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On August 9th, Cypriot Energy Minister Michael Damianos stated in an interview with US media that Cyprus is expected to begin supplying natural gas from the Eastern Mediterranean to Europe as early as March 2028. Damianos told the Associated Press that the Ukraine crisis and the Middle East conflict have destabilized global energy markets, prompting European countries to diversify their energy sources, and offshore gas fields in the Eastern Mediterranean are increasingly becoming an alternative supply route.On August 9th, a Reuters poll of economists predicted that the U.S. overall CPI annual rate would fall to 3.4% in July from 3.5% in June, while the core CPI annual rate would fall to 2.5% from 2.6% in the previous month. Economists at Citigroup believe that, as expected, if inflation readings soften for the second consecutive month, it would mean that more than one months data points to easing inflationary pressures, essentially ruling out a September rate hike. However, economists also expect core services inflation to rise slightly in July, with prices increasing by 0.3% month-on-month. This figure was flat in May and June. Bank of America analysts stated that the rebound in core services indicators may keep a September rate hike on the table. Analyst Kate Duguid said that if the latter view prevails, and inflation data is lower than expected, then the Feds rate hike may be postponed until December or later.According to Sky News: Yemeni sources say the Houthi rebels fourth wave of missile and drone attacks targeted government positions in the port of Mocha and its outskirts.According to the Syrian state news agency, the Syrian Foreign Ministry stated that Syria and Russia will begin restructuring Russias presence along the Syrian coast within the framework of a memorandum.Hamas senior official Bassem Naim: It is expected that mediators and the United States will pressure Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and his government to adhere to the roadmap.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD will continue to fluctuate above $1,900 despite a decline in US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Mar 15, 2023 11:43

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Gold price (XAU / USD) is not in danger despite U.S. inflation figures meeting expectations. Since Monday, the precious metal has been fluctuating continuously between $1,895 and $1,913. The release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) failed to produce a significant reaction in the Gold price; however, the upside bias appears to be solidified as wagers on lesser rate increases from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have increased.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the critical support at 103.50, but it appears vulnerable to further losses as investors' risk appetite has dramatically increased. As market participants purchased S&P500 futures in response to higher odds of a smaller rate hike from Fed chair Jerome Powell, a likely recession in the US economy was postponed, signaling an uptick in optimism.

 

Contrary to the risk-on sentiment, demand for US Treasury bonds remained weak, causing 10-year US Treasury yields to rise above 3.68 percent.

 

The headline As anticipated, the US CPI increased by 0.4% on a monthly basis, and the annual figure decreased from 6.4% to 6.0%. In addition, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, decreased to 5.5% from 5.6% previously. The Fed appears to be pleased with the persistence of a declining trend in US inflation.

 

In the future, investors will closely monitor the US Retail Sales (Feb) data. Monthly Retail Sales data is anticipated to decline by 0.3% compared to the previous release of a 3.0% increase. This indicates that the consumer spending rebound is over and the Fed is on course to achieve its inflation target of 2%.

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