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On September 8th, Daiwa issued a research report stating that Bilibili (09626.HK) issued US$700 million in zero-coupon convertible bonds maturing in 2031, while Tencent (00700.HK) completed the sale of its entire approximately 9.6% stake. The bank views this innovative win-win-win structure positively, believing it eliminates Tencents long-standing pressure to cash out, brings Bilibili approximately US$400 million in new funds, and limits equity dilution through the immediate US$300 million share buyback and cancellation. The report states that Bilibili has used US$300 million of the proceeds to buy back shares. Based on the initial conversion price of the convertible bonds (approximately 35.2 million shares), the total dilution is approximately 8.4%. However, after deducting the immediate cancellation of the repurchased shares, the net dilution is limited to approximately 3.5%. The bank reiterated its buy rating on Bilibili. The bank believes the benefits outweigh the drawbacks because it immediately eliminates Tencents selling pressure and raises long-term zero-coupon funds at a cost far lower than ordinary offshore bonds.Songyan Power: Officially launched Scalabot, a general-purpose embodied intelligence technology brand. Scalabot is dedicated to building the core capabilities of robots to understand the world, predict the future, and act autonomously, bringing intelligence from models to the real world.The Icelandic government summoned the U.S. ambassador to Iceland after Trump posted a map on social media that included Iceland within the U.S. territory.On September 8th, Citigroup issued a report stating that Nikes adjustment of its China distribution strategy starting in January 2027 is expected to negatively impact Topsports (06110.HK) business prospects for fiscal year 2028 (ending February 2028). Currently, the bank is not highly confident that Nike will continue to subsidize Topsports online distribution rights after the current fiscal year (ending February 2027). The bank lowered its net profit forecasts for Topsports for fiscal years 2027 to 2029 by 2%, 19%, and 18% respectively, while its sales forecasts were lowered by 1%, 5%, and 5% respectively. Based on an unchanged target P/E ratio of 11x for each historical year ending in 2027, the target price was lowered from HK$1.91 to HK$1.7. The bank maintains its "Buy" rating, considering the stocks double-digit dividend yield. The relative preference order for the Chinese sportswear sector remains unchanged: Anta (02020.HK) > Li Ning (02331.HK) > Topsports, all with "Buy" ratings.On September 8th, Futures News reported that Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman reaffirmed their commitment to maintaining market stability, deciding to keep their daily crude oil production quotas for October at the same level determined in September 2026. OPEC+ will continue to hold monthly meetings to monitor market dynamics, with the next meeting scheduled for October 4th, 2026. Previously, the production quotas of these seven OPEC+ countries had increased for six consecutive months, and member countries are still working to determine new production quotas. During these six months, the organization gradually lifted production cuts, and the market still has sufficient capacity to absorb the increased oil supply. However, despite the significant increase in production quotas, the Strait of Hormuz is blocked due to the war between the US and Iran, and Russian crude oil exports are also restricted due to Western sanctions. In other words, since these seven countries crude oil is mainly for export, the increased quotas are meaningless given the export restrictions.

The USD/JPY Currency Pair Swings in a 60-Pip Range as Bulls Reclaim 124.00 on a Positive Note

Drake Hampton

Apr 08, 2022 10:07

Tips

  • The USD/JPY is up 1.26 percent this week.

  • The greenback strengthens as investors shrug off geopolitical concerns.

  • Forecast for the USD/JPY Exchange Rate: As bulls, we are leaning upward and are aiming for the YTD high of 125.10.

 

As the Asian Pacific session opens, USD/JPY pair extends its weekly gains on broad US dollar strength. The USD/JPY remains strong at 124.15, after trading in a tight 55-pip range over the last three days as the Eastern Europe conflict between Russia and Ukraine enters its sixth day.

 

Asian market futures continue to trade higher, despite the ongoing Russia-Ukraine confrontation. Contrary to the positive tone of Asian market futures, which point to a stronger open, US equities concluded the afternoon in a divided mood. Investors shrugged aside Russia-Ukraine tensions on Thursday, despite Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's complaint that Ukraine's new draft accord submitted to Russia does not meet Russia's demands on Crimea and Donbas. Meanwhile, recent reports indicate that Russia is regrouping soldiers in preparation for another offensive aimed at reclaiming Ukraine's eastern territories, Donetsk and Luhansk.

 

The North American session on Thursday featured Fed speakers, lead by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who stated that the Fed is still behind the curve in its efforts to contain inflation. Bullard said that by the second half of the year, he would like to see the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) at 3.5 percent.

 

Later that day, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans indicated that "we (the Fed) will reach neutral by the end of this year or early next."

 

On the Japanese docket, the Current Account for February and Consumer Confidence for March would be the headline economic data releases. On the US front, Wholesale Inventories for February will be released on a monthly basis. 

USD/JPY Forecast: Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY continues bullish, but the average daily range (ADR) has been 55 pips during the last three days. Daily moving averages (DMAs) below the spot price further reinforce the uptrend, and it's worth noting that the 100-DMA at 109.48 is on the verge of crossing over the 200-DMA at 109.60.

 

With that considered, the first resistance level for the USD/JPY would be 124.00. If the latter is breached, the March 29 daily high of 124.30 will be revealed, followed by the year-to-date high of 125.10.


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