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Both WTI and Brent crude oil fell by $0.70 to $75.07 and $79.61 per barrel, respectively.On August 5th, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, a 2026 FOMC voting member, stated in an interview with CNBC on Wednesday that the Federal Reserve should now "start gradually raising" interest rates to reduce inflation and avoid the need for larger rate hikes in the future. Kashkari was one of three voting members who supported a 25-basis-point rate hike at last weeks FOMC meeting. He stated that with strong corporate earnings, resilient consumer and labor markets, and no evidence that monetary policy has become significantly restrictive, its time to begin gradually raising rates. He emphasized that this does not advocate for large rate hikes, but rather a desire for "small steps" to avoid being forced into aggressive policy tightening once inflation becomes deeply entrenched. He added that its uncertain what action the FOMC will take in September, and future data will play a crucial role. Meanwhile, Kashkari stated that Fed Chairman Warsh did not pressure him, telling him, "Do what you think is right for the economy."A Goto survey shows that 30% of American employees say they can no longer live without artificial intelligence.On August 5th, Federal Reserve Chairman Neel Kashkari, in an interview with CNBC, stated that he remains open to future policy options and does not advocate for significant interest rate hikes. He believes that most recent inflation stems from supply shocks, coupled with some demand-side factors. Kashkari stated in the CNBC interview, "My goal is not to slow the economy, but to reduce inflation." He believes now is the time to begin gradually raising interest rates, but he does not support a significant increase. Kashkari emphasized the value of continuing the tradition of explaining the Feds policy response mechanism to the public. He stated, "Dont think theres some magic number of meetings (to decide policy actions)."The U.S. Treasury will maintain its repurchase program at the same pace as last quarter.

Gold price prediction: XAU/USD slips to $1,690 on Fed forecasts; US retail sales expected

Daniel Rogers

Sep 15, 2022 11:37

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Gold price (XAU/USD) has adopted a downward trend after falling below Wednesday's minimum of $1,693.67. The precious metal is falling nearing $1,690.00 as bears take control of rising probabilities for a massive Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike in the near future.

 

Earlier symptoms of weariness have dissipated as a result of Tuesday's higher-than-anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Despite declining gasoline costs, the headline US CPI was announced at 8.3%, which was higher than the 8.2% prediction. The investment community believed that inflation had begun to respond to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) raising interest rates and that a succession of declining price pressures would soon enable the Fed to adopt a 'neutral' stance.

 

However, a US inflation report that exceeded forecasts demonstrates that the road to a neutral monetary policy is far from complete. Moreover, predictions of a one percent rate increase are currently ascendant.

 

In today's session, the US Retail Sales report will be of paramount importance. The economic data estimates do not indicate any improvement in retail demand. This could be the outcome of a fall in consumer confidence in the economy.

 

The gold price has experienced a precipitous decline after demonstrating a textbook-style test and the collapse of a consolidation pattern. On an hourly scale, the consolidation formed within the region of $1,697.12-1,709.62. At $1,698.70, the yellow metal is trading below the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which increases the downside filters.

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