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July 5th - OPEC+, comprised of OPEC and other oil-producing nations, will hold its monthly meeting later today. An informed source indicated that OPEC+ has agreed in principle to increase crude oil production quotas by 188,000 barrels per day in August. Two other sources stated that this increase is the most likely decision.July 5th - The Malian military reported on the 4th that military positions in multiple locations across Mali were subjected to a new round of coordinated attacks by armed groups. The military successfully repelled all attacks, and the attacked positions remain under its "complete control." The report stated that these attacks occurred in Agailok, Anefisse, Gao in northern Mali, and Sevare in central Mali. A local official in Gao said that before dawn on the 4th, militants launched a fierce attack on military camps with guns and rockets. A local resident said, "This morning, no one can leave their homes... The Malian armed forces have blocked all the streets. The gunfire was so intense, it felt like the roofs were about to collapse."July 5th - According to Israeli sources on the 5th local time, Israeli Transportation Minister Miri Regev confirmed that Israel deployed an Iron Dome air defense system to the United Arab Emirates in the early stages of the US-Israel-Iran conflict. This marks the first time the Iron Dome has been deployed to a country outside of Israel and the United States. Reportedly, this is the first time an Israeli government official has publicly acknowledged deploying the Iron Dome system to the UAE. Previously, related reports had been confirmed by US officials.OPEC+ sources: OPEC+ has agreed in principle to increase its oil production target by 188,000 barrels per day starting in August.On July 5th, at the 2026 Global Digital Economy Conference Results Release Conference, Lu Ya, Vice President of the Beijing Academy of Social Sciences, released the "Beijing Digital Economy Development Report (2025-2026)" blue book. The report shows that in 2025, Beijings digital economy added value exceeded 2.4 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.7%, accounting for 46.4% of GDP. It ranked second in the global digital economy benchmark city index evaluation, with a development index value of 0.770, firmly maintaining its position as a "global leading city." Lu Ya introduced that Beijings status as the "No. 1 city for artificial intelligence" continues to be consolidated. In 2025, the core artificial intelligence industry scale reached approximately 450 billion yuan, attracting over 2,500 related enterprises. As of April 2026, 225 large-scale models had been registered. Innovation and industry application of large-scale models are accelerating in both directions, rapidly empowering industrial upgrading, technological innovation, and public services. The market-oriented reform of data elements is being deepened, and breakthroughs have been achieved in the construction of "one zone and three centers." The on-exchange transaction volume of the Beijing International Big Data Exchange increased by 150% year-on-year, and the circulation of trusted data space is deepening around key areas such as healthcare and audiovisual media.

Gold price prediction: XAU/USD slips to $1,690 on Fed forecasts; US retail sales expected

Daniel Rogers

Sep 15, 2022 11:37

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Gold price (XAU/USD) has adopted a downward trend after falling below Wednesday's minimum of $1,693.67. The precious metal is falling nearing $1,690.00 as bears take control of rising probabilities for a massive Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike in the near future.

 

Earlier symptoms of weariness have dissipated as a result of Tuesday's higher-than-anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Despite declining gasoline costs, the headline US CPI was announced at 8.3%, which was higher than the 8.2% prediction. The investment community believed that inflation had begun to respond to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) raising interest rates and that a succession of declining price pressures would soon enable the Fed to adopt a 'neutral' stance.

 

However, a US inflation report that exceeded forecasts demonstrates that the road to a neutral monetary policy is far from complete. Moreover, predictions of a one percent rate increase are currently ascendant.

 

In today's session, the US Retail Sales report will be of paramount importance. The economic data estimates do not indicate any improvement in retail demand. This could be the outcome of a fall in consumer confidence in the economy.

 

The gold price has experienced a precipitous decline after demonstrating a textbook-style test and the collapse of a consolidation pattern. On an hourly scale, the consolidation formed within the region of $1,697.12-1,709.62. At $1,698.70, the yellow metal is trading below the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which increases the downside filters.