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On December 29, the Eastern Theater Command of the Chinese Peoples Liberation Army organized destroyers, frigates, fighter-bombers, and other forces to conduct exercises in the sea and airspace east of Taiwan Island, including maritime strike, regional air superiority, and anti-submarine warfare, testing the sea-air coordination and precision targeting capabilities.December 29th - According to Kyodo News, the proportion of foreign residents in Japan is approaching the 10% threshold at a rate far exceeding official forecasts, with dozens of municipalities already surpassing this figure. One village reported that more than one-third of its residents are foreign nationals. In July of this year, then-Justice Minister Keisuke Suzuki stated that by around 2040, the foreign population in Japan is expected to exceed 10% of the total population. Japans labor shortage problem is projected to worsen.Sources say India is suing Reliance Industries and BP for $30 billion over insufficient production from its gas fields.On December 29, the Eastern Theater Command of the Chinese Peoples Liberation Army organized destroyers, fighter-bombers, drones, and other forces in the northern and southwestern sea and airspace of Taiwan Island, along with long-range firepower, to conduct training exercises including sea-air search and destruction, simulated land attack, and live-fire exercises against sea targets. The exercises tested the PLAs integrated coordination and capability to seize control.On December 29th, the fourth meeting of the Standing Committee of the First Non-Motor Property Insurance Professional Committee of the Insurance Association of China was held in Beijing. Representatives from 24 standing committee member units, including the committees chairman, PICC Property & Casualty Insurance, attended the meeting, which was chaired by Zhang Liang, member of the Party Committee and Vice President of the Insurance Association of China. The meeting reviewed and approved a proposal to promote research on model clauses and rates for corporate property insurance and employers liability insurance. The meeting believed that the committee should focus on key and difficult issues in the comprehensive governance and development of non-motor insurance, and take proactive measures through establishing working groups to strengthen industry self-regulation, formulate model clauses, deepen industry research, promote information sharing, and conduct publicity and exchange, thereby reshaping industry rules and image and serving the healthy and sustainable development of the non-motor insurance market. The meeting pointed out that the committee should strengthen its own construction, focusing on the associations overall goal of "serving the industry well, assisting in supervision well, and contributing well to society," anchoring its responsibilities, strengthening self-discipline and collaboration, improving the evaluation and supervision mechanism, and effectively playing the functional role of the committee.

The USD/JPY Currency Pair Swings in a 60-Pip Range as Bulls Reclaim 124.00 on a Positive Note

Drake Hampton

Apr 08, 2022 10:07

Tips

  • The USD/JPY is up 1.26 percent this week.

  • The greenback strengthens as investors shrug off geopolitical concerns.

  • Forecast for the USD/JPY Exchange Rate: As bulls, we are leaning upward and are aiming for the YTD high of 125.10.

 

As the Asian Pacific session opens, USD/JPY pair extends its weekly gains on broad US dollar strength. The USD/JPY remains strong at 124.15, after trading in a tight 55-pip range over the last three days as the Eastern Europe conflict between Russia and Ukraine enters its sixth day.

 

Asian market futures continue to trade higher, despite the ongoing Russia-Ukraine confrontation. Contrary to the positive tone of Asian market futures, which point to a stronger open, US equities concluded the afternoon in a divided mood. Investors shrugged aside Russia-Ukraine tensions on Thursday, despite Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's complaint that Ukraine's new draft accord submitted to Russia does not meet Russia's demands on Crimea and Donbas. Meanwhile, recent reports indicate that Russia is regrouping soldiers in preparation for another offensive aimed at reclaiming Ukraine's eastern territories, Donetsk and Luhansk.

 

The North American session on Thursday featured Fed speakers, lead by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who stated that the Fed is still behind the curve in its efforts to contain inflation. Bullard said that by the second half of the year, he would like to see the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) at 3.5 percent.

 

Later that day, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans indicated that "we (the Fed) will reach neutral by the end of this year or early next."

 

On the Japanese docket, the Current Account for February and Consumer Confidence for March would be the headline economic data releases. On the US front, Wholesale Inventories for February will be released on a monthly basis. 

USD/JPY Forecast: Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY continues bullish, but the average daily range (ADR) has been 55 pips during the last three days. Daily moving averages (DMAs) below the spot price further reinforce the uptrend, and it's worth noting that the 100-DMA at 109.48 is on the verge of crossing over the 200-DMA at 109.60.

 

With that considered, the first resistance level for the USD/JPY would be 124.00. If the latter is breached, the March 29 daily high of 124.30 will be revealed, followed by the year-to-date high of 125.10.


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