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The coming weeks will be a critical period for the US stock market, one that will determine whether its latest rebound can continue. Employment data, key inflation indicators, and the Federal Reserves interest rate decision will all be released over the next 14 trading days, setting the market tone for investors. The stock market appears to be at a crossroads: the S&P 500 just posted its weakest monthly gain since March, with September historically its worst month. Meanwhile, market volatility has all but vanished. The VIX index, a fear index, has only touched the key 20 level once since late June. "Investors are right to be cautious in September," said Thomas Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors. "The Fed is resuming a modest rate-cutting cycle after a long pause, making it difficult for traders to determine their positioning." The long-term US stock bull predicts the S&P 500 will fall 5% to 10% this fall before rebounding to between 6,800 and 7,000 points.European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: The EUs new 150 billion euro plan to accelerate investment in the EUs defense industry will benefit Poland the most.U.S. Trade Representative Greer: Continue to advance trade negotiations after the tariff ruling (made by the U.S. court).On August 31, Yuzhou Group announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange that during the six months ending June 30, 2025, the contract sales amount reached RMB 3.729 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 14.21%; revenue was RMB 2.397 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 62.42%; the loss attributable to the parent companys owners was RMB 5.632 billion, and the loss attributable to the parent companys owners in the same period last year was RMB 6.256 billion.Kremlin: European countries are hindering Trumps efforts on Ukraine.

Stock Markets Continue to Show Signs of Weakness

Alice Wang

Jul 12, 2022 15:16

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During the trading session on Monday, the S&P 500 promptly declined and shown symptoms of weakness once again. After all, indexes traded lower globally.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Prior to the S&P 500 opening up for trade on Monday, there was a lot of selling pressure felt across the globe, which caused the S&P 500 to decline dramatically. That so, the 3950 level continues to provide considerable resistance, so we should monitor it carefully. Additionally, the 50 Day EMA is beginning to approach that region as well, so I believe everything fits together really well for resistance. The 4000 level also has a lot of psychological components to it.


Despite all of this, I have no interest in attempting to purchase stocks any time soon because, very simply, there are so many factors pushing against their value that I just don't want to take the chance of making money to the upside just now. In fact, I wouldn't be sure that the market's general attitude was shifting until we broke through the 4200 level. Then, things can start to become interesting.

 

Until then, I believe rallies will continue to be sold into, thus you must see it from the lens of providing a chance to short the market whenever it rebounds. The 3700 level, which I believe would be a decent target on the downside, might be of interest. Much if volatility has decreased a little, it's important to remember that the rallies have occurred in low volume circumstances, which is not exactly a bullish indication. Breaking down below that level might start off even more downside.

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