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On June 18th, Suren Thiru of the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales stated that the Bank of Englands next move is more likely to be a rate cut than a rate hike. After the Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 3.75% on Thursday, Thiru indicated that the central bank may enter a longer policy wait-and-see period to assess geopolitical uncertainties and domestic political instability. "British monetary policy is currently at a crossroads," Thiru said. The US-Iran peace agreement has boosted market expectations for easing inflation, but if hostilities resume, "the situation could quickly shift back towards raising interest rates." However, he stated that given the still high level of global volatility, the Bank of England is unlikely to initiate a rate cut before next year.Pfizer shares fell 1.4% in pre-market trading after Chief Financial Officer Dave Denton announced his resignation.Futures Market Summary | Thursday, June 18th, CCTV News Highlights: 1. Xi Jinping replies to Xinhua News Agency veteran Zhang Liansheng, emphasizing the importance of inheriting the red gene and writing an excellent chapter on the new journey. 2. Striving to write a new chapter in Chinese-style modernization under the guidance of Xi Jinpings thought on Party building. 3. The Central Leading Group for Party Building issued a "Notice on Studying and Implementing Xi Jinpings Thought on Party Building." 4. Peoples Daily commentator article: Making a major original contribution to the development of Marxist party building theory—On studying and implementing Xi Jinpings thought on Party building. 5. Han Zheng meets with guests from Canada and Denmark. 6. Accelerating the allocation of funds for "two new" projects to continuously release policy effectiveness. 7. The first report meeting of the series of reports on "Guaranteeing and Improving Peoples Livelihood in High-Quality Development" was held in Beijing. 8. Lin Dan: Serving the residents well for life. 9. The State Council Information Office held a meeting with Chinese and foreign journalists on "Striving for the New Journey." 10. The China Theatre Association, the China Folk Literature and Art Association, and the China Calligraphers Association elected a new leadership. 11. National railway transportation for the Dragon Boat Festival holiday begins today. 12. Market supply is abundant as the Dragon Boat Festival approaches. 13. Two departments urgently allocate 100 million yuan in central natural disaster relief funds. 14. The policy dividends of the six-month island-wide customs closure in the Hainan Free Trade Port continue to be released. 15. The import and export volume of the Western Land-Sea New Corridor reached a record high in the first five months. 16. my countrys first carbon footprint database for key industrial products goes online. 17. The Datengxia Hydropower Project in Guangxi passes completion acceptance. 18. The "National Recruitment Action - Beijing Trip" special event for college graduate employment services is launched. 19. Box office revenue for films in 2026 exceeds 16.5 billion yuan. 20. The 2026 China Brand Forum is held in Xiongan. 21. The official text of the memorandum of understanding signed remotely by the US President and the Iranian President is released. The Pakistani Prime Minister announces that the US-Iran memorandum of understanding takes immediate effect. 22. Russia claims that the Russian military has made significant progress in Donetsk. 23. Palestine strongly condemns Israels settlement expansion. 24. The G7 summit concluded without a joint communiqué. 25. The Federal Reserve announced for the fourth consecutive time this year that it would maintain interest rates unchanged.On June 18th, Emma Mogford of the Premier Miton Monthly Income Fund stated that the Bank of England may not need to raise interest rates this year, following the banks decision to keep rates unchanged at 3.75% on Thursday. "Price increases later this year triggered by the Iran war are likely to be offset by weaker demand. Furthermore, wage growth is expected to be only moderate given the relatively weak labor market." The Bank of England approved the decision with a 7-2 vote, with the two policymakers favoring a 25 basis point rate hike.Mayor of Moscow, Russia: The fire at the oil refinery is basically under control.

Gold price prediction: XAU/USD slips to $1,690 on Fed forecasts; US retail sales expected

Daniel Rogers

Sep 15, 2022 11:37

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Gold price (XAU/USD) has adopted a downward trend after falling below Wednesday's minimum of $1,693.67. The precious metal is falling nearing $1,690.00 as bears take control of rising probabilities for a massive Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike in the near future.

 

Earlier symptoms of weariness have dissipated as a result of Tuesday's higher-than-anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Despite declining gasoline costs, the headline US CPI was announced at 8.3%, which was higher than the 8.2% prediction. The investment community believed that inflation had begun to respond to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) raising interest rates and that a succession of declining price pressures would soon enable the Fed to adopt a 'neutral' stance.

 

However, a US inflation report that exceeded forecasts demonstrates that the road to a neutral monetary policy is far from complete. Moreover, predictions of a one percent rate increase are currently ascendant.

 

In today's session, the US Retail Sales report will be of paramount importance. The economic data estimates do not indicate any improvement in retail demand. This could be the outcome of a fall in consumer confidence in the economy.

 

The gold price has experienced a precipitous decline after demonstrating a textbook-style test and the collapse of a consolidation pattern. On an hourly scale, the consolidation formed within the region of $1,697.12-1,709.62. At $1,698.70, the yellow metal is trading below the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which increases the downside filters.