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On January 30th, Sonu Varghese, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, stated that if Kevin Warsh is indeed nominated as the Federal Reserve Chair, we may ultimately end up with a Fed that is somewhat hawkish. Warsh has historically been a hawk, although he has recently been talking about interest rate cuts. If he enters the Fed advocating for significant rate cuts, he may not have much credibility in convincing others that further rate cuts are needed. We might even end up with a severely divided committee that doesnt cut rates at all. In the short term, a potentially hawkish Fed could increase market volatility.On January 30th, according to futures market news: 1. WTI crude oil futures trading volume was 1,861,277 lots, an increase of 740,717 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 2,072,923 lots, an increase of 13,889 lots from the previous trading day. 2. Brent crude oil futures trading volume was 380,646 lots, an increase of 156,990 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 259,939 lots, a decrease of 6,052 lots from the previous trading day. 3. Natural gas futures trading volume was 610,932 lots, a decrease of 80,707 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,639,013 lots, an increase of 17,069 lots from the previous trading day.January 30th - In December 2025, domestic mobile phone shipments reached 24.473 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 29.1%. Among them, 5G mobile phones accounted for 22.132 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 27.3%, representing 90.4% of total mobile phone shipments during the same period. From January to December 2025, domestic mobile phone shipments totaled 307 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 2.4%. Among them, 5G mobile phones accounted for 266 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 1.9%, representing 86.9% of total mobile phone shipments during the same period.Frances GDP growth rate is projected to be 0.9% in 2025.Frances preliminary fourth-quarter GDP annualized rate was 1.1%, below the expected 1.20% and the previous value of 0.90%.

USD/CHF Consolidates in a Range of 0.9320-0.9350 on Expectations of Rate Reversion to Neutral

Drake Hampton

Apr 08, 2022 09:57

Tips

  • USD/CHF remained stuck around 0.9350 despite a big increase in US Treasury yields.

  • The DXY is aiming for 100.00 as traders increase their expectations for an aggressive rate hike.

  • Russia resigns from the United Nations Human Rights Council.

 

Since Thursday, the USD/CHF pair has been swinging within a narrow band of 0.9318-0.9348 as Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers have begun prescribing a reversion to neutral rates from ultra-loose monetary policy postures.

 

After commenting on the amount to which the Fed will raise interest rates in future monetary policies, members of the Fed's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) have changed their focus to calling for a return to neutral policy. The ultra-loose monetary policies and helicopter money used to boost growth following the Covid-19 outbreak have served their purpose, and it would be preferable to return to normal rates and a self-sufficient economy. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic stated on Thursday that while it is quite acceptable for the Fed to move policy closer to neutral, it should go cautiously, according to Reuters.

 

On the Russia-Ukraine front, Russia is expelled from the United Nations (UN) Human Rights Council after its members voted against the Kremlin's war crimes in Bucha, Ukraine. Additionally, US lawmakers have decided to prohibit Moscow from importing oil, gas, and coal. Additionally, the former has opted to revoke its 'Most Favored Nation' trade designation, resulting in higher tariffs for Moscow.

 

Meanwhile, the US dollar index is heading towards the enchanted level of 100.00, fueled by forecasts for better US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data next week. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note has recaptured a three-year high of 2.66 percent as rate rise worries resurface.

USD/CHF

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