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On August 17th, Reuters claimed on the 15th to have obtained an "exclusive report," stating that according to a draft letter from the U.S. State Department and anonymous U.S. officials, the U.S. government plans to send letters to more than 30 countries that signed the Joint Statement on Partnership for Artificial Intelligence Opportunities in June, demanding that they "choose" sides in the U.S.-China artificial intelligence (AI) race. The U.S. also threatened that if these countries participate in the China-led AI framework, they will be excluded from the U.S.-led "AI alliance." Chinese experts stated that the U.S., by using the "Silicon Peace" initiative to woo more than 20 economies, is now forcing countries to choose sides, which smacks of technological bullying.On August 17, the Ministry of Ecology and Environment, together with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the Ministry of Natural Resources, the Ministry of Water Resources, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the Supreme Peoples Court, and the Supreme Peoples Procuratorate, issued a "Notice on Further Strengthening the Prevention and Control of Wastewater Pollution Risks from Industry and Other Industries and Ensuring the Safety of Agricultural Irrigation Water." The notice requires the upgrading and transformation of centralized wastewater treatment facilities in industrial parks surrounding farmland, the investigation and rectification of water-related problems in industry and livestock farming, and the formulation and revision of local water pollutant emission standards for industrial enterprises whose characteristic pollutants may affect the safety of downstream agricultural irrigation water, strengthening emission control requirements.August 17th - Data released on Monday showed that Japans second-quarter real GDP grew by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter and 1.1% annualized quarter-on-quarter, compared to expectations of 0.5% and 2%, respectively. The lower-than-expected GDP growth complicates the process of further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. Flat private consumption and a sharp contraction in capital spending in the second quarter indicate that the private sector remains cautious about spending, which could lead the Bank of Japan to adopt a more prudent stance at its next meeting, despite persistently high PPI and CPI continuing to pressure policymakers to take action. The yen may face renewed pressure due to the weak economic growth outlook, especially if the market lowers the probability of a September rate hike; meanwhile, government bond yields may decline as short-term tightening expectations weaken. While external demand partially offset this impact, it alone is unlikely to change the overall moderate economic trend.On August 17th, Futures News reported that the 7.7 magnitude earthquake on Flores Island, Indonesia, had a relatively small impact on the aluminum industry chain. In terms of production capacity distribution, bauxite, alumina, and the vast majority of electrolytic aluminum production capacity are concentrated in western Indonesia, generally more than 1400 kilometers from the epicenter. Even the nearest electrolytic aluminum plant—Huaqing Aluminum in Morowali, Sulawesi—is about 624 kilometers away, still outside the 300-kilometer damage radius. Coupled with the tsunami wave height of less than 0.4 meters, the actual supply impact was almost zero. In terms of prices, at most, there will be a short-term sentiment pulse of 0-1%, which is expected to be reversed within 1-3 days, without changing the medium-term trend.The Nikkei 225 index opened 115.75 points higher on Monday, August 17, a gain of 0.17%, to 68,829.55.

Price Analysis: EUR/JPY Daily Rising Wedge Targeting 143.00

Daniel Rogers

Nov 23, 2022 16:01

 截屏2022-11-23 上午9.53.21.png

 

The EUR/JPY continues to consolidate within an ascending wedge, after ending Tuesday with tiny losses of 0.04% due to a risk-on sentiment. At the start of the Asian trading session, the EUR/JPY exchange rate is 145.48, representing a slight gain of 0.01%.

 

As noted previously, a rising wedge emerged on the EUR/JPY daily chart, with the bulk of daily lows acting as dynamic support after the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). In spite of the fact that the cross continues to move steadily, there has been less price action during the past four days. This would suggest that the EUR/JPY exchange rate is stable or that a breakout is near.

 

If the EUR/JPY reaches 146.00, it could accelerate a rally toward the year-to-date (YTD) highs near 148.40; however, buyers must first overcome crucial resistance levels. The first is the rising wedge top trendline close to 146.50, followed by the 9 November daily high at 147.11. After the psychological 148.00 is reached, the next objective will be 149.00.

 

If the EUR/JPY breaks below the rising wedge, the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) around 144.12 would provide first support. A breach of this level will expose the 143.00 level, followed by the November 11 swing low of 142.54.