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Futures News, June 5th: Since May, silver prices have risen and then fallen, with the price trending downwards within a narrow range. As of June 4th, the domestic spot price of #1 silver was 17,711 yuan/kg, a cumulative decrease of 4.41% compared to the beginning of May. In early May, the US and Iran signaled a willingness to negotiate, coupled with Perus energy emergency decree, which raised concerns about mine output, causing silver prices to fluctuate upwards. However, with major consumer India raising import tariffs on silver, the resignation of dovish Fed member Milan, and the stalemate between the US and Iran on key issues, the market traded on interest rate hike expectations, putting downward pressure on silver. Looking ahead, the macroeconomic logic remains focused on the Feds interest rate decision and the US-Iran negotiations. Domestic inventory levels are currently high, and slightly weak consumption has failed to provide fundamental support. In the short term, attention will be focused on the US May non-farm payroll report and CPI data. It is expected that silver prices will lack a clear direction in the short term.June 5th - Thailands inflation unexpectedly slowed in May, remaining within the central banks target range, reducing pressure to implement interest rate interventions. Data released by the Commerce Ministry on Friday showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.79% year-on-year in May, a slowdown from 2.89% in April. The Bank of Thailand has consistently viewed price increases as temporary and has indicated its willingness to ignore any short-term inflation spikes, stating that tightening monetary policy has had little effect on addressing supply-driven shocks. Governor Vitai Ratanakorn stated this week that the current policy rate "remains appropriate for now." The Commerce Ministry expects the inflation rate to reach 3% in June and remain above 3% in the second half of the year.June 5th - At todays Tencent Cloud AI Industry Application Conference, Gao Hang, General Manager of Tencent Cloud and head of TokenHub, revealed that Tencent Clouds large-scale model service platform TokenHub has maintained a doubling growth rate every month for the past three months since its launch, and the daily token consumption has now exceeded 5 trillion.On June 5th, according to Tianyancha App, Anhui Deyi Energy Technology Co., Ltd. recently underwent industrial and commercial changes. The original shareholders, Wuhu Ekotech Powertrain Co., Ltd. and Wuhu Zhenyong Enterprise Management Center (Limited Partnership), withdrew, and Wuhu Qida Power Battery System Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Chery Automobile, became a new shareholder. At the same time, the registered capital increased from RMB 1.8 billion to RMB 2.3 billion, an increase of approximately 28%.On June 5th, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced on Thursday that it will maintain the current eligibility requirements for major benchmark indices such as the S&P 500, rejecting proposals to quickly include mega-cap companies like SpaceX after their IPOs. The index provider stated in its announcement that it will not shorten the current 12-month maturity period for newly listed companies, nor will it exempt existing profitability and public float requirements based on company size. This decision contradicts the broader industry shifts undertaken by its competitors Nasdaq and FTSE Russell. This outcome means that SpaceX, which is preparing for what could be the largest IPO in history, will not be eligible for inclusion in the S&P 500 for at least one year after its listing. The company will also need to meet the indexs existing profitability and public float requirements. ETF analyst James Seifert said, "Im really surprised. But S&P is a market leader, and they can go against the grain."

Gold price prediction: XAU/USD slips to $1,690 on Fed forecasts; US retail sales expected

Daniel Rogers

Sep 15, 2022 11:37

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Gold price (XAU/USD) has adopted a downward trend after falling below Wednesday's minimum of $1,693.67. The precious metal is falling nearing $1,690.00 as bears take control of rising probabilities for a massive Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike in the near future.

 

Earlier symptoms of weariness have dissipated as a result of Tuesday's higher-than-anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Despite declining gasoline costs, the headline US CPI was announced at 8.3%, which was higher than the 8.2% prediction. The investment community believed that inflation had begun to respond to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) raising interest rates and that a succession of declining price pressures would soon enable the Fed to adopt a 'neutral' stance.

 

However, a US inflation report that exceeded forecasts demonstrates that the road to a neutral monetary policy is far from complete. Moreover, predictions of a one percent rate increase are currently ascendant.

 

In today's session, the US Retail Sales report will be of paramount importance. The economic data estimates do not indicate any improvement in retail demand. This could be the outcome of a fall in consumer confidence in the economy.

 

The gold price has experienced a precipitous decline after demonstrating a textbook-style test and the collapse of a consolidation pattern. On an hourly scale, the consolidation formed within the region of $1,697.12-1,709.62. At $1,698.70, the yellow metal is trading below the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which increases the downside filters.