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On April 3rd, Futures News reported that silver prices have been trending downwards and rebounding since March. As of April 2nd, the domestic spot price of #1 silver was 18,150 yuan/kg, a cumulative decrease of 25.7% compared to the beginning of March. The main driver was negative news, specifically the turmoil in the Middle East, which led the market to price in expectations of subsequent energy supply tightening, thus increasing concerns about inflation. The Federal Reserve shifted its stance from one rate cut this year to the possibility of a rate hike, putting pressure on silver. However, Powells subsequent statement suggesting maintaining interest rates and the release of some conciliatory signals between the US and Iran led to a correction in market expectations for rate cuts. Domestically, with the export tax rebate period for photovoltaic modules approaching, the downstream rush to produce and export has largely ended. Coupled with the weakness in new energy vehicles and price volatility weakening market investment demand, the fundamentals are under overall pressure. Going forward, continued attention needs to be paid to the direction of the Middle East situation and its impact on the Federal Reserves interest rate path. Silver volatility may increase, and it is recommended to invest cautiously based on ones own risk tolerance.On April 3, Hong Leong Investment Bank, in a report, pointed out that the Malaysian economy may be under pressure due to temporary energy supply disruptions caused by the conflict with Iran, and therefore lowered its 2026 GDP growth forecast from 4.7% to 4.5%. Although Malaysian ships were recently granted free passage through the Strait of Hormuz, analysts believe that the risk of oil supply shortages cannot be completely ignored. However, strong exports of electronic products and continued consumer demand will support growth. Due to rising commodity costs and adverse weather conditions, RON97 fuel oil, unsubsidized diesel, electricity, and food are facing upward price pressure, and Hong Leong Investment Bank raised its 2026 CPI growth forecast from 1.7% to 2.0%. Given the rising inflation risks and slowing growth prospects, analysts added that the Central Bank of Malaysia is likely to maintain the policy rate at 2.75% when assessing the impact of the conflict.April 3 - According to a CNN report on April 2, US intelligence assessments indicate that despite five weeks of US-Israeli military action against Iran, approximately half of Irans missile launchers remain intact, and it possesses thousands of suicide drones. The report, citing sources, states that the main reason Irans missile launchers have not been severely damaged is their ability to be moved underground. Furthermore, Irans use of mobile platforms for "hit-and-run" tactics makes tracking these launchers extremely difficult. Sources say that in addition to existing missile launchers, Iran still maintains a large stockpile of missiles. Moreover, the operational capability of Irans coastal cruise missiles is likely largely intact.On April 3rd, Xiaomi announced that due to the continued sharp rise in the prices of key components such as global memory chips, after careful evaluation, the company will adjust the suggested retail price of some of its products starting from 00:00 on April 11, 2026. Xiaomi President Lu Weibing stated on social media that the current round of memory price increases far exceeded expectations, with the price of the same version of memory soaring nearly four times compared to Q1 of last year. The 12+512GB version has increased by approximately 1500 yuan, and the 16+1TB version has seen an even more outrageous increase, which has significantly impacted REDMI, a brand that has always been known for its extremely cost-effective pricing. Therefore, we have had to make a slight increase or restore the original price for some models.On April 3rd, it was reported that the National Innovation Center for Optoelectronics, the National Key Laboratory of Optical Communication Technology and Networks, and Pengcheng Laboratory jointly developed a multifunctional programmable optoelectronic fusion gate array system (P-FPGA) – LightIN. This system consists of a programmable photonic chip, an electronic control module, and a test-compile-adjust (TCA) intelligent configuration framework, enabling multiple functions such as photonic computing acceleration, signal processing, network switching, and security encryption. The related findings were published in Nature sub-journal Light: Science & Applications 15:165.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD will continue to fluctuate above $1,900 despite a decline in US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Mar 15, 2023 11:43

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Gold price (XAU / USD) is not in danger despite U.S. inflation figures meeting expectations. Since Monday, the precious metal has been fluctuating continuously between $1,895 and $1,913. The release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) failed to produce a significant reaction in the Gold price; however, the upside bias appears to be solidified as wagers on lesser rate increases from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have increased.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the critical support at 103.50, but it appears vulnerable to further losses as investors' risk appetite has dramatically increased. As market participants purchased S&P500 futures in response to higher odds of a smaller rate hike from Fed chair Jerome Powell, a likely recession in the US economy was postponed, signaling an uptick in optimism.

 

Contrary to the risk-on sentiment, demand for US Treasury bonds remained weak, causing 10-year US Treasury yields to rise above 3.68 percent.

 

The headline As anticipated, the US CPI increased by 0.4% on a monthly basis, and the annual figure decreased from 6.4% to 6.0%. In addition, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, decreased to 5.5% from 5.6% previously. The Fed appears to be pleased with the persistence of a declining trend in US inflation.

 

In the future, investors will closely monitor the US Retail Sales (Feb) data. Monthly Retail Sales data is anticipated to decline by 0.3% compared to the previous release of a 3.0% increase. This indicates that the consumer spending rebound is over and the Fed is on course to achieve its inflation target of 2%.