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May 22nd, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Spot gold fell in the latest intraday trading, with a corrective bearish trend dominating in the short term. Furthermore, with prices trading below the 50-day EMA, negative pressure continues to strengthen, increasing downside risk. On the other hand, spot gold prices remain firmly above the key support level of $4500, showing strong positive momentum limiting the decline, especially after the overbought condition was digested. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a positive signal, providing more room for spot gold to show stronger positive performance in the short term.May 22nd, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures exhibited strong volatility in the latest intraday trading, with prices rising at one point in an attempt to recover some of the previous losses and restore some technical balance. This cautious rebound was mainly due to a slight easing of the clearly oversold condition shown by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), providing temporary support for the current price movement. Despite the limited improvement, negative pressure continues to dominate oil price movements. Previously, prices had broken below the upward channel that had been dominating its short-term trading. Furthermore, WTI crude oil futures remain below the 50-day EMA, continuing to face negative and dynamic pressure, which also increases the possibility of further declines in the short term.On May 22, UBS issued a research report stating that CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093.HK) is a pioneer in AI-driven drug discovery and development (AIDD) among leading pharmaceutical companies, and is the worlds largest AIDD platform licensor by total transaction value. The bank believes that CSPCs leading position in cutting-edge technologies such as AI has not yet been fully reflected in its valuation. With a series of licensing (BD) transactions finalized, the downside risks of its traditional business have been largely priced in, and the companys organic revenue (excluding licensing revenue) is expected to recover to 3.8% year-on-year growth in 2026 (compared to a 16.5% year-on-year decline last year). UBS upgraded CSPCs rating from Neutral to Buy, maintaining its target price of HK$10.9. UBS pointed out that CSPC has currently reached four licensing or collaboration agreements related to the AIDD platform, with a total transaction value of US$27.7 billion, making it the worlds largest AIDD platform licensor. The collaboration with AstraZeneca (AZN.O) is the most significant, validating the value of its AIDD platform. The bank expects the company to have several catalysts in the future, including the first quarter 2026 results to be announced on May 27, and the disclosure of clinical trial data for key R&D assets such as SYS6010 and KN026.May 22nd, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Brent crude oil futures fell in recent intraday trading, encountering resistance near the EMA50 moving average, causing prices to pull back and ending previous upward attempts. This move also confirmed a break below the short-term uptrend line, further strengthening the recent bearish technical structure. On the other hand, some positive signals have emerged as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) entered deep oversold territory, which should help prices stabilize and attempt to absorb some selling pressure.On May 22, it was reported that the Republican leadership in the U.S. House of Representatives decided on May 21 to postpone a vote on a bill that would limit President Trumps power to use force against Iran, sparking protests from Democrats.

Gold price prediction: XAU/USD slips to $1,690 on Fed forecasts; US retail sales expected

Daniel Rogers

Sep 15, 2022 11:37

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Gold price (XAU/USD) has adopted a downward trend after falling below Wednesday's minimum of $1,693.67. The precious metal is falling nearing $1,690.00 as bears take control of rising probabilities for a massive Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike in the near future.

 

Earlier symptoms of weariness have dissipated as a result of Tuesday's higher-than-anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Despite declining gasoline costs, the headline US CPI was announced at 8.3%, which was higher than the 8.2% prediction. The investment community believed that inflation had begun to respond to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) raising interest rates and that a succession of declining price pressures would soon enable the Fed to adopt a 'neutral' stance.

 

However, a US inflation report that exceeded forecasts demonstrates that the road to a neutral monetary policy is far from complete. Moreover, predictions of a one percent rate increase are currently ascendant.

 

In today's session, the US Retail Sales report will be of paramount importance. The economic data estimates do not indicate any improvement in retail demand. This could be the outcome of a fall in consumer confidence in the economy.

 

The gold price has experienced a precipitous decline after demonstrating a textbook-style test and the collapse of a consolidation pattern. On an hourly scale, the consolidation formed within the region of $1,697.12-1,709.62. At $1,698.70, the yellow metal is trading below the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which increases the downside filters.