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Zhipu (02513.HK) saw its share price rise to 10%, after the company stated that media reports claiming it had withdrawn its A-share IPO filing were untrue.On July 7th, Daiwa Securities released a research report stating that the latest channel inspections show that the retail sales value (RSV) of the sporting goods industry slowed quarter-on-quarter in the second quarter of this year, and the monthly volatility of RSV increased, further reducing the short-term predictability of Xtep (01368.HK). Meanwhile, the transformation of Xteps core brand will disrupt its wholesale business and require upfront investment, potentially diluting Xteps short-term revenue and profit margins. Although the Saucony brand can continue to maintain high growth, the core Xtep brand may face challenges from slower growth and increased competition. The bank lowered its earnings per share forecast for Xtep this year by approximately 12%, and reduced its target price from HK$5.2 to HK$3.9, downgrading its rating from "Outperform" to "Hold".On July 7th, Samsung Electronics announced preliminary results that exceeded expectations, yet its stock price fell, once again confirming the markets tendency for "positive earnings to become a selling signal"—investors often take profits when earnings are realized, as the market has already priced in the milestone news. Data shows that since the beginning of 2019, Samsung (prior to todays announcement) had exceeded operating profit expectations for 16 quarters, but its stock price fell after the announcement in 10 of those instances. This pattern repeated itself on Tuesday—after disclosing a 19-fold increase in quarterly profit, Samsungs stock price plummeted by nearly 10%. This phenomenon reflects a typical market psychology: strong earnings are seen as an opportunity to reduce holdings rather than a reason to increase them. AI optimism has already been priced in, and better-than-expected data is unlikely to drive the stock price higher; instead, it triggers immediate profit-taking as market focus shifts to peak profit margins and the sustainability of technology spending. Gary Tan, portfolio manager at Allspring Global Investments, said: "In a strong memory uptrend, when headline data exceeds expectations, most of the positive impact is already priced into positions and expectations. Better-than-expected earnings may simply confirm existing investor expectations, triggering profit-taking rather than further gains."Indian government officials said India will supply Indonesia with BrahMos cruise missile systems and Astra air-to-air missiles.Japans May coincident economic index rose 0.4% month-on-month, down from 1.3% in the previous month.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD will continue to fluctuate above $1,900 despite a decline in US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Mar 15, 2023 11:43

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Gold price (XAU / USD) is not in danger despite U.S. inflation figures meeting expectations. Since Monday, the precious metal has been fluctuating continuously between $1,895 and $1,913. The release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) failed to produce a significant reaction in the Gold price; however, the upside bias appears to be solidified as wagers on lesser rate increases from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have increased.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the critical support at 103.50, but it appears vulnerable to further losses as investors' risk appetite has dramatically increased. As market participants purchased S&P500 futures in response to higher odds of a smaller rate hike from Fed chair Jerome Powell, a likely recession in the US economy was postponed, signaling an uptick in optimism.

 

Contrary to the risk-on sentiment, demand for US Treasury bonds remained weak, causing 10-year US Treasury yields to rise above 3.68 percent.

 

The headline As anticipated, the US CPI increased by 0.4% on a monthly basis, and the annual figure decreased from 6.4% to 6.0%. In addition, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, decreased to 5.5% from 5.6% previously. The Fed appears to be pleased with the persistence of a declining trend in US inflation.

 

In the future, investors will closely monitor the US Retail Sales (Feb) data. Monthly Retail Sales data is anticipated to decline by 0.3% compared to the previous release of a 3.0% increase. This indicates that the consumer spending rebound is over and the Fed is on course to achieve its inflation target of 2%.

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