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Wheaton Precious Metals: Gold production is projected to grow by about 50% to 1.2 million gold equivalent ounces by 2030.Wheaton Precious Metals: Production is projected to be 860,000 to 940,000 ounces of gold equivalent in 2026 and approximately 692,000 ounces of gold equivalent in 2025.February 17th - Analyst Eamonn Sheridan: The Reserve Bank of Australias (RBA) February meeting minutes are expected to reinforce its case for resuming tightening, highlighting persistent inflation, strong demand, and continued capacity pressures, but without indicating any major shift from previously provided policy guidance. The logic behind the RBAs decision to raise interest rates for the first time in over two years will be detailed in the February monetary policy meeting minutes. The minutes are unlikely to offer significant new information; market focus will be on subtle details. Investors will scrutinize the extent to which the committee emphasized strong demand, a tight labor market, and capacity constraints in the overall economy. Previous communications have indicated that private demand has exceeded previous forecasts, while supply capacity remains constrained, exacerbating price pressures. The minutes are likely to reinforce the policys data-dependent and tightening stance. Further rate hikes remain a realistic possibility if demand growth exceeds supply and inflation fails to ease effectively.February 17th - A Russian diplomatic source stated late on the 16th that a Russian delegation led by Presidential Aide Medinsky had departed and was expected to arrive in Geneva, Switzerland, early on the 17th to participate in trilateral talks between Russia, the United States, and Ukraine. Bilateral contacts between Russia and Ukraine are possible during the talks. The source said the Russian delegation would arrive in Geneva around 6:00 AM local time on the 17th. The US is technically involved in coordinating the necessary permits for the Russian delegations arrival in Geneva via the EU. The source said the trilateral talks plan to discuss key factors in resolving the Ukrainian issue, including military, political, and humanitarian issues. The duration of the talks is currently unknown. Bilateral contacts between Russia and Ukraine are possible during the Russia-US-Ukraine talks.BHP Billiton (BHP.N): Optimistic about the economic backdrop supporting key commodities.

Near 0.6650, AUD/USD Traders Remain Bullish; Risk Appetite, Fed Minutes on the Horizon

Alina Haynes

Nov 23, 2022 15:57

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In the early hours of Wednesday, AUD/USD is modestly bid around 0.6655-50, maintaining the previous day's rebound from a two-week-old support despite contradicting market mood. The latest quiet in the AUD/USD pair indicates traders' caution ahead of critical US activity data for November, as well as a cautious attitude ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes and US Durable Goods Orders for October.

 

In the meantime, the coronavirus situation in China continues to deteriorate as daily cases approach the April record high and Chengdu announces mass COVID-19 testing from November 23 to 27. According to Reuters, on November 22, local government agencies in Beijing reported 388 new symptomatic locally transmitted COVID-19 infections and 1,098 asymptomatic cases.

 

AUD/USD bulls were boosted by anticipation of a rapprochement with China, as well as the recent rally of equities and decrease in US Treasury yields.

 

According to the Australian Financial Review (AFR), "Defence Minister Richard Marles said China's willingness to reengage was expressed during a bilateral meeting with his Chinese counterpart General Wei Fenghe on Tuesday, their first since the Shangri La talks in Singapore in June."

 

In November, the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index improved from -10 to -9, but Kansas City Federal Reserve President Esther George recently noted, "We may need a higher interest rate for some time to urge households to continue saving." The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for Australia declined to 51.5 from 52.7 and 52.4 earlier in the day, while the Services PMI decreased to 47.2 from 49.3 and 49.4 respectively.

 

In this scenario, European and British markets, along with Wall Street, closed higher, as 10-year US Treasury yields fell six basis points (bps) to 3.76 percent. However, benchmark bond rates remain relatively stable near 3.75 percent, whereas S&P 500 Futures struggle to find a clear direction close to 4,011.

 

Traders will examine the short-term direction of AUD/USD based on further confirmed economic transition indicators and the December rate hike of 50 basis points (bps) by the Federal Reserve. Despite this, PMI numbers for early November. In addition, the October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes and US Durable Goods Orders will be key for defining direction.

 

Despite the recent bounce from a two-week-old ascending support line, AUD/USD bears remain bullish as the monthly peak near 0.6800 threatens the upward momentum. Notably, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 14 combines with the recently weaker Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) signals to challenge AUD/USD buyers.

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