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He Lifeng: We must go all out to promote high-quality development, continue to implement the moderately loose monetary policy, strengthen financial support for key areas such as expanding domestic demand, technological innovation, and small and micro enterprises, steadily and orderly advance financial reform and opening up, and do a good job in expectation management.December 12th - Market analysts say oil prices rose today, but a significant drop is still possible this week. Diplomatic efforts to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict, coupled with overall bearish fundamentals, suggest a supply glut next year. Next week, market focus is expected to be on the Russia-Ukraine negotiations, while traders also watch the escalating tensions between the US and Venezuela. The International Energy Agency (IEA) stated that market-expected surpluses have narrowed, but a large supply glut still casts a shadow over the outlook. In contrast, OPECs supply and demand forecasts point to a relatively balanced market next year. ANZ analysts said, "This is a stark reversal of the outlook that predicted a tighter market earlier this year."On December 12th, KPMGs Chief UK Economist, Yael Selfin, stated in a report that UK GDP contracted by 0.1% month-on-month in the three months of October, and growth is expected to remain weak for the remainder of the fourth quarter. Economic activity in November may be constrained by uncertainty surrounding the government budget. She pointed out that although the budget avoided an early tax increase and borrowing costs are expected to decline over the next year, its impact may persist, and household confidence is unlikely to improve in the short term. The outlook for investment growth is more optimistic and should be a key driver of economic growth in 2026. However, she expects GDP to remain flat in the fourth quarter of 2025.The Kremlin: The US will discuss the results of its negotiations with Ukraine with Moscow sooner or later. However, Moscow has not yet seen the revised proposals following the US-Ukraine negotiations and may "dislike much of it."Data shows that Russias seaborne petroleum product exports in November decreased by 0.8% compared to October.

GBP/JPY Falls Below 158.00 as UK Recession Concerns Grow

Daniel Rogers

May 19, 2022 10:06

Following Wednesday's release of UK inflation data, the GBP/JPY pair is likely to experience a sharp decline. After the UK's Office for National Statistics reported the annual UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) at a staggering 9 percent, the pound bulls shown widespread weakness. The asset has declined almost 2.5 percent since Tuesday, when it reached a recent high of 161.85.

 

Despite the fact that the UK Statistics Office has announced a slight decline in the annual rate from the consensus of 9.1 percent, a figure of 9 percent is sufficient to cause mayhem in the FX realm. It appears that the Bank of England (BOE) has been left with little choice but to implement a massive rate hike, since rising price pressures would aggravate the real income position for people.

 

The monthly rate of inflation in the United Kingdom increased to 2.5% from 1.1% previously. While the core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, has increased to 6.2%, it has remained in line with expectations.

 

On the Japanese yen front, weaker than expected Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers have encouraged yen bulls. The annualized GDP number for Japan remained higher than the average estimate of -1.8 percent, at -1 percent. While the quarterly figure of -0.2 percent was still negative, it exceeded the predictions of -0.4 percent. Investors will depend on Japan's Friday-due inflation data for further guidance.

 

The early estimate for the annual CPI in Japan is 1.5 percent, but the core CPI could fall to -0.9 percent from -0.7 percent previously.

GBP/JPY

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