• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
White House official: Trump has discussed with oil companies plans to extend the blockade of Iran for several months if necessary.1. Wells Fargo: Still expects the Fed to cut rates twice this year, by 25 basis points, in September and December respectively. 2. ANZ: The Fed is very likely to restart its rate-cutting cycle in the third quarter of this year, most likely at the September meeting. 3. Goldman Sachs: Expects the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points each in September and December, and believes the possibility of a rate hike this year is very small. 4. Bank of America: Downside risks to economic growth lead us to continue to predict a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed later this year. 5. TD Securities: By the September decision, the market will have accumulated enough evidence to support the Feds gradual return to an easing cycle. 6. Standard Chartered: Once Warshs nomination is confirmed, the Fed will likely shift its focus to reviving the weak job market and resuming rate cuts. 7. Commerzbank: In the medium to long term, the Fed will be unable to resist pressure from the US president and may cut rates for the first time by the end of the year, followed by two more rate cuts in 2027. 8. Danske Bank: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged throughout the summer and eventually resume rate cuts in September and December. 9. Barclays: If inflation falls as expected, the Fed is expected to gain sufficient confidence to begin easing policy around September. 10. ING: Maintains its forecast that the Fed will cut rates twice this year, in September and December. 11. BNY Mellon: Assuming the Strait of Hormuz reopens, the Fed will cut rates twice in the fourth quarter.April 29 - International crude oil futures continued to climb as the standoff in the Middle East is expected to drag on, with the US and Iran continuing their respective blockades of the Strait of Hormuz. "The continued stalemate in negotiations between the US and Iran makes it increasingly unlikely that supplies through the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal in the short term," said Linh Tran, an analyst at XS.com, in a report. She added, "The market is no longer just anticipating risk, but a prolonged period of supply disruption."With the 60-day deadline approaching, US Republicans are discussing whether to authorize a war against Iran.According to Saudi media outlet alhadath, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has not received an invitation to travel to Washington.

Stocks And Bonds Fall As Germany's Surprise Raises Inflation Concerns

Aria Thomas

May 31, 2022 11:35

S2.png


After a high inflation data in Germany heightened concerns about the pace and magnitude of upcoming interest rate hikes, stocks and bonds in Asia fluctuated and the dollar strengthened on Tuesday.


Increasing energy costs heightened concerns about the permanence of consumer suffering. Brent crude futures reached a two-month high of $122.43 a barrel after the European Union pledged to reduce its oil imports from Russia by the end of the year.


Returning from the U.S. holiday on Monday, U.S. treasuries declined, driving the yield of the 10-year bond up nearly 10 basis points (bps) to 2.8405 percent.


German consumer prices grew at their highest pace in half a century overnight, bolstering the case for an outsized European Central Bank interest rate hike in July. German bund rates increased by 8.1 basis points overnight.


Tuesday afternoon will feature Eurozone inflation figures.


Chinese Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) figures showed another month of contraction in services and manufacturing activity, though at a reduced pace of decline.


In the stocks market, S&P 500 futures reversed early gains to trade flat at the start of the Asian session, while Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.4%. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific equities outside Japan lost a two-day gaining streak and fell 0.2%. Japan's Nikkei dipped 0.1 percent. (T)


According to Khoon Goh, head of Asia research at ANZ Bank in Singapore, the current focus is on the U.S. economy and China.


The fact that the world's two largest economies are slowing for separate reasons is not good for the global growth trajectory.


Data released on Tuesday revealed that factory output in the world's third-largest economy, Japan, declined substantially in April as Chinese demand waned.


China's official PMI in May was 49.6, showing a decline in industrial activity, but at a slower rate than in April, when it was 47.4.


Growth fears have halted a two-week advance for exporter currencies worldwide and have stabilized the U.S. dollar as investors have resumed their flight to safety. 


Governor of the U.S. Federal Reserve Christopher Waller's hawkish comments further diminished recent hopes that the Fed would take a breather after the June and July rate hikes.


"I advocate putting 50 (basis point increases) on the table at each meeting until we observe a significant decline in inflation. I don't see why we should stop until we obtain it "Waller remarked.


Fed Funds futures plummeted, particularly those for the early months of next year, as investors braced for persistent interest rate hikes that would drive the benchmark rate to 3 percent by mid-2023.


The dollar traded on Tuesday at $1.0744 per euro, up 0.3%, and 128.16 per JPY, up around 0.4%.


The trade-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars declined, with the Australian dollar down 0.2% to $0.7180 and the New Zealand dollar falling 0.4% to $0.6530.


After the European Union agreed to reduce its oil imports from Russia by the end of 2022, oil prices increased.


U.S. crude futures increased to $117.70 a barrel.


The strengthening dollar pulled the spot price of gold down to $1,848 per ounce. Overnight, Bitcoin surged over 8 percent and above $32,000 for the first time in three weeks. Early in the Asian session, the price was barely below $31,540.