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On May 14th, Lindsay James, investment strategist at UK wealth management firm Quilter, stated in a report that although UK first-quarter GDP growth exceeded expectations, this momentum may be unsustainable due to geopolitical pressures and domestic political tensions. Data shows that UK GDP grew by 0.6% in the first quarter, with only March showing a 0.3% increase, significantly better than the markets expected contraction of 0.2%. James stated, "A decent first-quarter figure may provide some buffer against the political situation, but higher energy costs and rising government bond yields point to a more challenging environment in the coming months."According to CNBC, US and EU lawmakers have pledged a European review of Paramounts deal with Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. (WBD.O).Emerging market stocks rose for the third consecutive trading day this week, with technology companies continuing their strong rally, supported by optimism about increased demand for AI-related hardware and services. The benchmark MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose 0.7%, bringing its monthly gain to over 7%. TSMC, Alibaba, and Samsung Electronics accounted for a combined 105% of the indexs gains, meaning that without their performance, the index would actually be down. Since early April, chipmakers have led the market rebound, with upwardly revised corporate earnings largely offsetting inflation concerns stemming from the Iran war. While the information technology sector rose 1.4% on Thursday, declines in sectors such as utilities, energy, and industrials highlighted a clear divergence between Asian technology stocks and other emerging market sectors.On May 14th, futures market news reported that mixed fuel prices led to divergent profit trends across different glass production lines. The average profit for production using three types of fuel rebounded by 2.47 yuan to -98.38 yuan/ton. According to Longzhong Informations production cost calculation model, from May 8th to May 14th this week, the average weekly profit for float glass using natural gas as fuel was -132.80 yuan/ton, an increase of 2.15 yuan/ton compared to the previous week; the average weekly profit for float glass using coal gas as fuel was -14.88 yuan/ton, a rebound of 15.25 yuan/ton compared to the previous week; and the average weekly profit for float glass using petroleum coke as fuel was -147.47 yuan/ton, a decrease of 10.00 yuan/ton compared to the previous week. The entire industry remains in a state of deep loss, constraining further declines in glass prices. These losses may also force some production lines to undergo cold repairs to facilitate industry consolidation.German government bonds continued to rise, with the 10-year yield falling 4 basis points to 3.06%.

Gold price prediction: XAU/USD slips to $1,690 on Fed forecasts; US retail sales expected

Daniel Rogers

Sep 15, 2022 11:37

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Gold price (XAU/USD) has adopted a downward trend after falling below Wednesday's minimum of $1,693.67. The precious metal is falling nearing $1,690.00 as bears take control of rising probabilities for a massive Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike in the near future.

 

Earlier symptoms of weariness have dissipated as a result of Tuesday's higher-than-anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Despite declining gasoline costs, the headline US CPI was announced at 8.3%, which was higher than the 8.2% prediction. The investment community believed that inflation had begun to respond to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) raising interest rates and that a succession of declining price pressures would soon enable the Fed to adopt a 'neutral' stance.

 

However, a US inflation report that exceeded forecasts demonstrates that the road to a neutral monetary policy is far from complete. Moreover, predictions of a one percent rate increase are currently ascendant.

 

In today's session, the US Retail Sales report will be of paramount importance. The economic data estimates do not indicate any improvement in retail demand. This could be the outcome of a fall in consumer confidence in the economy.

 

The gold price has experienced a precipitous decline after demonstrating a textbook-style test and the collapse of a consolidation pattern. On an hourly scale, the consolidation formed within the region of $1,697.12-1,709.62. At $1,698.70, the yellow metal is trading below the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which increases the downside filters.