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Futures News, January 22nd: I. Domestic Weather (1) Low temperatures still exist in Jiangnan and other areas, with temperatures gradually rising on the 23rd. On January 22nd, low temperatures still exist in Hunan, Guizhou, Jiangxi and other areas, with temperatures gradually rising from the 23rd. (2) Heavy to blizzard conditions in southwestern Tibet. From the night of January 22nd to the 24th, moderate to heavy snow is expected in parts of western Xinjiang and southwestern Tibet, with blizzards or heavy blizzards in some areas. During this period, light to moderate snow will occur on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from west to east, and temperatures will drop by 6-8℃ after the snowfall, with some areas experiencing drops of more than 10℃. II. Global Weather (1) Strong rain, snow, strong winds and temperature drops are expected in Central Asia and West Asia. Over the next three days, affected by the low-pressure system, some areas in southern Central Asia, central and eastern Afghanistan, the Pamir Plateau, eastern Far East, and central and northern Japan will experience heavy to blizzard-like snow or sleet, with some areas experiencing heavy to extremely heavy snow. Most of these areas will see a temperature drop of 8 to 12°C, with some areas experiencing a drop of 14 to 16°C, accompanied by strong winds of level 4 to 6 and above. (2) Heavy rainfall in central and southeastern Brazil. Over the next three days, affected by the low-pressure system, some areas in Brazil, Ecuador, western Colombia, Peru, and northern Bolivia will experience moderate to heavy rain, with some areas experiencing torrential rain. (3) Heavy precipitation in southern Africa and strong winds and temperature drops in the northwest. Over the next three days, affected by the low-pressure system, some areas in southern Africa, including Madagascar and Botswana, will experience moderate to heavy rain, with some areas experiencing torrential rain, accompanied by short-term heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, strong winds, and other severe convective weather. Temperatures in Libya and other areas will drop by 6 to 10 degrees Celsius or more, accompanied by strong winds of level 4 to 6 or higher.Japans Ministry of Finance: Japans exports to the United States fell 11.1% year-on-year in December, while exports to Asia rose 10.2% year-on-year.Integrated Circuits (Chips): 1. Ministry of Industry and Information Technology: Accelerate breakthroughs in key technologies such as training chips and heterogeneous computing power. 2. Moores Threads: Expected revenue of RMB 1.45 billion to RMB 1.52 billion in 2025. 3. Japanese automakers join forces with chip manufacturers to establish a database to prevent supply disruptions and geopolitical shocks. 4. The US says its goal is to move 40% of Taiwans semiconductor supply chain capacity to the US; Taiwan Affairs Office responds. 5. TSMCs advanced 3nm process faces unprecedented production bottlenecks; all capacity is booked until 2027. Artificial Intelligence: 1. OpenAI founder Altman meets with Middle Eastern investors to discuss $50 billion in funding. 2. The Qianwen series of models has surpassed 1 billion downloads. 3. OpenAIs first hardware device is reportedly an AI headset. 4. Apple plans to reshape Siri into a built-in chatbot, possibly announcing it in June. 5. Anthropics annual revenue is reportedly over $9 billion by the end of 2025. 6. White House AI report: Research estimates AI could boost GDP by 1% to over 45%. 7. Apple plans to launch its first wearable AI pin in 2027, with an initial production run of 20 million units. 8. Ministry of Industry and Information Technology: By 2025, my country will have over 6,000 AI companies, with the core industry expected to exceed 1.2 trillion yuan. 9. Meta: The Super Intelligence Lab delivered its first batch of key AI models internally in January, and the new AI models performed "very well." Other: 1. my country successfully conducted an automatic platooning test of heavy-haul trains. 2. Ministry of Industry and Information Technology: my country has launched the second phase of 6G technology trials. 3. Shanghai tax authorities fined Pinduoduo 100,000 yuan. 4. French game giant Ubisoft restructured its business, canceling six games and lowering its performance guidance. 5. Ministry of Industry and Information Technology: Will release guidelines for the construction of a comprehensive standardization system for humanoid robots and embodied intelligence. 6. Reports indicate that Googles Chromebook shipment target for this year remains unchanged from 2025, at 19.5 million units. 7. Sources: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang plans to visit China in late January to attend a company gathering before the Spring Festival holiday. On January 22nd, a research report from CITIC Securities pointed out that the USD/CNY exchange rate has also continued to rise recently. Given the still strong willingness to settle foreign exchange in the short term, and the fact that the beginning of each year is a major window for RMB appreciation, it cannot be ruled out that the RMB will continue to rise before the Spring Festival, releasing appreciation pressure. The combination of falling US Treasury yields and a strengthening RMB will put considerable pressure on current US Treasury holdings. However, after entering March, US Treasury yields and the RMB exchange rate may simultaneously peak, at which time a more ideal buying opportunity will be provided.The founder of the US car trading platform TrueCar stated that tariffs will drive up prices and reduce supply. Longer car loans are also a problem for the auto industry.

Stock Markets Continue to Put Up a Fight

Cory Russell

Jul 13, 2022 16:12

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The S&P 500 initially fell during the trading session on Tuesday but turned around to show signs of life.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 has decreased significantly during Tuesday's trading session as a result of the ongoing disruptive behavior. At this time, it seems as if the market could attempt to rise, but before I consider a rally seriously, we would need to break above the 50 Day EMA. Beyond that, there is also the 4000 level, which has a significant psychological component, and the 4200 level, which has very strong structural resistance.


Alternatively, if we go below the candlestick's bottom during Tuesday's trading session, we might pass through the 3800 level and then fall considerably more. Given enough time, I believe that will happen more often than not, but at the moment, it seems like we are just passing the time and attempting to decide what to do next. It's also important to note that the general economic picture hasn't altered significantly and that all of the impulsive swings have been downward with the rare recovery.

 

Since most traders are ill-equipped to operate in a situation where businesses must really create in order to be rewarded in the market, it seems obvious that equities will continue to lose money as inflation and monetary tightening increase. Because the way the markets work is about to undergo a significant change, I would anticipate quite a bit of erratic behavior over the next several months. I'll still be playing this market by fading rallies.