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According to Politico: The U.S. Democratic Party plans to hold a new round of voting on Tuesday night local time on a bill to limit the presidents war powers.On April 28, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) stated that recent tariff policy adjustments in the United States could increase the federal budget deficit by $1.1 trillion over ten years, but the exact figure is currently uncertain. CBO Director Swagel stated that the Supreme Courts ruling that Trumps use of emergency economic powers to impose tariffs was invalid will lead to a $2 trillion increase in the fiscal deficit over ten years; while other trade measures Trump has taken to date to compensate for this loss have added a total of $800 billion to $900 billion in revenue. Swagel stated, "Because the Supreme Court removed some tariffs, and the government reinstated some, the fiscal deficit over ten years will be about $1.1 trillion higher. The government has considerable power to impose new tariffs and adjust them, so its difficult to determine the exact deficit amount until the entire process is complete."On April 28th, German Chancellor Merz stated on the 27th that the United States lacks a strategic exit plan regarding the war with Iran. Speaking at an event at a high school in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, Merz said he couldnt see what kind of strategic exit plan the US would choose. He noted that Iran had been very sophisticated in negotiations, or rather, very sophisticated in refusing to negotiate, "letting the Americans go to Islamabad and leave empty-handed." Merz pointed out that once a war is started, "a way to exit must be found," and the US clearly lacks a strategy in this regard. He cited the USs actions in the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq as examples.On April 28, Pakistans Ministry of Information and Broadcasting issued a statement on the 27th denying Afghan media reports that Pakistan had launched airstrikes against a university and residential area in Kunar province in eastern Afghanistan. The statement called the reports "lies" intended to garner sympathy and conceal the Afghan governments support for the "Pakistani Taliban." The statement said, "Pakistans strikes were precise and based on intelligence."Oracle (ORCL.N), Borderplex, and Bloom Energy will power the Jupiter project using cleaner, more water-efficient fuel cell technology. Oracle stated that the Jupiter project will utilize up to 2.45 GW of Bloom Energys fuel cell capacity, covering all energy costs for the project. The project is expected to create 4,000 construction jobs and 1,500 permanent positions.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD will continue to fluctuate above $1,900 despite a decline in US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Mar 15, 2023 11:43

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Gold price (XAU / USD) is not in danger despite U.S. inflation figures meeting expectations. Since Monday, the precious metal has been fluctuating continuously between $1,895 and $1,913. The release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) failed to produce a significant reaction in the Gold price; however, the upside bias appears to be solidified as wagers on lesser rate increases from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have increased.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the critical support at 103.50, but it appears vulnerable to further losses as investors' risk appetite has dramatically increased. As market participants purchased S&P500 futures in response to higher odds of a smaller rate hike from Fed chair Jerome Powell, a likely recession in the US economy was postponed, signaling an uptick in optimism.

 

Contrary to the risk-on sentiment, demand for US Treasury bonds remained weak, causing 10-year US Treasury yields to rise above 3.68 percent.

 

The headline As anticipated, the US CPI increased by 0.4% on a monthly basis, and the annual figure decreased from 6.4% to 6.0%. In addition, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, decreased to 5.5% from 5.6% previously. The Fed appears to be pleased with the persistence of a declining trend in US inflation.

 

In the future, investors will closely monitor the US Retail Sales (Feb) data. Monthly Retail Sales data is anticipated to decline by 0.3% compared to the previous release of a 3.0% increase. This indicates that the consumer spending rebound is over and the Fed is on course to achieve its inflation target of 2%.