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June 18th - On June 18th, the China Economic Information Service, in conjunction with Meiwang, released the "China Live Streaming E-commerce Development Report (2026)". The report shows that my countrys live streaming e-commerce industry is currently undergoing rapid iteration and has officially entered a new stage of refined operation. By 2025, the domestic live streaming e-commerce transaction volume will exceed 6 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20%. The industry is shifting from extensive traffic competition to high-quality, refined development, becoming a key engine driving online retail growth.Both WTI and Brent crude oil prices fell by $0.60 in the short term, and Kuwait Petroleum Corporation stated that Kuwait would immediately lift all force majeure declarations.Kuwait has begun increasing its oil production, which is expected to exceed 2 million barrels per day within a week. The rate of increase in Kuwaiti oil production is faster than previously anticipated.June 18 – European Central Bank Chief Economist Lane said on Thursday that despite recent declines in energy prices, eurozone inflation will remain at a high level. The ECB raised interest rates last week for the first time in nearly three years in response to a surge in energy prices since the outbreak of the Middle East conflict in late February. However, oil and gas prices subsequently fell sharply after Iran and the United States announced a peace agreement. Lane stated that the ECB has no doubt about the correctness of its decision to raise interest rates and still expects inflation to remain above the 2% target level for an extended period. He said, “We believe food prices will rise, and prices for goods and services will also rise. Even in a more moderate scenario with lower oil prices, a rate hike would be reasonable.”June 18 - European Central Bank Chief Economist Lane said on Thursday that the upper limit of the neutral range for eurozone interest rates has risen from 2.25% to 2.50%. Lane stated, "I believe our calculation of the neutral rate applies to the final interest rate level after the shock ends." "We referenced a range of neutral rate models, and we believe the upper limit of that range has gradually risen from 2.25% to 2.50%."

GBP/JPY Falls Below 158.00 as UK Recession Concerns Grow

Daniel Rogers

May 19, 2022 10:06

Following Wednesday's release of UK inflation data, the GBP/JPY pair is likely to experience a sharp decline. After the UK's Office for National Statistics reported the annual UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) at a staggering 9 percent, the pound bulls shown widespread weakness. The asset has declined almost 2.5 percent since Tuesday, when it reached a recent high of 161.85.

 

Despite the fact that the UK Statistics Office has announced a slight decline in the annual rate from the consensus of 9.1 percent, a figure of 9 percent is sufficient to cause mayhem in the FX realm. It appears that the Bank of England (BOE) has been left with little choice but to implement a massive rate hike, since rising price pressures would aggravate the real income position for people.

 

The monthly rate of inflation in the United Kingdom increased to 2.5% from 1.1% previously. While the core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, has increased to 6.2%, it has remained in line with expectations.

 

On the Japanese yen front, weaker than expected Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers have encouraged yen bulls. The annualized GDP number for Japan remained higher than the average estimate of -1.8 percent, at -1 percent. While the quarterly figure of -0.2 percent was still negative, it exceeded the predictions of -0.4 percent. Investors will depend on Japan's Friday-due inflation data for further guidance.

 

The early estimate for the annual CPI in Japan is 1.5 percent, but the core CPI could fall to -0.9 percent from -0.7 percent previously.

GBP/JPY

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