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On August 21, Ukrainian Energy Minister Shmyhal stated that Ukraines energy reserves, including natural gas and coal, needed for the winter are nearing or have exceeded planned targets. Speaking to the Verkhovna Rada (parliament) regarding the protection of winter energy facilities and energy preparedness, Shmyhal said that underground gas storage facilities currently hold 14.3 billion cubic meters of natural gas, close to the previously set target of 14.6 billion cubic meters for winter storage; coal reserves have already exceeded targets. Furthermore, winter fuel reserves are being established to prioritize power supply to backup generators and critical infrastructure in frontline areas. Shmyhal said that by the end of this year, Ukraines total installed power generation capacity is expected to reach 19.6 gigawatts, exceeding the minimum required power generation capacity for the winter. Shmyhal also stated that Ukraine has allocated 35 billion hryvnia (approximately US$785 million) this year to strengthen the protection of local energy facilities.On August 21, Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi posted on social media that the sanctions and pressure policies imposed on Iran by successive US administrations "have all ended in failure," and the latest economic pressure measures announced by the US are also "doomed to failure." Araqchi reviewed a series of US policies against Iran in recent years—14 years ago, the US declared the imposition of the "toughest sanctions in history," 8 years ago it implemented "maximum pressure," and 5 months ago it demanded Irans "unconditional surrender"—all of which ultimately failed. Regarding US President Trumps recent announcement of "the most destructive economic action in history" against Iran, Araqchi stated that this action is also "doomed to failure." He also criticized the lack of substantial change in the US policy towards Iran by successive administrations. Araqchi wrote: "Weve seen this drama before; the same nonsense, just with a different group of bullies."August 21st - According to the Globe and Mail, sources revealed that a potential trade agreement being negotiated between Canada and the United States would introduce a tariff quota system for Canadian steel exports. Exports within the quota would be subject to a 25% tariff, while exports exceeding the quota would be subject to a 50% tariff. According to a steel industry executive, Canada has agreed to a tariff quota system for steel, allowing 4 million tons of steel annually to be shipped to the United States at the lower 25% tariff rate. Exports exceeding this 4 million tons will still face a 50% tariff. Two other industry sources confirmed that Ottawa and Washington have agreed to a 25% tariff within the quota. Canada has agreed to eliminate all reciprocal tariffs on U.S. steel and further restrict steel imports from third countries. In addition, Canada is also negotiating aluminum trade terms with the goal of reducing tariffs.The German DAX 30 index closed up 136.45 points, or 0.52%, at 26,148.00 on Friday, August 21; the UK FTSE 100 index closed up 71.22 points, or 0.66%, at 10,819.38 on Friday, August 21; and the French CAC 40 index closed up 31.34 points, or 0.37%, at 8,484.43 on Friday, August 21; the Euro... The Stoxx 50 index closed up 44.59 points, or 0.69%, at 6466.65 on Friday, August 21; the Spanish IBEX 35 index closed up 144.52 points, or 0.73%, at 19962.52 on Friday, August 21; and the Italian FTSE MIB index closed up 39.18 points, or 0.07%, at 52705.00 on Friday, August 21.On August 21, Iranian Navy Commander Shahram Ilani stated that the area east of the Strait of Hormuz and the Gulf of Oman—a crucial waterway connecting the Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf—is currently under Irans "complete control," and that Iran is "monitoring all movements of hostile forces outside the region around the clock." He added that the Iranian armed forces, under the leadership of the Supreme Leader, remain on high alert and "will soon deliver a major, historic, and unforgettable lesson to the enemy at sea."

The USD/JPY Currency Pair Swings in a 60-Pip Range as Bulls Reclaim 124.00 on a Positive Note

Drake Hampton

Apr 08, 2022 10:07

Tips

  • The USD/JPY is up 1.26 percent this week.

  • The greenback strengthens as investors shrug off geopolitical concerns.

  • Forecast for the USD/JPY Exchange Rate: As bulls, we are leaning upward and are aiming for the YTD high of 125.10.

 

As the Asian Pacific session opens, USD/JPY pair extends its weekly gains on broad US dollar strength. The USD/JPY remains strong at 124.15, after trading in a tight 55-pip range over the last three days as the Eastern Europe conflict between Russia and Ukraine enters its sixth day.

 

Asian market futures continue to trade higher, despite the ongoing Russia-Ukraine confrontation. Contrary to the positive tone of Asian market futures, which point to a stronger open, US equities concluded the afternoon in a divided mood. Investors shrugged aside Russia-Ukraine tensions on Thursday, despite Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's complaint that Ukraine's new draft accord submitted to Russia does not meet Russia's demands on Crimea and Donbas. Meanwhile, recent reports indicate that Russia is regrouping soldiers in preparation for another offensive aimed at reclaiming Ukraine's eastern territories, Donetsk and Luhansk.

 

The North American session on Thursday featured Fed speakers, lead by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who stated that the Fed is still behind the curve in its efforts to contain inflation. Bullard said that by the second half of the year, he would like to see the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) at 3.5 percent.

 

Later that day, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans indicated that "we (the Fed) will reach neutral by the end of this year or early next."

 

On the Japanese docket, the Current Account for February and Consumer Confidence for March would be the headline economic data releases. On the US front, Wholesale Inventories for February will be released on a monthly basis. 

USD/JPY Forecast: Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY continues bullish, but the average daily range (ADR) has been 55 pips during the last three days. Daily moving averages (DMAs) below the spot price further reinforce the uptrend, and it's worth noting that the 100-DMA at 109.48 is on the verge of crossing over the 200-DMA at 109.60.

 

With that considered, the first resistance level for the USD/JPY would be 124.00. If the latter is breached, the March 29 daily high of 124.30 will be revealed, followed by the year-to-date high of 125.10.


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