EUR/USD 1.13954
0.083%
Gold 4045.91
0.432%
Oil 83.352
6.411%
USD/JPY 163.814
-0.028%
GBP/USD 1.33024
0.108%
GBP/JPY 217.918
0.095%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
July 30th - Foreign media analysis suggests that while US President Trump continues to pressure newly appointed Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh to cut interest rates as soon as possible, Wall Street investors are increasingly betting on the opposite outcome. Recent escalation of the conflict with Iran, the implementation of a new round of global tariffs, the continued data center investment boom, and strong US consumption have collectively exacerbated market and Federal Reserve concerns about inflationary pressures, reinforcing expectations of continued tightening policies or even further interest rate hikes. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at its Wednesday meeting. However, whether Warsh, who took over as chairman at the end of May, can continue to suppress calls for rate hikes within the committee increasingly depends on whether inflation can continue to improve. Current polls show that the American public is not satisfied with Trumps economic performance, and higher interest rates will undoubtedly further dampen the economic performance the White House hopes to see. Trump has consistently called for rate cuts and reiterated this stance this week. However, even if the Federal Reserve ultimately chooses to raise rates, Trumps initial target may not be Warsh, but rather other Federal Reserve officials. Trump has already appointed three members to the seven-member Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Trump previously stated, "Kevin is excellent, but he also has a committee, and the members of that committee are very politicized. He wants to do the right thing, and I know what he wants to do, but he also needs the approval of some people who may have ulterior motives. Interest rates should go down."Bank of Canada meeting minutes: The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has increased the upside risks to inflation.Bank of Canada meeting minutes: The possibility of new tariffs imposed by the United States is a "constant downside risk".Bank of Canada meeting minutes: Some members expressed concern about signs of rising medium-term inflation expectations, but all members agreed that long-term inflation expectations remained solid.Bank of Canada meeting minutes: Nevertheless, members noted that uncertainty remained high, partly due to the unpredictability of the Middle East conflict.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD will continue to fluctuate above $1,900 despite a decline in US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Mar 15, 2023 11:43

截屏2022-09-15 下午3.06.36.png

 

Gold price (XAU / USD) is not in danger despite U.S. inflation figures meeting expectations. Since Monday, the precious metal has been fluctuating continuously between $1,895 and $1,913. The release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) failed to produce a significant reaction in the Gold price; however, the upside bias appears to be solidified as wagers on lesser rate increases from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have increased.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the critical support at 103.50, but it appears vulnerable to further losses as investors' risk appetite has dramatically increased. As market participants purchased S&P500 futures in response to higher odds of a smaller rate hike from Fed chair Jerome Powell, a likely recession in the US economy was postponed, signaling an uptick in optimism.

 

Contrary to the risk-on sentiment, demand for US Treasury bonds remained weak, causing 10-year US Treasury yields to rise above 3.68 percent.

 

The headline As anticipated, the US CPI increased by 0.4% on a monthly basis, and the annual figure decreased from 6.4% to 6.0%. In addition, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, decreased to 5.5% from 5.6% previously. The Fed appears to be pleased with the persistence of a declining trend in US inflation.

 

In the future, investors will closely monitor the US Retail Sales (Feb) data. Monthly Retail Sales data is anticipated to decline by 0.3% compared to the previous release of a 3.0% increase. This indicates that the consumer spending rebound is over and the Fed is on course to achieve its inflation target of 2%.

Suggestion