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On September 10th, four sources within the Yemeni government forces stated that the Houthi rebels are close to gaining complete control of coastal cities along the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, including the historic port cities of Mocha and Dhubab. The group is currently pushing for control of the entire Red Sea coast of Yemen. The Bab el-Mandeb Strait, also known as the "Gate of Tears," is a key target for the Houthis. If this narrow waterway is blocked, the main shipping routes for Gulf oil-producing countries, especially Saudi Arabia, will be disrupted, following Irans de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz.The yield on German 30-year government bonds rose to 3.8981%, the highest level since April 2011, up 2 basis points.Pakistan stated on Thursday that, according to the Mecca Agreement, there are currently no discussions regarding Islamabads military response to Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia, but added that Pakistan will act "when the time is right." When asked at a weekly media briefing about Islamabads plans to fulfill its obligations under the joint defense agreement signed with Turkey and Saudi Arabia, Pakistani Foreign Ministry spokesman Sajjad Haider Khan said, "There are no discussions on such matters at present… When the time is right, (we) will act in accordance with the agreement." The joint defense agreement, signed last month, stipulates that an armed attack on any of the three countries will be considered an attack on all three. This issue arises after Houthi attacks on Saudi cities and energy infrastructure this week, which, as of Thursday, have become a second front in the Middle East. Reuters reported that Islamabad has warned Iran to restrain its Houthi allies in Yemen after the Houthis intensified their attacks on Saudi Arabia. Pakistan, which is also mediating the US-Iran conflict, condemned the attacks but did not elaborate on how it might respond under the terms of the defense agreement.Statistics South Africa: South African gold production fell 7.4% year-on-year in July, total mining output fell 7.5% year-on-year, and platinum group metals production fell 13.5% year-on-year.On September 10th, according to an analysis by The Jerusalem Post, the Houthi rebels seized control of the Red Sea coastal city of Muha on Thursday. This Houthi advance is not surprising. Although the Houthis have suffered setbacks on other fronts, this offensive appears poised to have broader implications for the entire region. Located at the northern end of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, control of Muha could mean that the Iranian-backed Houthis are one step closer to closing the strait. This would give Iran greater influence in regional affairs, despite its recent apparent setbacks on several fronts. The Houthi threat could exacerbate global security uncertainty and continue to disrupt energy markets. On September 9th, Trump stated that he expected the US-Iran conflict to gradually de-escalate after the US midterm elections, and that international oil prices were expected to fall accordingly. However, the fighting in Muha could change his assessment. In conclusion, the Yemeni government forces setbacks in Muha demonstrate that this long-neglected, relatively low-intensity conflict in Yemen still has the potential to reshape the entire regional landscape.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers from 0.86 before to German GDP

Alina Haynes

Oct 28, 2022 15:29

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During the Tokyo session, the EUR/GBP exchange rate of 0.8610 attracted increased interest. Prior to the announcement of German Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, the asset broke above a tight consolidation between 0.8610 and 0.8620.

 

The risk profile has detected a comeback as S&P500 futures have reduced their gains. Additionally, the US dollar index (DXY) has declined to roughly 110.35.

 

Following Thursday's announcement of monetary policy by the European Central Bank, bulls of common currencies faced a sharp sell-off (ECB). Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank (ECB), announced a 75 basis point (bps) consecutive rate increase and a push of interest rates to 1.5%, the highest level since 2009, in order to combat the record inflation jump and ensure a speedy return to 2%.

 

The less forceful tone of policy directives hurt euro bulls. Christine Lagarde appeared dovish during the press conference, but Commerzbank analysts still forecast a big rate hike at the December meeting.

 

The future focus of investors will be on German Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures. The consensus predicts that the annual GDP growth rate for the third quarter will be 0.8%, down from the previous reading of 1.7%. Quarterly GDP data will demonstrate a 0.2% drop.

 

In order to establish financial stability, the novel UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has shifted his whole attention to lowering the pile of debt. According to the Financial Times, Sunak is proposing tax increases and budget cuts of up to 50 billion GBP, which is consistent with the plan of the Bank of England (BOE). Next week, investors will focus only on the monetary policy of the Bank of England. As the first interest rate decision following Sunak's candidacy as British prime minister, the monetary policy decision will have a significant impact.