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January 5th - According to foreign media analysis, the case of Panamanian leader Manuel Noriega, arrested by the US government more than 30 years ago, may serve as a significant reference for Maduros case. Noriega was accused of involvement in drug smuggling into the US and was also arrested during a military operation within his own country. His lawyers argued that the US invasion and cross-border arrest violated international law and due process, and that Noriega, as a head of state, enjoyed immunity. However, the court did not accept this argument, ruling that the manner in which he was brought to the US did not affect criminal jurisdiction. Legal experts point out that if Maduro claims he was illegally brought to the US, existing precedents support continuing the prosecution. The real difficulty lies in whether he enjoys immunity as a head of state or for official acts. The difference is that the US did not recognize Noriegas head of state status at the time, while the Department of Justice, in its indictment unsealed on Saturday, referred to Maduro as the "de facto but illegitimate ruler" of Venezuela. Steve Vladek, a professor at Georgetown Universitys Law Center, stated, "This lawsuit is by no means a sure thing," especially regarding the accusations against Maduro himself.On January 5th, according to Tianyanchas risk information platform, Fang Yunzhou, Zhang Yong, and Yichun Langling Enterprise Management Consulting Center (Limited Partnership) were recently added to the list of judgment debtors, with an enforcement target of over 1.05 million yuan. The executing court is the Shanghai First Intermediate Peoples Court. Yichun Langling Enterprise Management Consulting Center (Limited Partnership) was established in October 2021, with Fang Yunzhou as the general partner and a capital contribution of 5.48 million yuan. Its business scope includes social and economic consulting services and information consulting services. Partner information shows that the consulting center is jointly funded by Fang Yunzhou, Zhang Yong, and more than 40 other partners.January 5th - As of midday closing, the Hang Seng Index fell 0.08%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 0.18%. On the sector front, oil stocks, auto stocks, commercial aerospace stocks, and gaming software stocks led the declines, while short video concept stocks, pharmaceutical outsourcing concept stocks, brain-computer interface concept stocks, and mainland property stocks led the gains. NIO (09866.HK) fell over 5%, Great Wall Motor (02333.HK), XPeng Motors (09868.HK), and PetroChina (00857.HK) fell over 4%, CNOOC (00883.HK) fell over 3%, and Sinopec (00386.HK) fell over 1%. Nanjing Panda Electronics (00553.HK) surged nearly 45%, Joinn Laboratories (06127.HK) rose over 11%, and Kuaishou (01024.HK) and Shimao Group (00813.HK) rose over 9%.The yield on Japans 40-year government bonds rose 2.5 basis points to 3.630%.On January 5th, Daiwa Securities issued a report stating that Mixue Group (02097.HK) is facing a potential downward valuation reassessment due to slowing future profit growth, and its second growth engine has not yet been validated. The bank downgraded its investment rating from "Outperform" to "Hold" and lowered its valuation basis from a projected P/E ratio of 28x to 22x, with the target price reduced from HK$535 to HK$427. The bank believes that Mixues current valuation of 21x (equivalent to a projected P/E ratio for this year) is high, compared to 15-19x for mainland catering peers, and its forecast of a 15% CAGR for Mixues earnings from 2025 to 2027. The report stated that after the subsidy boom, Mixues same-store sales growth has remained resilient, and its branch network expansion may provide some support, but the bank believes the market may have overly high expectations for a second growth engine.

Stock Markets Continue to Put Up a Fight

Cory Russell

Jul 13, 2022 16:12

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The S&P 500 initially fell during the trading session on Tuesday but turned around to show signs of life.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 has decreased significantly during Tuesday's trading session as a result of the ongoing disruptive behavior. At this time, it seems as if the market could attempt to rise, but before I consider a rally seriously, we would need to break above the 50 Day EMA. Beyond that, there is also the 4000 level, which has a significant psychological component, and the 4200 level, which has very strong structural resistance.


Alternatively, if we go below the candlestick's bottom during Tuesday's trading session, we might pass through the 3800 level and then fall considerably more. Given enough time, I believe that will happen more often than not, but at the moment, it seems like we are just passing the time and attempting to decide what to do next. It's also important to note that the general economic picture hasn't altered significantly and that all of the impulsive swings have been downward with the rare recovery.

 

Since most traders are ill-equipped to operate in a situation where businesses must really create in order to be rewarded in the market, it seems obvious that equities will continue to lose money as inflation and monetary tightening increase. Because the way the markets work is about to undergo a significant change, I would anticipate quite a bit of erratic behavior over the next several months. I'll still be playing this market by fading rallies.