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On July 13, Aravind Srinivas, CEO of US AI search startup Perplexity, said on social media that based on the good performance of the Kimi K2 model, the company may use K2 for post-training in the future. DeepSeek R1 was also used by Perplexity for model training. K2 is a trillion-parameter open source model recently released by Kimi, which emphasizes code capabilities and general agent task capabilities.July 13, analysts said that financial markets, which have become increasingly insensitive to U.S. tariff threats, will face a test when they open on Monday after Trump announced over the weekend that he would impose 30% tariffs on the European Union and Mexico from August 1. Trump has recently stepped up trade measures, promising to impose more tariffs on everything from Canada to Brazil to Algeria and inviting trading partners to further negotiations. Despite warnings from JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon and others not to take it lightly, investors have so far reacted as if they were counting on the U.S. president to back down again because they have seen the previous 180-degree turn. Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said: "Investors should not just treat Trumps threat of a 30% tariff on EU goods as a bluff. This tariff level is punitive, but it may hurt the EU more than the United States, so the clock is counting down."On July 13, French President Emmanuel Macron posted on social media on the 12th that France and the European Commission strongly opposed the US announcement that day to impose a 30% tariff on EU exports from August 1. Macron wrote that in the context of EU unity, the European Commission should demonstrate the EUs determination to defend its own interests. If Europe and the United States cannot reach an agreement before August 1, the EU should mobilize all tools, including anti-coercion mechanisms, to speed up the preparation of "credible countermeasures." France supports the European Commission and the United States to step up negotiations in order to reach an agreement acceptable to both sides before August 1.European Council President: The EU remains fully supportive of efforts to reach a fair agreement with the United States.July 12, Mathieu Savary, chief European strategist at BCA RESEARCH: Trumps strategy is to make outrageous demands, then let them fall through, and then once again try to win some last-minute concessions and then reach a trade deal. We remember a framework during Trumps first presidency, and thats whats happening now. It doesnt matter what is said now; what matters is where we will land. It is expected that the EU will eventually "have to accept a 10% tariff, but this is something the EU can actually deal with.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD will continue to fluctuate above $1,900 despite a decline in US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Mar 15, 2023 11:43

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Gold price (XAU / USD) is not in danger despite U.S. inflation figures meeting expectations. Since Monday, the precious metal has been fluctuating continuously between $1,895 and $1,913. The release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) failed to produce a significant reaction in the Gold price; however, the upside bias appears to be solidified as wagers on lesser rate increases from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have increased.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the critical support at 103.50, but it appears vulnerable to further losses as investors' risk appetite has dramatically increased. As market participants purchased S&P500 futures in response to higher odds of a smaller rate hike from Fed chair Jerome Powell, a likely recession in the US economy was postponed, signaling an uptick in optimism.

 

Contrary to the risk-on sentiment, demand for US Treasury bonds remained weak, causing 10-year US Treasury yields to rise above 3.68 percent.

 

The headline As anticipated, the US CPI increased by 0.4% on a monthly basis, and the annual figure decreased from 6.4% to 6.0%. In addition, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, decreased to 5.5% from 5.6% previously. The Fed appears to be pleased with the persistence of a declining trend in US inflation.

 

In the future, investors will closely monitor the US Retail Sales (Feb) data. Monthly Retail Sales data is anticipated to decline by 0.3% compared to the previous release of a 3.0% increase. This indicates that the consumer spending rebound is over and the Fed is on course to achieve its inflation target of 2%.

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