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June 24th - The U.S. current account deficit widened to $226.8 billion in the first quarter, an increase of $5.8 billion, or 2.6%, from the revised $221.1 billion in the fourth quarter of last year. The current account deficit as a percentage of GDP rose slightly to 2.9% from 2.8%. The widening deficit was not due to trade. The goods trade deficit actually narrowed, with exports of goods and services jumping $50 billion to $1.38 trillion. The main drag came from primary income, which shifted from a surplus in the fourth quarter to a deficit in the first quarter. This account reflects the difference between the returns on foreign assets held by U.S. residents and the returns on U.S. assets held by foreign residents. This shift reveals a change in relative returns and rising costs of financing an increasingly unbalanced balance sheet. It is noteworthy that the annual revision was substantial. The fourth-quarter deficit was revised to -$221.1 billion from an initial -$190.7 billion, and the net international investment position was also revised by nearly $6 trillion.The U.S. current account deficit in the first quarter was $226.8 billion, compared to an expected deficit of $215 billion and a revised deficit of $221.1 billion in the previous quarter (originally reported as $190.7 billion).On June 24th, Capital.com analyst Daniela Hathorn stated in a report that upcoming US data will determine whether the dollars current rally has further room to grow. She said that if inflation and labor market data continue to support the narrative that interest rates will remain high for an extended period, the dollar should continue to be supported. If price pressures begin to ease more quickly, the market may begin to question whether current interest rate expectations have become too aggressive. PCE data (the Feds preferred inflation gauge) and unemployment claims data will be released on Thursday, and the non-farm payrolls report will be released on July 2nd.Market expectations for a Fed rate hike deepened, causing spot gold and silver prices to plummet. A chart provides a quick overview of the pre-market conversion prices of gold and silver between domestic and international markets.On June 24th, MillTech analyst Nick Wood stated in a report that British investors are eager to know who will be appointed Chancellor of the Exchequer, as current Chancellor Reeves is likely to be replaced following Starmers resignation as Prime Minister this week. The Chancellors selection may be just as important to market confidence as the new Prime Minister. Investors are eager to understand the economic policies of the new leadership team. Given the lack of other competitors, leading candidate Andy Burnham seems increasingly likely to be appointed as the new Prime Minister without any rivals.

Asian Stocks Rise; China Plans to Relax COVID Measures; However, Concerns Remain

Aria Thomas

May 30, 2022 11:21

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China's relaxing of several COVID-19 restrictive measures and U.S. markets' greatest week since November 2020 before Monday's Memorial Day weekend sent Asia Pacific stocks higher on Monday morning.


The Nikkei 225 gained 2% by 10:24 p.m. ET (2:24 a.m. GMT), while the KOSPI gained 1.27 percent.


The S&P/ASX 200 increased 0.91 percent in Australia.


Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 2.19 percent .


The Shanghai Composite rose 0.55 percent, while the Shenzhen Component rose 0.04 percent.


Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 contracts were higher, a possible indication that the rebound could continue. As institutional investors rebalance their portfolios in anticipation for the end of the month, the S&P 500 erased its May losses and ended a streak of seven straight weekly losses.


As the European Union (EU) failed to agree on a revised package of Russian sanctions in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine on February 24, the dollar remained stable while the euro fluctuate. The U.S. holiday prevents the trading of cash Treasuries in Asia.


China recorded fewer cases of COVID-19 in both Beijing and Shanghai, encouraging the government to relax some restrictions in an effort to stimulate the economy.


After one of the worst starts to the year for global markets, the key question for investors is whether the bottom of the recent selloff is near. Investors have been buying the dip. Concerns continue, however, regarding stricter monetary policies from central banks, growing food inflation resulting from the conflict in Ukraine, and China's COVID-19 measures.


Bloomberg quoted Citigroup (NYSE:C) Australia head of investment experts Maheebeen Zaman as saying, "We are in the midst of a bear market rally."


Treasury yields are expected to peak in 2022, according to Zaman. "I believe the market will trade in a narrow range as investors try to determine how soon the next recession will arrive and how rapidly inflation will decline," he added.


As of Wednesday, the Fed will also begin reducing its $8.9 trillion balance sheet and will also print its Beige Book assessment on regional economic conditions. Presidents John Williams of the New York Fed and James Bullard of the St. Louis Fed will both speak at separate events on Wednesday, with President Loretta Mester of the Cleveland Fed discussing the economic outlook the next day.


Friday, the United States will release its May employment report, including non-farm payrolls. Tuesday will see the release of the Eurozone consumer price index, as well as China's manufacturing and non-manufacturing purchasing managers indexes.


Later in the day, EU leaders will convene in Brussels for a two-day extraordinary conference to discuss the war in Ukraine, defense, inflation, energy, and food security. The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations will also release its monthly food price index on Friday, just as global supply concerns reach their peak.