastern Europe conflict between Russia and Ukraine enters its sixth day.

 

Asian market futures continue to trade higher, despite the ongoing Russia-Ukraine confrontation. Contrary to the positive tone of Asian market futures, which point to a stronger open, US equities concluded the afternoon in a divided mood. Investors shrugged aside Russia-Ukraine tensions on Thursday, despite Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's complaint that Ukraine's new draft accord submitted to Russia does not meet Russia's demands on Crimea and Donbas. Meanwhile, recent reports indicate that Russia is regrouping soldiers in preparation for another offensive aimed at reclaiming Ukraine's eastern territories, Donetsk and Luhansk.

 

The North American session on Thursday featured Fed speakers, lead by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who stated that the Fed is still behind the curve in its efforts to contain inflation. Bullard said that by the second half of the year, he would like to see the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) at 3.5 percent.

 

Later that day, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans indicated that "we (the Fed) will reach neutral by the end of this year or early next."

 

On the Japanese docket, the Current Account for February and Consumer Confidence for March would be the headline economic data releases. On the US front, Wholesale Inventories for February will be released on a monthly basis. 

USD/JPY Forecast: Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY continues bullish, but the average daily range (ADR) has been 55 pips during the last three days. Daily moving averages (DMAs) below the spot price further reinforce the uptrend, and it's worth noting that the 100-DMA at 109.48 is on the verge of crossing over the 200-DMA at 109.60.

 

With that considered, the first resistance level for the USD/JPY would be 124.00. If the latter is breached, the March 29 daily high of 124.30 will be revealed, followed by the year-to-date high of 125.10.


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