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On June 29, Nomura Securities issued a report maintaining its "Buy" rating on Lenovo Group (00992.HK). Based on a 20x multiple of its 2027 fiscal year earnings per share forecast, the target price was significantly raised from HK$16 to HK$35, implying a 46% upside. In its previous report on Lenovo published in May, Nomura emphasized that the momentum of its general-purpose server business might far exceed expectations. Although Lenovos share price has risen by more than 100% since May, Nomura believes this outperformance may continue because it believes that: (1) the market has not yet fully reflected the potential of Lenovos server business; (2) Nomuras earnings forecast for fiscal year 2027/28 is now about 10% higher than the market consensus; and (3) Lenovo is currently in the process of revaluation, with its main peer Dell (DELL.N) trading at a 30x one-year forward P/E ratio, which Nomura believes creates room for Lenovos revaluation. The bank raised its 2027/28 fiscal year earnings forecast for Lenovo Group by 12%.The Hang Seng Tech Index continued its upward trend, rising by more than 3%.On June 29th, Kiwibank Chief Economist Jarrod Kerr stated that despite the renewed conflict in the Middle East over the weekend, the New Zealand market generally believes a peace agreement is highly likely. With oil prices falling to pre-war levels, demand appears poised for a rebound. He added that while the New Zealand economy has been hit, it has not completely collapsed. The oil crisis has slowed the pace of economic recovery, enough to damage demand, but it has not completely derailed economic activity. Kerr pointed out that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand has strong reasons to maintain interest rates at its July policy meeting.On June 29th, the "Heterogeneous Computing Ark," a full-stack platform for the software ecosystem of domestic computing systems jointly developed by the Computer Network Information Center of the Chinese Academy of Sciences and other institutions, was launched online. This platform addresses pain points such as difficulties in software adaptation, code migration, and cumbersome scientific research operations under domestic computing power, providing an integrated solution for the construction of a scientific computing software ecosystem. The platforms release achieves seamless integration of algorithms, code, and applications, enabling domestic computing power to move from hardware leadership to mature hardware-software synergy, and helping my country build an independent, controllable, efficient, and easy-to-use domestic scientific computing ecosystem.June 29th - According to Shanghai Railway Station (which administers Shanghai Station, Shanghai South Station, Shanghai Hongqiao Station, Shanghai Songjiang Station, Shanghai West Station, Nanxiang North Station, Anting North Station, Anting West Station, Jinshan North Station, and Liantang Station), the 2026 summer passenger transport period will run from July 1st to August 31st, a total of 62 days. Shanghai Railway Station expects to handle 29.42 million passengers, with an average daily passenger volume of 474,500, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.0%. Specifically, July is expected to see 13.92 million passengers, and August is expected to see 15.5 million passengers.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD will continue to fluctuate above $1,900 despite a decline in US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Mar 15, 2023 11:43

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Gold price (XAU / USD) is not in danger despite U.S. inflation figures meeting expectations. Since Monday, the precious metal has been fluctuating continuously between $1,895 and $1,913. The release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) failed to produce a significant reaction in the Gold price; however, the upside bias appears to be solidified as wagers on lesser rate increases from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have increased.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the critical support at 103.50, but it appears vulnerable to further losses as investors' risk appetite has dramatically increased. As market participants purchased S&P500 futures in response to higher odds of a smaller rate hike from Fed chair Jerome Powell, a likely recession in the US economy was postponed, signaling an uptick in optimism.

 

Contrary to the risk-on sentiment, demand for US Treasury bonds remained weak, causing 10-year US Treasury yields to rise above 3.68 percent.

 

The headline As anticipated, the US CPI increased by 0.4% on a monthly basis, and the annual figure decreased from 6.4% to 6.0%. In addition, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, decreased to 5.5% from 5.6% previously. The Fed appears to be pleased with the persistence of a declining trend in US inflation.

 

In the future, investors will closely monitor the US Retail Sales (Feb) data. Monthly Retail Sales data is anticipated to decline by 0.3% compared to the previous release of a 3.0% increase. This indicates that the consumer spending rebound is over and the Fed is on course to achieve its inflation target of 2%.