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On May 20th, according to Irans Tasnim News Agency, Iranian military spokesman Mohammad Akraminia emphasized the armys state of readiness in a speech on Tuesday. He stated that the army has treated the "ceasefire period" as a "wartime period" and has used this opportunity to enhance its combat capabilities. Regarding hostile forces, the spokesman stated that Iran will never be besieged or defeated. He warned that if the enemy makes another foolish move and falls into the Jewish trap again, launching another invasion of Iran, then the country will open new fronts to confront them through new means and methods. At the same time, he emphasized the Iranian armed forces control of the Strait of Hormuz, stating that the situation in this strategic waterway cannot return to its previous state. He said, "The only way out for the enemy is to respect the Iranian nation and respect Irans legitimate rights."On May 20th, Cornwall Insights, a UK-based energy consultancy, released a report on May 19th forecasting household energy price ceilings for July to September 2026. The report stated that rising energy prices due to the Middle East conflict could increase the annual energy expenditure ceiling for UK households by 13%. According to the final forecast, a UK household using both gas and electricity could see its annual energy bill reach as high as £1,850 (approximately US$1.339 per pound), up from a previous forecast of £1,641. The report points out that the main reason for the energy price increase is the sharp rise in global energy prices following the outbreak of the Middle East conflict. Although the temporary ceasefire has somewhat mitigated market volatility, prices remain high. The report predicts that even if the conflict ends immediately, the damage to infrastructure and supply chain disruptions will have a lasting impact, making it difficult for the UK household energy cost ceiling to fall back to April levels this autumn.On May 20th, both WTI and Brent crude oil prices fell by more than 2% on Wednesday, as US President Trump reiterated that the war with Iran would soon end. However, investors remained cautious about the outcome of the peace talks due to continued supply disruptions in the Middle East. Emril Jamil, senior oil research analyst at the London Stock Exchange Group, said that benchmark oil prices softened due to the possibility of an agreement as the market weighed the geopolitical situation. However, even if an agreement is reached, oil prices may still have some room to rise, as supply is unlikely to immediately return to pre-war levels. Toshitaka Tazawa, an analyst at Fujitomi Securities, said that investors are closely watching whether the US and Iran can truly find common ground and reach a peace agreement, given the possibility of another US strike against Iran and the fact that even if a peace agreement is reached, crude oil supply will not quickly return to pre-war levels, oil prices are likely to remain high.WHO Director-General: A U.S. citizen has been diagnosed with Ebola.WHO Director-General: The committee unanimously agreed that the Ebola outbreak constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern, but not a pandemic.

Gold price prediction: XAU/USD slips to $1,690 on Fed forecasts; US retail sales expected

Daniel Rogers

Sep 15, 2022 11:37

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Gold price (XAU/USD) has adopted a downward trend after falling below Wednesday's minimum of $1,693.67. The precious metal is falling nearing $1,690.00 as bears take control of rising probabilities for a massive Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike in the near future.

 

Earlier symptoms of weariness have dissipated as a result of Tuesday's higher-than-anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Despite declining gasoline costs, the headline US CPI was announced at 8.3%, which was higher than the 8.2% prediction. The investment community believed that inflation had begun to respond to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) raising interest rates and that a succession of declining price pressures would soon enable the Fed to adopt a 'neutral' stance.

 

However, a US inflation report that exceeded forecasts demonstrates that the road to a neutral monetary policy is far from complete. Moreover, predictions of a one percent rate increase are currently ascendant.

 

In today's session, the US Retail Sales report will be of paramount importance. The economic data estimates do not indicate any improvement in retail demand. This could be the outcome of a fall in consumer confidence in the economy.

 

The gold price has experienced a precipitous decline after demonstrating a textbook-style test and the collapse of a consolidation pattern. On an hourly scale, the consolidation formed within the region of $1,697.12-1,709.62. At $1,698.70, the yellow metal is trading below the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which increases the downside filters.