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Futures News, May 6th: The ongoing tensions in the Middle East have led to fluctuating crude oil prices, while gasoline and diesel demand remains sluggish. News regarding fuel oil has limited directional guidance for market trading. From a supply and demand perspective, fuel oil supply has tightened slightly after major refineries scheduled for maintenance. Refineries have increased production to support prices, but fuel oil processing margins have been squeezed, causing both prices to decline. Downstream traders willingness to purchase at high prices has been dampened. Furthermore, under the guidance of supply guarantee policies, local refineries are operating relatively steadily, ensuring stable fuel oil supply and maintaining sales pressure. Considering all factors, the fuel oil market is experiencing mixed signals from both news and supply and demand perspectives. It is expected that fuel oil negotiations this week will see some areas remain stable or stagnant, while others will experience narrow fluctuations.On May 6th, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) released the operating data of the electronic information manufacturing industry for the first quarter of 2026. In the first quarter of 2026, my countrys electronic information manufacturing industry experienced rapid production growth, continued export recovery, significant profit improvement, and accelerated investment growth, resulting in a generally positive industry development trend. In the first quarter, the electronic information manufacturing enterprises above designated size achieved operating revenue of 4.31 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.8%; operating costs of 3.69 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.7%; and total profits of 217 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 125%. In March, the operating revenue of the electronic information manufacturing enterprises above designated size reached 1.68 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.7%.The Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) announced today that it conducted 26 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, with both the bid and winning bids amounting to 26 billion yuan. The operating rate was 1.40%, unchanged from the previous rate.As of 09:30 Beijing time, WTI crude oil futures fell 1.28%, and US natural gas futures fell 0.39%.On Wednesday, May 6, the Hang Seng Index opened 131.04 points higher, or 0.51%, at 26,029.65; the Hang Seng Tech Index opened 42.01 points higher, or 0.85%, at 4,971.69; the H-share Index opened 55.51 points higher, or 0.64%, at 8,786.0; and the Red Chip Index opened 4.95 points higher, or 0.11%, at 4,411.37.

The USD/JPY Currency Pair Swings in a 60-Pip Range as Bulls Reclaim 124.00 on a Positive Note

Drake Hampton

Apr 08, 2022 10:07

Tips

  • The USD/JPY is up 1.26 percent this week.

  • The greenback strengthens as investors shrug off geopolitical concerns.

  • Forecast for the USD/JPY Exchange Rate: As bulls, we are leaning upward and are aiming for the YTD high of 125.10.

 

As the Asian Pacific session opens, USD/JPY pair extends its weekly gains on broad US dollar strength. The USD/JPY remains strong at 124.15, after trading in a tight 55-pip range over the last three days as the Eastern Europe conflict between Russia and Ukraine enters its sixth day.

 

Asian market futures continue to trade higher, despite the ongoing Russia-Ukraine confrontation. Contrary to the positive tone of Asian market futures, which point to a stronger open, US equities concluded the afternoon in a divided mood. Investors shrugged aside Russia-Ukraine tensions on Thursday, despite Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's complaint that Ukraine's new draft accord submitted to Russia does not meet Russia's demands on Crimea and Donbas. Meanwhile, recent reports indicate that Russia is regrouping soldiers in preparation for another offensive aimed at reclaiming Ukraine's eastern territories, Donetsk and Luhansk.

 

The North American session on Thursday featured Fed speakers, lead by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who stated that the Fed is still behind the curve in its efforts to contain inflation. Bullard said that by the second half of the year, he would like to see the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) at 3.5 percent.

 

Later that day, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans indicated that "we (the Fed) will reach neutral by the end of this year or early next."

 

On the Japanese docket, the Current Account for February and Consumer Confidence for March would be the headline economic data releases. On the US front, Wholesale Inventories for February will be released on a monthly basis. 

USD/JPY Forecast: Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY continues bullish, but the average daily range (ADR) has been 55 pips during the last three days. Daily moving averages (DMAs) below the spot price further reinforce the uptrend, and it's worth noting that the 100-DMA at 109.48 is on the verge of crossing over the 200-DMA at 109.60.

 

With that considered, the first resistance level for the USD/JPY would be 124.00. If the latter is breached, the March 29 daily high of 124.30 will be revealed, followed by the year-to-date high of 125.10.


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