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September 4th - First Citizens Bank stated that Fridays U.S. jobs report will show whether the labor market remains in a state of "low hiring, low layoffs." In this state, slowing hiring and limited layoffs, along with a shrinking labor force, offset each other, keeping the unemployment rate generally stable. Key data to watch includes non-farm payrolls, the unemployment rate, labor force size, and revisions to data from previous months. A significant decline in non-farm payrolls or a further contraction in the labor force would be an early sign that the labor market stagnation is beginning to shift towards broader weakness.On September 4th, the "15th Five-Year Plan for Accelerating Agricultural and Rural Modernization in Sichuan Province" was issued. It mentions the comprehensive implementation of the responsibility system for farmland protection and food security, ensuring that the grain planting area remains stable at over 96 million mu. A new round of grain production capacity improvement actions will be implemented, deepening the construction of the "Tianfu Granary • Hundred Counties, Thousand Areas" initiative, carrying out "ton-grain field" construction, promoting the integrated efficiency of "four good" (good land, good seeds, good machinery, good methods), and systematically advancing large-scale yield increases. The grain planting structure and regional layout will be optimized, continuously improving rice and corn production capacity, stabilizing wheat production, consolidating the achievements of soybean and oilseed expansion, and developing autumn-winter potatoes and ratooning rice according to local conditions. Provincial-level fiscal subsidies for large grain growers and grain production incentive policies will be implemented, and the minimum purchase price policy for rice will be implemented. Full-cost insurance for the three major grain crops and full-cost and planting income insurance for soybeans will be comprehensively promoted.On September 4th, the Qijing GX7 officially opened for pre-sale.September 4th - A comprehensive set of optimized policies for Beijings housing market officially took effect on August 8th, addressing issues from multiple dimensions, including easing purchase restrictions, significantly increasing public housing fund loan limits, and optimizing property gifting rules. Now, nearly a month after the policies implementation, new home sales offices are seeing increased foot traffic, and viewings and transactions for existing homes are also rising, indicating a continued activation of demand from first-time homebuyers and those seeking to upgrade their homes. Data released by the Beijing Municipal Commission of Housing and Urban-Rural Development shows that in August, Beijings new home sales reached 3,100 units, a year-on-year increase of 10.3%; existing home sales reached 13,700 units, a year-on-year increase of 4.1%, marking the sixth consecutive month that existing home sales have exceeded 13,000 units.September 4th - Preliminary shipping data released on Friday showed that four commodity carriers transited the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, down from nine the previous day and significantly below the daily average of approximately 15 over the past 10 days. Kpler data showed that as of 4:55 AM GMT on Friday (12:55 PM Beijing time), vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz included two medium-range oil tankers, one Kamsarmax bulk carrier, and one Handysize bulk carrier. The number of vessels transiting the waterway is subject to change as some vessels typically turn off their transponders during voyages.

USD/CHF Consolidates in a Range of 0.9320-0.9350 on Expectations of Rate Reversion to Neutral

Drake Hampton

Apr 08, 2022 09:57

Tips

  • USD/CHF remained stuck around 0.9350 despite a big increase in US Treasury yields.

  • The DXY is aiming for 100.00 as traders increase their expectations for an aggressive rate hike.

  • Russia resigns from the United Nations Human Rights Council.

 

Since Thursday, the USD/CHF pair has been swinging within a narrow band of 0.9318-0.9348 as Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers have begun prescribing a reversion to neutral rates from ultra-loose monetary policy postures.

 

After commenting on the amount to which the Fed will raise interest rates in future monetary policies, members of the Fed's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) have changed their focus to calling for a return to neutral policy. The ultra-loose monetary policies and helicopter money used to boost growth following the Covid-19 outbreak have served their purpose, and it would be preferable to return to normal rates and a self-sufficient economy. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic stated on Thursday that while it is quite acceptable for the Fed to move policy closer to neutral, it should go cautiously, according to Reuters.

 

On the Russia-Ukraine front, Russia is expelled from the United Nations (UN) Human Rights Council after its members voted against the Kremlin's war crimes in Bucha, Ukraine. Additionally, US lawmakers have decided to prohibit Moscow from importing oil, gas, and coal. Additionally, the former has opted to revoke its 'Most Favored Nation' trade designation, resulting in higher tariffs for Moscow.

 

Meanwhile, the US dollar index is heading towards the enchanted level of 100.00, fueled by forecasts for better US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data next week. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note has recaptured a three-year high of 2.66 percent as rate rise worries resurface.

USD/CHF

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