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On August 18th, the Ministry of Commerce and eight other departments issued an opinion on further stimulating the vitality of lower-tier markets and boosting consumption in county-level areas. The opinion mentions improving the quality and efficiency of financial services. It guides financial institutions to optimize financial services for the consumption sector in lower-tier markets and strengthens financial support for eligible consumer commercial facilities projects. It supports eligible wholesale, retail, and service enterprises in issuing bonds and listing on the stock exchange. Eligible commercial and trade enterprises that open new chain stores in county-level areas can apply for entrepreneurial guaranteed loans and receive interest subsidies.On August 18th, nine departments, including the Ministry of Commerce, issued an opinion on further stimulating the vitality of lower-tier markets and boosting consumption in county-level areas. The opinion mentions expanding the supply of high-quality, reasonably priced goods. It encourages enterprises to actively introduce high-quality products into county-level markets, simultaneously launching new products in eligible counties, and promoting the sharing of the same quality and products between urban and rural areas. It guides enterprises to develop high-quality products that meet the consumption characteristics of county-level areas and supports commercial and trade enterprises in building flexible supply chains based on "own brands + demand-driven production." It also strongly supports the promotion of new energy vehicles, green and intelligent products, and green building materials in rural areas, and expands the coverage of rural charging facilities.With no substantial progress in the Middle East situation, will crude oil prices continue their slightly bullish trend in the short term? A quick overview of the pre-market crude oil prices (converted between domestic and international markets) in one chart.On August 18th, nine departments, including the Ministry of Commerce, issued an opinion on further stimulating the vitality of lower-tier markets and boosting consumption in county-level areas. The opinion mentions developing emerging business models tailored to local conditions. It encourages qualified regions to develop virtual reality, immersive experiences, and "artificial intelligence + consumption," and promotes green consumption models such as secondhand trading and commodity leasing. It also calls for deepening the implementation of a special action to promote healthy consumption and innovating consumption chains that integrate primary, secondary, and tertiary industries.Weak US consumer data led to a slight rebound in precious metals. A quick chart shows the pre-market prices of gold and silver, converted between domestic and international markets.

The USD/JPY Currency Pair Swings in a 60-Pip Range as Bulls Reclaim 124.00 on a Positive Note

Drake Hampton

Apr 08, 2022 10:07

Tips

  • The USD/JPY is up 1.26 percent this week.

  • The greenback strengthens as investors shrug off geopolitical concerns.

  • Forecast for the USD/JPY Exchange Rate: As bulls, we are leaning upward and are aiming for the YTD high of 125.10.

 

As the Asian Pacific session opens, USD/JPY pair extends its weekly gains on broad US dollar strength. The USD/JPY remains strong at 124.15, after trading in a tight 55-pip range over the last three days as the Eastern Europe conflict between Russia and Ukraine enters its sixth day.

 

Asian market futures continue to trade higher, despite the ongoing Russia-Ukraine confrontation. Contrary to the positive tone of Asian market futures, which point to a stronger open, US equities concluded the afternoon in a divided mood. Investors shrugged aside Russia-Ukraine tensions on Thursday, despite Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's complaint that Ukraine's new draft accord submitted to Russia does not meet Russia's demands on Crimea and Donbas. Meanwhile, recent reports indicate that Russia is regrouping soldiers in preparation for another offensive aimed at reclaiming Ukraine's eastern territories, Donetsk and Luhansk.

 

The North American session on Thursday featured Fed speakers, lead by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who stated that the Fed is still behind the curve in its efforts to contain inflation. Bullard said that by the second half of the year, he would like to see the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) at 3.5 percent.

 

Later that day, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans indicated that "we (the Fed) will reach neutral by the end of this year or early next."

 

On the Japanese docket, the Current Account for February and Consumer Confidence for March would be the headline economic data releases. On the US front, Wholesale Inventories for February will be released on a monthly basis. 

USD/JPY Forecast: Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY continues bullish, but the average daily range (ADR) has been 55 pips during the last three days. Daily moving averages (DMAs) below the spot price further reinforce the uptrend, and it's worth noting that the 100-DMA at 109.48 is on the verge of crossing over the 200-DMA at 109.60.

 

With that considered, the first resistance level for the USD/JPY would be 124.00. If the latter is breached, the March 29 daily high of 124.30 will be revealed, followed by the year-to-date high of 125.10.


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