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On August 18th, the General Office of the Sichuan Provincial Peoples Government recently issued the "Implementation Opinions on Accelerating the Integration of the Three Networks: Transportation Network, Logistics Network, and Data Network." The opinions propose to orderly promote the development and expansion of unmanned logistics. Unmanned logistics scenarios will be expanded in areas such as urban and rural distribution, trunk transportation, industrial park short-haul transportation, warehousing and sorting, and loading and unloading. The opinions also actively cultivate intelligent air-ground collaborative scenarios combining "unmanned vehicles + drones" and "manned vehicles + drones." Focusing on the "new three categories" of products—lithium batteries, photovoltaic modules, and new energy vehicles—the opinions promote the government and market to collaboratively build a carbon emission accounting and carbon footprint management system, guide enterprises to establish carbon asset management systems and participate in carbon trading, and drive the green and low-carbon transformation of the entire production, distribution, and consumption industries.According to the latest data from the General Administration of Customs, China exported 6.02 million tons of steel plates in July 2026, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8%; cumulative exports from January to July reached 38.26 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 9.9%.According to data from the General Administration of Customs, China imported 791 tons of polysilicon in July 2026, a year-on-year decrease of 32.4%; cumulative imports from January to July totaled 8,572 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 30.8%.According to data from the General Administration of Customs, China imported 42.73 million tons of coal and lignite in July 2026, a year-on-year increase of 20.3%; cumulative imports from January to July reached 268.11 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.3%. On the export side, China exported 770,000 tons of coal and lignite in July, a year-on-year decrease of 1.6%; cumulative exports from January to July reached 3.53 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 14.1%.On August 18th, three analysts from DBS Groups research department stated in a commentary that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may accelerate its interest rate hike pace from the current once every six months to once every three to four months. The analysts noted, "We have moved up our expectation for the BOJs next rate hike to September, and anticipate two more rate hikes each in the first and second quarters of 2027, bringing the overnight call rate to 1.75% by mid-2027." They also pointed out that the BOJs recent statements have become more hawkish, and the Japanese government seems less opposed to raising rates earlier than anticipated. DBS Group also raised its 2026 GDP growth forecast for Japan from 0.5% to 0.9%, and its 2027 GDP growth forecast from 0.5% to 1.0%.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD will continue to fluctuate above $1,900 despite a decline in US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Mar 15, 2023 11:43

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Gold price (XAU / USD) is not in danger despite U.S. inflation figures meeting expectations. Since Monday, the precious metal has been fluctuating continuously between $1,895 and $1,913. The release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) failed to produce a significant reaction in the Gold price; however, the upside bias appears to be solidified as wagers on lesser rate increases from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have increased.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the critical support at 103.50, but it appears vulnerable to further losses as investors' risk appetite has dramatically increased. As market participants purchased S&P500 futures in response to higher odds of a smaller rate hike from Fed chair Jerome Powell, a likely recession in the US economy was postponed, signaling an uptick in optimism.

 

Contrary to the risk-on sentiment, demand for US Treasury bonds remained weak, causing 10-year US Treasury yields to rise above 3.68 percent.

 

The headline As anticipated, the US CPI increased by 0.4% on a monthly basis, and the annual figure decreased from 6.4% to 6.0%. In addition, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, decreased to 5.5% from 5.6% previously. The Fed appears to be pleased with the persistence of a declining trend in US inflation.

 

In the future, investors will closely monitor the US Retail Sales (Feb) data. Monthly Retail Sales data is anticipated to decline by 0.3% compared to the previous release of a 3.0% increase. This indicates that the consumer spending rebound is over and the Fed is on course to achieve its inflation target of 2%.