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On September 20th, the State Council Information Office held a press conference on the theme of "Starting the 15th Five-Year Plan," introducing the relevant situation regarding promoting high-quality development of market supervision during the 15th Five-Year Plan period and answering questions from reporters. Yang Sheng, Deputy Director of the National Medical Products Administration, stated that it is necessary to strengthen the legal framework and improve the regulatory standards system. He also emphasized strengthening the research and formulation of standards in cutting-edge fields such as brain-computer interfaces, using standard upgrades to drive quality improvement.On September 20th, Turkish Foreign Minister Fedan Ibrahim stated on September 19th that Turkey is prepared to provide assistance to Saudi Arabia in accordance with the Mecca Mutual Defense Agreement in response to the recent attacks on Saudi Arabia by the Houthi rebels in Yemen. Fedan said that the signatory countries are monitoring the attacks on Saudi Arabia, and Saudi Arabias military needs may focus on some technical issues, which Turkey will be able to meet. Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan signed the Mecca Mutual Defense Agreement on August 7th. According to a joint statement issued by the three parties that day, the agreement aims to strengthen joint deterrence against any act of aggression. The agreement stipulates that an armed attack on any of the three countries will be considered an attack on all three.On September 20th, Venezuela and Total Energy signed a memorandum of understanding on Saturday, paving the way for the French companys return to operations in Venezuela. According to a government statement, Venezuelan Acting President Rodríguez presided over the ceremony in Caracas, where Hector Ofregón, president of PDVSA, and Francisco Javier Lielow, senior vice president of Total Energys Americas, signed the energy cooperation agreement. The statement said that Total Energy subsidiary TotalEnergies E&P New Ventures will participate in the energy project. Total Energy and its partner Equinor withdrew from the Petrocedeno oil project in 2021 amid a wave of foreign companies leaving the country. At the time, CEO Patrick Pouané stated that the move was unrelated to the political situation in Venezuela but was in line with the companys plan to reduce its carbon footprint.On September 20th, the State Taxation Administration released the latest tax data, showing that in the first eight months of this year, tax revenue collected by tax authorities nationwide increased by 5.9% year-on-year. The data shows that in the first eight months of this year, the Producer Price Index (PPI), which is highly correlated with tax revenue, rose by 2% cumulatively, driving rapid growth in tax revenue calculated at current prices. Meanwhile, the capital market has been generally active this year, with the average daily turnover of A-shares reaching 2.7 trillion yuan in the first eight months, a 72.8% increase compared to the same period last year, leading to rapid growth in related taxes and industry tax revenue. Specifically, securities transaction stamp tax increased by 82%, and personal income tax on restricted stock transfers increased by 59.7%. Tax revenue from the securities industry increased by 65.6% year-on-year, while tax revenue from the insurance industry and other financial industries increased by 14.6% and 18.5% respectively. Tax revenue from other industries was also boosted by increased returns from stock market investments by related companies. Furthermore, since the beginning of this year, the government has also standardized some tax incentives that are not in line with high-quality development or the current situation, contributing to the increase in tax revenue.On September 20th, according to Russian sources, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin announced on social media that over 150 Ukrainian drones had attacked Moscow and its surrounding areas since the early hours of the morning, with most being shot down by Russian air defense systems. Furthermore, according to the Kyiv Military Authority, air raid sirens were issued in the early hours of the 20th in Kyiv, the Ukrainian capital, due to the threat of missiles and drones.

Gold price prediction: XAU/USD slips to $1,690 on Fed forecasts; US retail sales expected

Daniel Rogers

Sep 15, 2022 11:37

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Gold price (XAU/USD) has adopted a downward trend after falling below Wednesday's minimum of $1,693.67. The precious metal is falling nearing $1,690.00 as bears take control of rising probabilities for a massive Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike in the near future.

 

Earlier symptoms of weariness have dissipated as a result of Tuesday's higher-than-anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Despite declining gasoline costs, the headline US CPI was announced at 8.3%, which was higher than the 8.2% prediction. The investment community believed that inflation had begun to respond to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) raising interest rates and that a succession of declining price pressures would soon enable the Fed to adopt a 'neutral' stance.

 

However, a US inflation report that exceeded forecasts demonstrates that the road to a neutral monetary policy is far from complete. Moreover, predictions of a one percent rate increase are currently ascendant.

 

In today's session, the US Retail Sales report will be of paramount importance. The economic data estimates do not indicate any improvement in retail demand. This could be the outcome of a fall in consumer confidence in the economy.

 

The gold price has experienced a precipitous decline after demonstrating a textbook-style test and the collapse of a consolidation pattern. On an hourly scale, the consolidation formed within the region of $1,697.12-1,709.62. At $1,698.70, the yellow metal is trading below the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which increases the downside filters.