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JPMorgan Chase raised its price target for HP (HPQ.N) from $22 to $26. 1. According to Xinhua News Agency, the Public Relations Department of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement on the 28th, stating that the US military launched an airstrike on a location on the outskirts of Bandar Abbas in the early hours of the day, and subsequently the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps launched an attack on the US air base that carried out the attack. 2. Rio Tinto plans to restart Line 4 of its Tiwai Point Aluminum Smelter (NZAS) in New Zealand and has signed a letter of intent for a power purchase agreement with Contact Energy. If the agreement proceeds smoothly, the line is expected to resume operation in 2030. The line has been shut down since 2020, and restarting it is expected to add approximately 30,000 tons of primary aluminum production annually. 3. According to foreign media reports, the Indonesian Ministry of Agriculture is accelerating the identification of "potential farmers and plots" (CPCLs) in its 2026 sugarcane planting and downstream industry development plan to achieve the development target of 97,970 hectares of sugarcane planting area across 11 provinces nationwide. 4. Chicago Federal Reserve President John Goolsby further reinforced his warning on Thursday: Rising market expectations of artificial intelligences productivity-boosting potential could push up inflation and force the Fed and other central banks to raise interest rates. Goolsby stated, "The stronger the hype surrounding future productivity, the higher interest rates may need to be to prevent the economy from overheating. More importantly, short-term supply shocks—whether from oil prices, supply chain disruptions, or other factors—will exacerbate the problem." 5. Liu Haoling, Vice Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), stated that the CSRC will resolutely implement the decisions and deployments of the Party Central Committee and the State Council, continuously deepen the comprehensive reform of capital market investment and financing, and systematically plan and launch more powerful reform and opening-up measures to address the "variables" of the international environment with the "constant" of coordinated development and win-win cooperation. 6. On May 27, the temperature index for the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and the Yangtze River Delta was officially released in Guangzhou. The Guangzhou Futures Exchange stated that it will adhere to open collaboration and deepen cross-border cooperation, based on my countrys climate characteristics and industrial realities, accelerate the research and development of weather derivatives such as temperature index futures and options urgently needed by the market, and promote weather risk management from pilot exploration to normalized and standardized services. 7. According to Xinhua News Agency, Irans Tasnim News Agency, citing a military source, reported on the 28th that a few hours earlier, a US oil tanker attempted to disable its radar system while transiting the Strait of Hormuz. However, due to the swift and decisive action of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, which opened fire on it, the tanker was forced to stop and turn back. 8. According to Irans Tasnim News Agency, citing a military source, US troops opened fire in the Hormuz port area near the Strait of Hormuz, after a standoff between the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps and a US oil tanker attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. There are currently no reports of casualties or damage. 9. The International Energy Agency (IEA) stated in a report that global investment in natural gas projects is expected to grow by more than 10% this year, reaching $330 billion, the highest level in 10 years; while upstream oil investment will decline for the third consecutive year. As the Iranian war disrupts global energy markets, energy companies are accelerating investments in other regions and increasing spending on renewable energy, liquefied natural gas, and coal to strengthen supply security.On May 28th, the Ministry of Natural Resources held its regular May press conference, releasing and interpreting the "Guiding Opinions on Accelerating the High-Quality Development of Marine Drugs and Functional Products." Wang Xiaoyang, Deputy Director of the Consumer Goods Industry Department of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, stated that the Ministry is currently working on the "15th Five-Year Plan for the Development of the Pharmaceutical Industry," outlining plans to accelerate the development of "innovative pharmaceuticals," "inclusive pharmaceuticals," "digital pharmaceuticals," and "open pharmaceuticals." The plan will include marine drugs and functional products as key development areas, further clarifying development directions and detailing development tasks through improved top-level design, providing clear guidance for the high-quality development of the industry.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 2.9 earthquake occurred at 12:07 on May 28 in Ningnan County, Liangshan Prefecture, Sichuan Province (27.20 degrees north latitude, 102.62 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.Israel Defense Forces: In the past two days, IDF soldiers, acting on intelligence from the Israel Security Service, arrested five terrorists in three targeted counter-terrorism operations in the Judea-Samaria district.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD will continue to fluctuate above $1,900 despite a decline in US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Mar 15, 2023 11:43

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Gold price (XAU / USD) is not in danger despite U.S. inflation figures meeting expectations. Since Monday, the precious metal has been fluctuating continuously between $1,895 and $1,913. The release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) failed to produce a significant reaction in the Gold price; however, the upside bias appears to be solidified as wagers on lesser rate increases from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have increased.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the critical support at 103.50, but it appears vulnerable to further losses as investors' risk appetite has dramatically increased. As market participants purchased S&P500 futures in response to higher odds of a smaller rate hike from Fed chair Jerome Powell, a likely recession in the US economy was postponed, signaling an uptick in optimism.

 

Contrary to the risk-on sentiment, demand for US Treasury bonds remained weak, causing 10-year US Treasury yields to rise above 3.68 percent.

 

The headline As anticipated, the US CPI increased by 0.4% on a monthly basis, and the annual figure decreased from 6.4% to 6.0%. In addition, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, decreased to 5.5% from 5.6% previously. The Fed appears to be pleased with the persistence of a declining trend in US inflation.

 

In the future, investors will closely monitor the US Retail Sales (Feb) data. Monthly Retail Sales data is anticipated to decline by 0.3% compared to the previous release of a 3.0% increase. This indicates that the consumer spending rebound is over and the Fed is on course to achieve its inflation target of 2%.