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On June 15th, former Israeli Ambassador to the US, Aaron Pincus, stated that Iran has become stronger and more confident since the war, and the regional balance facing Israel has clearly shifted unfavorably. He pointed out that by mid-June 2026, Iran will be geopolitically exponentially stronger than it was on the day the war broke out (February 28th), and has altered the regional balance during the war. Pincus warned that Iran has "upended the strategic balance," not only attacking the Arab Gulf states but also driving a wedge between Israel and the United States. He stated that how the post-war balance of power between Israel and Iran will develop remains to be seen, but "it will certainly be different from what it was in February, and less favorable to Israel than before."On June 15, the Iranian Foreign Ministry strongly condemned the Israeli regimes terrorist act of military aggression against a residential area in the southern suburbs of Beirut this afternoon (June 14). The attack has resulted in casualties among Lebanese citizens. The Iranian Foreign Ministry stated that this terrorist crime not only blatantly violated Lebanons national sovereignty and territorial integrity but also seriously contravened the ceasefire understanding reached between Iran and the United States on April 8. Iran reiterated that the US government bears direct responsibility for the Israeli regimes crimes and repeated violations of the ceasefire, and emphasized that it will take all necessary measures to exercise its legitimate right to self-defense. Iran warned that the dangerous consequences of the Israeli regimes frivolous actions on regional peace and security should be borne by the United States and the Israeli regime.Iranian Parliament Speaker: The enemy can never defeat any resistance front alone.The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has reported that the number of confirmed Ebola cases has risen to 782.According to Irans Mehr News Agency, the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority stated that it has not issued any new flight notices to restrict domestic flights.

The USD/JPY Currency Pair Swings in a 60-Pip Range as Bulls Reclaim 124.00 on a Positive Note

Drake Hampton

Apr 08, 2022 10:07

Tips

  • The USD/JPY is up 1.26 percent this week.

  • The greenback strengthens as investors shrug off geopolitical concerns.

  • Forecast for the USD/JPY Exchange Rate: As bulls, we are leaning upward and are aiming for the YTD high of 125.10.

 

As the Asian Pacific session opens, USD/JPY pair extends its weekly gains on broad US dollar strength. The USD/JPY remains strong at 124.15, after trading in a tight 55-pip range over the last three days as the Eastern Europe conflict between Russia and Ukraine enters its sixth day.

 

Asian market futures continue to trade higher, despite the ongoing Russia-Ukraine confrontation. Contrary to the positive tone of Asian market futures, which point to a stronger open, US equities concluded the afternoon in a divided mood. Investors shrugged aside Russia-Ukraine tensions on Thursday, despite Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's complaint that Ukraine's new draft accord submitted to Russia does not meet Russia's demands on Crimea and Donbas. Meanwhile, recent reports indicate that Russia is regrouping soldiers in preparation for another offensive aimed at reclaiming Ukraine's eastern territories, Donetsk and Luhansk.

 

The North American session on Thursday featured Fed speakers, lead by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who stated that the Fed is still behind the curve in its efforts to contain inflation. Bullard said that by the second half of the year, he would like to see the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) at 3.5 percent.

 

Later that day, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans indicated that "we (the Fed) will reach neutral by the end of this year or early next."

 

On the Japanese docket, the Current Account for February and Consumer Confidence for March would be the headline economic data releases. On the US front, Wholesale Inventories for February will be released on a monthly basis. 

USD/JPY Forecast: Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY continues bullish, but the average daily range (ADR) has been 55 pips during the last three days. Daily moving averages (DMAs) below the spot price further reinforce the uptrend, and it's worth noting that the 100-DMA at 109.48 is on the verge of crossing over the 200-DMA at 109.60.

 

With that considered, the first resistance level for the USD/JPY would be 124.00. If the latter is breached, the March 29 daily high of 124.30 will be revealed, followed by the year-to-date high of 125.10.


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