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On January 27th, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Kocher stated that given the unstable global situation, particularly regarding trade, the ECB needs to retain all feasible options regarding interest rates. While officials believe they are currently in a "good position," they still face "very high" uncertainty. He emphasized the importance of having sufficient options in both directions. Monetary policy must be able to respond quickly and decisively to any emerging risks. Kocher expressed a desire to be able to react swiftly to any unforeseen circumstances. "We saw this last week when there was an additional threat of tariffs. So we must be cautious. This could have some consequences and could also impact European economic development."SMIC: The company will disclose its fourth quarter 2025 results after the trading session on February 10, 2026.January 27th - Nick Timiraos, the "Federal Reserve mouthpiece," reports that Federal Reserve officials are expected to keep interest rates unchanged this week for the first time since three consecutive rate cuts in September. The question is, what would prompt the Fed to cut rates again? The answer depends on which risk materializes first: a collapse in the labor market, or a significant drop in inflation towards the 2% target. Neither has occurred since the last meeting in December. As a result, the committee remains on the sidelines despite significant political pressure from the White House. Most officials still believe a rate cut is possible later this year, but there is disagreement on when data will support it.January 27th - With only six months remaining until July 1st, 2026, the implementation of Article 75 of the National Medical Products Administrations "Special Provisions on the Registration Management of Traditional Chinese Medicines" is entering its final window. This provision, known in the industry as the "life-or-death clause" for traditional Chinese medicines, clearly states that after three years from July 1st, 2023, any traditional Chinese medicine whose instructions still indicate "not yet clear" will not be approved for re-registration. This means that over 70% of the approximately 57,000 valid approval numbers for traditional Chinese medicines currently in use in China, due to safety information labeling issues, will face elimination. A regulatory-driven, in-depth cleanup of the traditional Chinese medicine industry has officially entered its crucial stage. The core of this new regulatory policy is to completely end the long-standing era of "not yet clear" instructions for traditional Chinese medicines, forcing drug holders to address the shortcomings in post-market safety data.The UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) will develop a series of recommendations based on feedback from the AI review, which will be submitted to the FCA committee in the summer of 2026.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD will continue to fluctuate above $1,900 despite a decline in US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Mar 15, 2023 11:43

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Gold price (XAU / USD) is not in danger despite U.S. inflation figures meeting expectations. Since Monday, the precious metal has been fluctuating continuously between $1,895 and $1,913. The release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) failed to produce a significant reaction in the Gold price; however, the upside bias appears to be solidified as wagers on lesser rate increases from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have increased.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the critical support at 103.50, but it appears vulnerable to further losses as investors' risk appetite has dramatically increased. As market participants purchased S&P500 futures in response to higher odds of a smaller rate hike from Fed chair Jerome Powell, a likely recession in the US economy was postponed, signaling an uptick in optimism.

 

Contrary to the risk-on sentiment, demand for US Treasury bonds remained weak, causing 10-year US Treasury yields to rise above 3.68 percent.

 

The headline As anticipated, the US CPI increased by 0.4% on a monthly basis, and the annual figure decreased from 6.4% to 6.0%. In addition, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, decreased to 5.5% from 5.6% previously. The Fed appears to be pleased with the persistence of a declining trend in US inflation.

 

In the future, investors will closely monitor the US Retail Sales (Feb) data. Monthly Retail Sales data is anticipated to decline by 0.3% compared to the previous release of a 3.0% increase. This indicates that the consumer spending rebound is over and the Fed is on course to achieve its inflation target of 2%.