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Real-time News
July 30th - Foreign media analysis suggests that while US President Trump continues to pressure newly appointed Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh to cut interest rates as soon as possible, Wall Street investors are increasingly betting on the opposite outcome. Recent escalation of the conflict with Iran, the implementation of a new round of global tariffs, the continued data center investment boom, and strong US consumption have collectively exacerbated market and Federal Reserve concerns about inflationary pressures, reinforcing expectations of continued tightening policies or even further interest rate hikes. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at its Wednesday meeting. However, whether Warsh, who took over as chairman at the end of May, can continue to suppress calls for rate hikes within the committee increasingly depends on whether inflation can continue to improve. Current polls show that the American public is not satisfied with Trumps economic performance, and higher interest rates will undoubtedly further dampen the economic performance the White House hopes to see. Trump has consistently called for rate cuts and reiterated this stance this week. However, even if the Federal Reserve ultimately chooses to raise rates, Trumps initial target may not be Warsh, but rather other Federal Reserve officials. Trump has already appointed three members to the seven-member Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Trump previously stated, "Kevin is excellent, but he also has a committee, and the members of that committee are very politicized. He wants to do the right thing, and I know what he wants to do, but he also needs the approval of some people who may have ulterior motives. Interest rates should go down."Bank of Canada meeting minutes: The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has increased the upside risks to inflation.Bank of Canada meeting minutes: The possibility of new tariffs imposed by the United States is a "constant downside risk".Bank of Canada meeting minutes: Some members expressed concern about signs of rising medium-term inflation expectations, but all members agreed that long-term inflation expectations remained solid.Bank of Canada meeting minutes: Nevertheless, members noted that uncertainty remained high, partly due to the unpredictability of the Middle East conflict.

Asian Stocks Rise; China Plans to Relax COVID Measures; However, Concerns Remain

Aria Thomas

May 30, 2022 11:21

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China's relaxing of several COVID-19 restrictive measures and U.S. markets' greatest week since November 2020 before Monday's Memorial Day weekend sent Asia Pacific stocks higher on Monday morning.


The Nikkei 225 gained 2% by 10:24 p.m. ET (2:24 a.m. GMT), while the KOSPI gained 1.27 percent.


The S&P/ASX 200 increased 0.91 percent in Australia.


Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 2.19 percent .


The Shanghai Composite rose 0.55 percent, while the Shenzhen Component rose 0.04 percent.


Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 contracts were higher, a possible indication that the rebound could continue. As institutional investors rebalance their portfolios in anticipation for the end of the month, the S&P 500 erased its May losses and ended a streak of seven straight weekly losses.


As the European Union (EU) failed to agree on a revised package of Russian sanctions in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine on February 24, the dollar remained stable while the euro fluctuate. The U.S. holiday prevents the trading of cash Treasuries in Asia.


China recorded fewer cases of COVID-19 in both Beijing and Shanghai, encouraging the government to relax some restrictions in an effort to stimulate the economy.


After one of the worst starts to the year for global markets, the key question for investors is whether the bottom of the recent selloff is near. Investors have been buying the dip. Concerns continue, however, regarding stricter monetary policies from central banks, growing food inflation resulting from the conflict in Ukraine, and China's COVID-19 measures.


Bloomberg quoted Citigroup (NYSE:C) Australia head of investment experts Maheebeen Zaman as saying, "We are in the midst of a bear market rally."


Treasury yields are expected to peak in 2022, according to Zaman. "I believe the market will trade in a narrow range as investors try to determine how soon the next recession will arrive and how rapidly inflation will decline," he added.


As of Wednesday, the Fed will also begin reducing its $8.9 trillion balance sheet and will also print its Beige Book assessment on regional economic conditions. Presidents John Williams of the New York Fed and James Bullard of the St. Louis Fed will both speak at separate events on Wednesday, with President Loretta Mester of the Cleveland Fed discussing the economic outlook the next day.


Friday, the United States will release its May employment report, including non-farm payrolls. Tuesday will see the release of the Eurozone consumer price index, as well as China's manufacturing and non-manufacturing purchasing managers indexes.


Later in the day, EU leaders will convene in Brussels for a two-day extraordinary conference to discuss the war in Ukraine, defense, inflation, energy, and food security. The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations will also release its monthly food price index on Friday, just as global supply concerns reach their peak.

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