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On May 10th, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney stated at a political conference in Toronto on Saturday that Canada is willing to establish closer trade ties with the United States and Mexico in specific industries to boost the North American economy. He mentioned the "North American Fortress" initiative but did not specify any particular sectors. Carney indicated that if this approach fails, Canada will invest heavily in new markets and new products. The United States, Mexico, and Canada are scheduled to begin reviewing a trade agreement this year. Trump has already imposed tariffs on products such as automobiles and steel, disrupting the closely intertwined supply chains among the three countries. Carney had previously set a goal of doubling exports to countries outside the United States within ten years.The Bahraini Foreign Minister demanded that Iran cease its aggressive and provocative actions against Bahrain and other countries in the region, as well as its egregious interference in their internal affairs.Bahrains Foreign Minister: Bahrain condemns and strongly condemns Irans continued interference in its internal affairs and its actions that threaten the security and stability of the Gulf states.Commander of the Aerospace Force of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: The Aerospace Forces missiles and drones have locked onto the enemy, and we are awaiting the order to launch.On May 10th, local time, the final vote count for the 136th Local Council of England was released, completing the election results for the English Local Council, as well as the Scottish and Welsh Parliaments. In this election, both of Britains traditional two major parties, the Labour Party and the Conservative Party, suffered significant setbacks, while the Reform Party, the Green Party, and other parties saw a marked increase in strength, further highlighting the trend of "fragmentation" in British politics. Data shows that in the English Local Council elections, the Reform Party won 1453 seats, becoming one of the biggest winners; the Labour Party won 1063 seats; and the Conservative Party won 801 seats. Analysts believe that this British local election demonstrates that the traditional two-party (Labour and Conservative) dominance in Britain is being significantly challenged. British politics is further developing towards multi-party competition and political fragmentation.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD will continue to fluctuate above $1,900 despite a decline in US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Mar 15, 2023 11:43

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Gold price (XAU / USD) is not in danger despite U.S. inflation figures meeting expectations. Since Monday, the precious metal has been fluctuating continuously between $1,895 and $1,913. The release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) failed to produce a significant reaction in the Gold price; however, the upside bias appears to be solidified as wagers on lesser rate increases from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have increased.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the critical support at 103.50, but it appears vulnerable to further losses as investors' risk appetite has dramatically increased. As market participants purchased S&P500 futures in response to higher odds of a smaller rate hike from Fed chair Jerome Powell, a likely recession in the US economy was postponed, signaling an uptick in optimism.

 

Contrary to the risk-on sentiment, demand for US Treasury bonds remained weak, causing 10-year US Treasury yields to rise above 3.68 percent.

 

The headline As anticipated, the US CPI increased by 0.4% on a monthly basis, and the annual figure decreased from 6.4% to 6.0%. In addition, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, decreased to 5.5% from 5.6% previously. The Fed appears to be pleased with the persistence of a declining trend in US inflation.

 

In the future, investors will closely monitor the US Retail Sales (Feb) data. Monthly Retail Sales data is anticipated to decline by 0.3% compared to the previous release of a 3.0% increase. This indicates that the consumer spending rebound is over and the Fed is on course to achieve its inflation target of 2%.

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