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Slovak Prime Minister: In view of the energy crisis, the EU should lift sanctions on Russian oil and gas, restart the Friendship pipeline, and end the Russia-Ukraine conflict.On April 4th, local time, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan held a formal meeting at the Dolmabahçe Palace in Istanbul. The meeting was conducted behind closed doors and not open to the media. The agenda reportedly focused on three main areas: first, the current development of bilateral relations between Ukraine and Turkey, aiming to further deepen cooperation in various fields; second, regional development issues, exploring common development paths within the context of the regional situation; and third, promoting the establishment of a ceasefire mechanism in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and seeking a long-term solution, with particular emphasis on efforts made within the framework of the Istanbul Process.On April 4th, a source told CNBC that the U.S. Senate Banking Committee will hold a hearing on April 16th to consider Kevin Warshs nomination as Federal Reserve Chairman. Another criminal investigation surrounding the Fed is ongoing, examining whether current Chairman Jerome Powell made false statements to Congress regarding the expensive renovation of the Feds office buildings. Warshs nomination process is still progressing, potentially creating a conflict between the two parallel processes pushed by the Trump administration. Banking Committee member Thom Tillis has stated that he will not vote to confirm Warsh until the investigation is complete, meaning Trump cannot proceed with both processes simultaneously. However, by continuing to push forward with the hearings, Trump is clearly still trying to achieve this goal. The Senate Banking Committee has not yet included the hearings in its public schedule.According to CNBC, the U.S. Senate Banking Committee will hold a hearing on April 16 regarding the nomination of Kevin Warsh as chairman of the Federal Reserve.Jordan reported on April 4 that it has suffered 281 missile and drone attacks from Iran since the start of the conflict. The Jordanian Armed Forces stated that Iran has launched 161 missiles and 120 drones at the country since the conflict began. According to a statement released by Petra News Agency, the military claimed to have successfully intercepted all but 20 of the incoming targets. The statement added, "All Iranian attacks targeted key facilities and locations within Jordan and were not isolated incidents."

The USD/JPY Currency Pair Swings in a 60-Pip Range as Bulls Reclaim 124.00 on a Positive Note

Drake Hampton

Apr 08, 2022 10:07

Tips

  • The USD/JPY is up 1.26 percent this week.

  • The greenback strengthens as investors shrug off geopolitical concerns.

  • Forecast for the USD/JPY Exchange Rate: As bulls, we are leaning upward and are aiming for the YTD high of 125.10.

 

As the Asian Pacific session opens, USD/JPY pair extends its weekly gains on broad US dollar strength. The USD/JPY remains strong at 124.15, after trading in a tight 55-pip range over the last three days as the Eastern Europe conflict between Russia and Ukraine enters its sixth day.

 

Asian market futures continue to trade higher, despite the ongoing Russia-Ukraine confrontation. Contrary to the positive tone of Asian market futures, which point to a stronger open, US equities concluded the afternoon in a divided mood. Investors shrugged aside Russia-Ukraine tensions on Thursday, despite Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's complaint that Ukraine's new draft accord submitted to Russia does not meet Russia's demands on Crimea and Donbas. Meanwhile, recent reports indicate that Russia is regrouping soldiers in preparation for another offensive aimed at reclaiming Ukraine's eastern territories, Donetsk and Luhansk.

 

The North American session on Thursday featured Fed speakers, lead by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who stated that the Fed is still behind the curve in its efforts to contain inflation. Bullard said that by the second half of the year, he would like to see the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) at 3.5 percent.

 

Later that day, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans indicated that "we (the Fed) will reach neutral by the end of this year or early next."

 

On the Japanese docket, the Current Account for February and Consumer Confidence for March would be the headline economic data releases. On the US front, Wholesale Inventories for February will be released on a monthly basis. 

USD/JPY Forecast: Technical Analysis

The USD/JPY continues bullish, but the average daily range (ADR) has been 55 pips during the last three days. Daily moving averages (DMAs) below the spot price further reinforce the uptrend, and it's worth noting that the 100-DMA at 109.48 is on the verge of crossing over the 200-DMA at 109.60.

 

With that considered, the first resistance level for the USD/JPY would be 124.00. If the latter is breached, the March 29 daily high of 124.30 will be revealed, followed by the year-to-date high of 125.10.


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