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Futures News, December 11th: Crude oil prices corrected, and positive news for the fuel oil market offered limited guidance. Downstream traders remained cautious and acted on demand, while refineries maintained a slow pace of sales. It is expected that fuel oil trading will mostly stabilize today.December 11th - Calvin Tse, Head of US Strategy and Economics at BNP Paribas: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has served a long time and enjoys high prestige within the FOMC. Even under his leadership, three members still oppose interest rate decisions, and its hard to imagine any new Fed Chairman easily gaining unanimous approval from the FOMC members.On December 11th, in a social media interaction, Musk hinted that SpaceX might go public, following reports that the rocket maker plans an IPO in 2026. Musk responded to a post by Berger, saying, "As always, Eric is accurate." Erics post read, "This is why I think SpaceX is about to go public," and included Erics related article. Reuters reported on Tuesday that SpaceX hopes to raise more than $25 billion through an IPO in 2026, a move that could boost SpaceXs valuation to over $1 trillion.According to Huahai Qingke, on December 10, the cumulative output of the 12-inch thinning and polishing integrated machine Versatile-GP300, independently developed by Huahai Qingke, exceeded 20 units.On December 11th, a macro research report from Guolian Minsheng stated that, contrary to market expectations, neither Federal Reserve Chairman Powell nor the dot plot showed a more pronounced hawkish bias. Powell announced the resumption of short-term bond purchases and continued his previous stance on interest rate cuts, emphasizing that the Fed will make decisions based on economic data at each meeting, and that monetary policy has no fixed path. The dot plot also showed a more dovish distribution compared to September. Following the meeting, US stocks and precious metals surged, while the dollar and US Treasury yields weakened. However, regardless of the outcome, given the current interest rate level, the threshold for Fed rate cuts has clearly increased. The Fed will likely enter a period of observation in the first half of next year, with a significantly slower pace of change, and the political drama surrounding the Feds independence will officially begin.

Price Analysis of the US Dollar Index: DXY Retreats from 104.00, Rising Wedge Anticipated

Alina Haynes

May 12, 2022 10:27

During Thursday's Asian session, the US Dollar Index (DXY) fails to continue the previous two days' upward momentum, trading on the defensive around 103.95.

 

In doing so, the dollar index remains near the 20-year high reached earlier in the week, but for the first time in three days, the daily decline is recorded.

 

In addition to highlighting a 12-day-old rising wedge bearish pattern surrounding the multi-day top, the DXY's most recent decline also reveals a multi-day top-adjacent rising wedge formation. The slow RSI also highlights the significance of the chart pattern.

 

However, a decisive breach below 102.90 is required to validate the potential decline to 101.30.

 

During the fall, the 100-SMA and monthly low between 102.65 and 102.35 will serve as intermediate stops.

 

Until the quote continues below the indicated wedge's resistance line, approximately 104.30 as of press time, a recovery appears elusive.

 

After that, a slow climb to the September 2002 high of 109.80 cannot be ruled out.

Four-hour DXY chart

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