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On September 5th, a new assessment report released by US intelligence agencies indicated that more than six months after the US military action against Iran, Iran has become "more confident" in its ability to strike US targets in the Middle East and appears determined to continue its confrontation with the US, at least until the US midterm elections in November. According to US sources on September 4th, several US officials, after reviewing the latest intelligence assessment report, disclosed that the report shows that after months of fighting, Iran has a clearer understanding of its own "military strength" and is more convinced of the importance of the Strait of Hormuz. It is understood that, currently, although Iran is under dual military and economic pressure from the US, there is no indication that Iran intends to reach any form of agreement with the US. If Iran is attacked again, its reaction may be similar to before, namely, retaliating against US military bases and other targets in the Middle East. Some US officials believe that Iran may be trying to delay the war at least until the US midterm elections in November, and that Iran believes the US military is unable to launch a large-scale strike due to depleted weapons stockpiles.September 5th - According to Daqing Oilfield, as of August 31st, the Maokou Formation in the Sichuan-Chongqing exploration area of Daqing Oilfield has produced a cumulative total of 1.001 billion cubic meters of natural gas in 2026, breaking the 1 billion cubic meter mark for the first time. This marks a significant leap forward in the large-scale and efficient development of this formation, further strengthening my countrys stable oil and gas supply and ensuring supply during the winter.September 5 - A Chinese citizen trapped in a landslide-stricken area of Rasuwa, northern Nepal, was rescued on September 5 local time.On September 5, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Grossi announced that a partial ceasefire had been reinstated around the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant under IAEA mediation to facilitate repairs to damaged power lines and restore external power to the plant. The Zaporizhia plant lost connection to its last external power line on August 20 due to military activity and has since relied on emergency diesel generators to provide cooling power to its six reactors and spent fuel pool. The IAEA stated that the plants diesel reserves are dwindling, and if external power cannot be restored or more fuel cannot be delivered in time, the plant may face a complete power outage in the coming days. Under the temporary ceasefire, Ukrainian technicians will begin repairing the power lines after clearing mines from the affected area. IAEA personnel will monitor the repair process. Grossi stated that this is the seventh such temporary ceasefire he has brokered to reduce nuclear safety risks at the Zaporizhia plant since the start of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.The U.S. Geological Survey reported that a 4.4-magnitude earthquake struck 77 kilometers east-southeast of La Tirana, Chile, at a depth of 109.4 kilometers.

Price Analysis: EUR/JPY Daily Rising Wedge Targeting 143.00

Daniel Rogers

Nov 23, 2022 16:01

 截屏2022-11-23 上午9.53.21.png

 

The EUR/JPY continues to consolidate within an ascending wedge, after ending Tuesday with tiny losses of 0.04% due to a risk-on sentiment. At the start of the Asian trading session, the EUR/JPY exchange rate is 145.48, representing a slight gain of 0.01%.

 

As noted previously, a rising wedge emerged on the EUR/JPY daily chart, with the bulk of daily lows acting as dynamic support after the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). In spite of the fact that the cross continues to move steadily, there has been less price action during the past four days. This would suggest that the EUR/JPY exchange rate is stable or that a breakout is near.

 

If the EUR/JPY reaches 146.00, it could accelerate a rally toward the year-to-date (YTD) highs near 148.40; however, buyers must first overcome crucial resistance levels. The first is the rising wedge top trendline close to 146.50, followed by the 9 November daily high at 147.11. After the psychological 148.00 is reached, the next objective will be 149.00.

 

If the EUR/JPY breaks below the rising wedge, the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) around 144.12 would provide first support. A breach of this level will expose the 143.00 level, followed by the November 11 swing low of 142.54.