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On May 28, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange 2026 Global Investors Conference opened in Shenzhen. The theme of the conference was "Capital Markets and Innovative Growth – Chinas Opportunities under the 15th Five-Year Plan." Liu Haoling, Vice Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), stated that the CSRC will resolutely implement the decisions and deployments of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, continuously deepen the comprehensive reform of capital market investment and financing, and systematically plan and launch more powerful reform and opening-up measures to address the "variables" of the international environment with a "constant" approach of coordinated development and win-win cooperation.Hong Kong stocks continued to decline, with the Hang Seng Index falling 2% and the Hang Seng Tech Index falling 1.23%. Tech stocks were weak, and innovative drug concepts declined. Meituan (03690.HK) fell nearly 6%, and Hansoh Pharmaceutical (03692.HK) fell 4.8%.On May 28, the 2026 Global Investors Conference, hosted by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, was held in Shenzhen. Liu Haoling, Vice Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), stated in his address that Chinas comprehensive reforms to investment and financing in the capital market have been progressing steadily and effectively, with overall market valuations remaining within a reasonable range, and foreign investors willingness to allocate to high-quality Chinese assets continuously increasing.On May 28th, the 2026 Global Investors Conference, hosted by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, was held in Shenzhen. Liu Haoling, Vice Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), stated in his address that China is a major contributor to and a stabilizing force for global economic growth, and a fertile ground for foreign investment. Since the beginning of this year, foreign capital has steadily flowed into the Chinese stock market through various channels. As of now, overseas investors hold over 4 trillion yuan in A-share market capitalization, becoming significant participants in Chinas capital market.On May 28th, European Central Bank Chief Economist Lane stated on Thursday that even if the Middle East conflict is resolved quickly, the resulting energy shock could still have a lasting impact on inflation. While historically, oil prices tend to fall back to their original levels after a surge, the current situation may be different as countries replenish their inventories or adjust their energy mix, potentially keeping energy costs high. Lane stated, "Global oil supply experienced a fairly rapid and significant drop overnight, a situation previously masked by inventories. Even as the initial energy shock begins to subside, the second wave of effects will continue for some time." Lane indicated that some policy lessons can be learned from past energy shocks, such as how rising energy costs can suddenly push up inflation and trigger "various non-linear" mechanisms, thus broadening the scope of price increases. "But this is different from the non-linear situation four years ago," when supply disruptions caused by the war in Ukraine and strong demand from the economic reopening following the COVID-19 pandemic jointly pushed up inflation. Lane stated that central banks must face any major shocks and their potential impact on inflation, but should avoid overreacting when formulating monetary policy.

The USD/JPY Currency Pair Swings in a 60-Pip Range as Bulls Reclaim 124.00 on a Positive Note

Drake Hampton

Apr 08, 2022 10:07

Tips

  • The USD/JPY is up 1.26 percent this week.

  • The greenback strengthens as investors shrug off geopolitical concerns.

  • Forecast for the USD/JPY Exchange Rate: As bulls, we are leaning upward and are aiming for the YTD high of 125.10.

 

As the Asian Pacific session opens, USD/JPY pair extends its weekly gains on broad US dollar strength. The USD/JPY remains strong at 124.15, after trading in a tight 55-pip range over the last three days as the Eastern Europe conflict between Russia and Ukraine enters its sixth day.

 

Asian market futures continue to trade higher, despite the ongoing Russia-Ukraine confrontation. Contrary to the positive tone of Asian market futures, which point to a stronger open, US equities concluded the afternoon in a divided mood. Investors shrugged aside Russia-Ukraine tensions on Thursday, despite Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's complaint that Ukraine's new draft accord submitted to Russia does not meet Russia's demands on Crimea and Donbas. Meanwhile, recent reports indicate that Russia is regrouping soldiers in preparation for another offensive aimed at reclaiming Ukraine's eastern territories, Donetsk and Luhansk.

 

The North American session on Thursday featured Fed speakers, lead by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who stated that the Fed is still behind the curve in its efforts to contain inflation. Bullard said that by the second half of the year, he would like to see the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) at 3.5 percent.

 

Later that day, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans indicated that "we (the Fed) will reach neutral by the end of this year or early next."

 

On the Japanese docket, the Current Account for February and Consumer Confidence for March would be the headline economic data releases. On the US front, Wholesale Inventories for February will be released on a monthly basis. 

USD/JPY Forecast: Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY continues bullish, but the average daily range (ADR) has been 55 pips during the last three days. Daily moving averages (DMAs) below the spot price further reinforce the uptrend, and it's worth noting that the 100-DMA at 109.48 is on the verge of crossing over the 200-DMA at 109.60.

 

With that considered, the first resistance level for the USD/JPY would be 124.00. If the latter is breached, the March 29 daily high of 124.30 will be revealed, followed by the year-to-date high of 125.10.


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