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Deepgram, a voice AI technology startup, said Tuesday it has raised $130 million at a $1.3 billion valuation and plans to expand into international markets, launch new models, and make acquisitions.January 13th - According to foreign media reports, as core inflation unexpectedly declined slightly in December, investors rushed to buy US government bonds, causing a sharp drop in US Treasury yields and a sell-off of the US dollar. The US core inflation rate in December was 2.6% year-on-year, failing to accelerate to the predicted 2.7%. While these inflation indicators are unlikely to change expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged later this month, they may alleviate concerns that accelerating inflation could delay a new round of rate cuts.January 13th - According to CNBC analysis, the U.S. core consumer price index (CPI) rose less than expected in December, further strengthening market confidence that inflation is cooling as the Federal Reserve considers its next interest rate policy move. Data released Tuesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the seasonally adjusted core CPI rose 0.2% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year, both 0.1 percentage points lower than market expectations. Overall, both the monthly and year-on-year CPI rates were in line with market expectations. This report indicates to some extent that the pace of price increases is slowing towards the Feds 2% target, but the level remains relatively high. Among the sub-items, housing costs, a key factor with strong inflation stickiness, rose 0.4% month-on-month, becoming the largest single contributor to the CPI increase that month. This category accounts for more than one-third of the CPI and rose 3.2% year-on-year.January 13th - According to Reuters, traders increased their bets on Tuesday that the Federal Reserve might not wait until Fed Chairman Jerome Powells term ends in May to cut interest rates, after the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that basic consumer price increases were slightly lower than expected. While traders still believe a June rate cut is the most likely outcome, the latest data projects a 42% probability of a Fed rate cut in April, up from 38% before the data release.January 13th - Market analyst Ira Jersey stated that the reassurance brought by the lack of a substantial surge in US inflation has led to blind optimism in the market and pushed up bond yields. The overall CPI increase of 2.7% year-on-year implies that the core PCE annual rate will be below 2.5%, paving the way for the Federal Reserve to adopt a more dovish stance. While a January rate cut is not considered a certainty, it undoubtedly brings the possibility of a March rate cut under consideration.

Near 1.0300, EURUSD attempts a recovery as hawkish ECB bets surge

Daniel Rogers

Nov 21, 2022 11:51

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After sliding to around the critical support level of 1.0310 during the early Asian session, there has been some buying action in the EURUSD pair. The asset has detected buying activity after hitting Friday's low and may seek to risk sentiment for more movement. There is now no pressure on the risk profile, which will likely provide future support for risk-perceived currencies.

 

The likelihood of the Federal Reserve (Fed) raising interest rates by 75 basis points (bps) in a row is insufficient for the S&P 500 to post outstanding gains on Friday (Fed). While market participants continue to be concerned about the headline inflation rate of 7.7%, the underlying inflation rate has moderated. According to Reuters, Fed Bank of Boston President Susan Collins stated this week that the US central bank has more work to do to reduce inflation. "Additional increases in the federal funds rate will be required, followed by an extended period of keeping rates at an appropriately restrictive level," he added.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) has hit resistance near the round level of 107.00 and is expected to remain volatile before to the release of US Durable Goods Orders data. The economic data are projected to remain constant at 0.4%, according to predictions.

 

Durability in the Durable Goods Orders figures amid a period of rising interest rates could present Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell with new challenges. To counteract inflation, the Fed has sought to maintain a modest overall demand profile. This also shows that people are turning to higher-interest borrowing to satisfy their desire for durable goods.

 

Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank (ECB), indicated at the European Banking Congress that the ECB is committed to decreasing medium-term inflation to 2% by increasing interest rates in a timely manner. She underlined that a recession is unlikely to cut inflation significantly.