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The Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) announced today that it conducted 393 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, with a bid amount of 393 billion yuan and a winning bid amount of 393 billion yuan. The operation rate was 1.40%, unchanged from the previous rate.Chart: Speculative Sentiment Index on Friday, June 12, 2026Trump halts strikes against Iran, says peace agreement to be signed "in the coming days," causing international oil prices to plummet. A quick chart shows the pre-market conversion of domestic and international crude oil prices.According to Futures News on June 12, as of 8:30 AM Beijing time, spot platinum rose 0.56% and spot palladium rose 1.50%.June 12 (Futures News) – Since the second quarter, gold prices have continued to decline, and market pessimism has spread. Signals from the options market indicate that some traders are betting that this decline will continue for the next two years. 1. According to ThinkOrSwim and SpotGamma data, approximately $200 million in premiums were traded in the GLD options market on Wednesday, of which $130 million was related to put options. Of the top 10 contracts by trading volume, 8 were put options, and more than half of the put option premiums were traded at or above the ask price, indicating that these contracts were primarily bought. The second most traded option contract was a put contract expiring in June 2028 with a strike price of $240, priced at $11.50 per contract – this is a deep bearish bet, meaning traders expect the GLD ETF (SPDR Gold Trust) to fall by approximately 40% over the next two years. 2. Market participants told Futures Daily that the recent decline in gold prices is not due to the collapse of the long-term bull market foundation, but rather to the concentrated release of short-term macroeconomic negative factors, among which the change in expectations for the Federal Reserves monetary policy is the core negative factor. 3. Lin Zhenlong, senior precious metals analyst at Shanjin Futures, added that the core reason for the more than 20% drop in gold prices since the beginning of the year is a phased shift in market pricing power, rather than a failure of long-term logic. Long-term supporting factors such as central bank gold purchases and de-dollarization remain unchanged, but the short-term trading focus has completely shifted to interest rates. The increase in US Treasury yields and the strengthening of the US dollar have raised the cost of holding gold, triggering a sell-off by bulls. Currently, the impact of real interest rates on gold prices far exceeds traditional supporting factors such as safe-haven assets. In the medium to long term, the supporting logic for a long-term bull market in gold remains solid. However, before a substantial shift in Federal Reserve policy and confirmation that US Treasury yields have peaked, gold is unlikely to start a trend of upward movement and will most likely continue to fluctuate and consolidate at the bottom. (This content and opinion are for reference only and do not constitute any investment advice.)

Asian Stocks Rise; China Plans to Relax COVID Measures; However, Concerns Remain

Aria Thomas

May 30, 2022 11:21

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China's relaxing of several COVID-19 restrictive measures and U.S. markets' greatest week since November 2020 before Monday's Memorial Day weekend sent Asia Pacific stocks higher on Monday morning.


The Nikkei 225 gained 2% by 10:24 p.m. ET (2:24 a.m. GMT), while the KOSPI gained 1.27 percent.


The S&P/ASX 200 increased 0.91 percent in Australia.


Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 2.19 percent .


The Shanghai Composite rose 0.55 percent, while the Shenzhen Component rose 0.04 percent.


Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 contracts were higher, a possible indication that the rebound could continue. As institutional investors rebalance their portfolios in anticipation for the end of the month, the S&P 500 erased its May losses and ended a streak of seven straight weekly losses.


As the European Union (EU) failed to agree on a revised package of Russian sanctions in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine on February 24, the dollar remained stable while the euro fluctuate. The U.S. holiday prevents the trading of cash Treasuries in Asia.


China recorded fewer cases of COVID-19 in both Beijing and Shanghai, encouraging the government to relax some restrictions in an effort to stimulate the economy.


After one of the worst starts to the year for global markets, the key question for investors is whether the bottom of the recent selloff is near. Investors have been buying the dip. Concerns continue, however, regarding stricter monetary policies from central banks, growing food inflation resulting from the conflict in Ukraine, and China's COVID-19 measures.


Bloomberg quoted Citigroup (NYSE:C) Australia head of investment experts Maheebeen Zaman as saying, "We are in the midst of a bear market rally."


Treasury yields are expected to peak in 2022, according to Zaman. "I believe the market will trade in a narrow range as investors try to determine how soon the next recession will arrive and how rapidly inflation will decline," he added.


As of Wednesday, the Fed will also begin reducing its $8.9 trillion balance sheet and will also print its Beige Book assessment on regional economic conditions. Presidents John Williams of the New York Fed and James Bullard of the St. Louis Fed will both speak at separate events on Wednesday, with President Loretta Mester of the Cleveland Fed discussing the economic outlook the next day.


Friday, the United States will release its May employment report, including non-farm payrolls. Tuesday will see the release of the Eurozone consumer price index, as well as China's manufacturing and non-manufacturing purchasing managers indexes.


Later in the day, EU leaders will convene in Brussels for a two-day extraordinary conference to discuss the war in Ukraine, defense, inflation, energy, and food security. The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations will also release its monthly food price index on Friday, just as global supply concerns reach their peak.

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