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On August 13, Ukrainian President Zelensky is leading his team to do their utmost to influence Trumps thinking before the Trump-Putin meeting. According to U.S. officials, because a series of phone calls in the past six months have yielded little results, Trump is eager to communicate face to face with Putin to judge his willingness for peace talks. U.S. officials believe that if Trumps words sometimes seem pro-Russian, it is because he believes that such public statements will help to facilitate an agreement. One official said that Trump is still "annoyed with Putin" and said: "For several months, the general view has been that we can destroy the Russian economy tomorrow. Of course, there are more ways to destroy Ukraine. But if he chooses sides, he will hit the Russian economy first. He is really fed up." The official added that even if diplomatic efforts fail, Trump will still support Ukraine by selling weapons to NATO countries. "Maybe Trump cant do it, but he will try his best."Russia announced a monthly production cut of 85,000 barrels per day from July to November, with an additional cut of 9,000 barrels per day in December.The U.S. MBA mortgage application activity index was 281.1 in the week ending August 8, compared with 253.4 in the previous week.The U.S. MBA 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.67% in the week ending August 8, compared with 6.77% in the previous week.The MBA mortgage refinancing activity index in the United States for the week ending August 8 was 956.2, compared with 777.4 in the previous week.

The USD/CHF exchange rate declines toward 0.9400 as FOMC-inspired confidence boosts market mood

Alina Haynes

Nov 24, 2022 15:00

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In the early Asian session, the USD/CHF pair is wallowing at 0.9423 after two consecutive severely bearish sessions. Bears have paused their six-day run in the last two trading sessions as investors' risk appetite has increased. In response to Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes containing fewer hawkish indications, the dollar fell.

 

As market sentiment remains hopeful, it is projected that the major currency will continue to drop and may approach the 0.94 round-number support level. The FOMC minutes signal that the era of greater rate hike announcements is over and that a reduction in the rate rise pace is necessary for central banks to attain price stability.

 

Due to Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers' less hawkish statements on interest rate guidance, the US Dollar Index has dropped (DXY). The US Dollar is now trading near 106.10, and it is expected to test the previous week's low of 105.34. As the likelihood of a fifth consecutive rate hike of 75 basis points (bps) by the Fed diminishes, so do the returns on US Treasury bonds. Long-term US Treasury bond yields have dropped below 3.80%. Meanwhile, US markets are closed on Thanksgiving.

 

Additionally, solid US Durable Goods Orders were insufficient to support the US Dollar. The economic data exceeded expectations and the preceding report by 1.0%. Strong consumer demand and low real income may encourage customers to borrow more, resulting in higher delinquency costs for credit providers.

 

Regarding the Swiss franc, Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Thomas J. Jordan reiterated that monetary policy remains expansionary and "we will likely change monetary policy again" The Swiss central bank is mandated to maintain an inflation rate between 0 and 2 percent, and the existing monetary policy is sufficient to achieve this goal.

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