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The Central Bank of Türkiye launched a week-long auction of 10 tons of gold-for-lira sell-swapping contracts using traditional methods.The European Central Bank: A survey of professional forecasters indicates that after the current surge in inflation, the inflation rate will fall back to near the target level next year.The final reading of the Eurozone manufacturing PMI for April was 52.2, in line with expectations and the previous reading.May 4th - Phil Smith, Associate Director of Economics at S&P Global Market Intelligence, stated that panic buying to secure supply continues to support German output and new orders amid concerns about future price increases and shortages. This forward-moving activity may see some pullback in the coming months. While we are seeing strong growth in new orders for intermediate goods (i.e., products used to produce other goods), demand for consumer goods has clearly declined. The number of firms expecting activity to decline over the next year now exceeds the number expecting growth. There are concerns that soaring inflationary pressures and their associated squeeze on purchasing power will dampen demand; industrial producer price inflation jumped sharply in April to its highest level in more than three years. Meanwhile, with supply delays reaching levels not seen since mid-2022, there is a risk of production reductions regardless of demand conditions.Germanys final manufacturing PMI for April was 51.4, below the expected 51.2 and the previous reading of 51.2.

The US Dollar Index Discovers Bids Below 104.00, and the Upside Remains Favored on Risk-Off Sentiment

Alina Haynes

May 19, 2022 10:02

After a flat opening, the US dollar index (DXY) is currently seeing a sharp decline. Wednesday's inability to surpass the round level barrier of 104.00 weighed on the asset, although a comeback is inevitable. The DXY remained stronger in the prior trading session as the risk-off impetus intensified due to surging global inflation. The European nations reported rising inflation rates, with the United Kingdom reporting an annual rate of 9 percent and the Eurozone HICP settling at 7.5 percent. The DXY was supported by rising fears of a recession in Europe amid high inflationary pressures and the incapacity of corporations to generate jobs.

President of the Philadelphia Fed, Patrick Harker

This year, Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers advocate a spate of 50 basis point (bps) interest rate hikes. Rising inflationary pressures urge the Fed to do whatever is necessary to stabilize prices. Patrick Harker, president of the Philadelphia Fed Bank, indicated that the Fed should raise interest rates by 50 basis points at its June and July monetary policy meetings. After that, the Fed should adhere to the standard increase of 25 basis points.

 

This week's weak economic calendar has left the DXY susceptible to risk sentiment. Nevertheless, the Jobless Claims and Home Sales reports will keep investors occupied during the New York session.

 

Next week's major economic releases include New Home Sales, Durable Goods Orders, FOMC minutes, Initial Jobless Claims, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), and the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI).

Dollar Index Spot

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