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1. U.S. stock indexes closed mixed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.29% to 51,712.71 points, the S&P 500 fell 0.37% to 7,472.79 points, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.32% to 26,166.6 points. Caterpillar rose more than 3%, and Amgen rose more than 2%, leading the Dow. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index fell 2.33%, with Google falling more than 5% and Amazon falling more than 4%. SpaceX fell more than 16%, wiping out $400 billion in market value and falling below its first-day closing price. 2. European stock indexes closed mixed. The German DAX rose 0.62% to 25,139.69 points; the French CAC40 fell 0.25% to 8,400.11 points; and the UK FTSE 100 rose 0.72% to 10,437.85 points. 3. US Treasury yields rose across the board. The 2-year Treasury yield rose 5.31 basis points to 4.226%, the 3-year Treasury yield rose 5.36 basis points to 4.246%, the 5-year Treasury yield rose 5.86 basis points to 4.287%, the 10-year Treasury yield rose 5.55 basis points to 4.509%, and the 30-year Treasury yield rose 4.97 basis points to 4.948%. 4. The most active US crude oil futures contract closed down 3.21% at $74.08 per barrel; the most active Brent crude oil futures contract fell 2.8% to $77.81 per barrel. 5. International precious metals futures generally closed higher. COMEX gold futures rose 0.88% to $4209.70 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures rose 0.42% to $65.19 per ounce. 6. Most London base metals rose, with LME zinc up 1.28% to $3,602.0/ton, LME nickel up 0.74% to $17,710.0/ton, LME copper up 0.56% to $13,671.0/ton, LME lead up 0.56% to $1,965.0/ton, LME tin down 0.11% to $53,235.0/ton, and LME aluminum down 1.07% to $3,360.0/ton.UK grid operator: Ample power supply expected this winter.June 23 - Asian stocks are poised for a higher open as market optimism about progress in US-Iran peace talks boosts oil prices, offsetting weakness in Wall Street stocks after declines in several tech giants dragged down benchmark indices. Stock index futures suggest gains in Sydney, Hong Kong, and Tokyo markets. SpaceX shares plunged 16% on Monday after announcing a large-scale investment-grade bond issuance. Market expectations of a US-Iran agreement, coupled with a recovery in AI trade and robust corporate earnings, have propelled the S&P 500 nearly 20% from its war-induced lows. UBSs Chief Investment Office stated that while geopolitical developments may remain a major source of market volatility in the short term, shifts in investor confidence regarding the sustainability of the AI rally could also cause market fluctuations.Air raid sirens have been issued in Kyiv, Ukraine, and the government is urging residents to seek refuge.June 23 – According to CNN, citing a source familiar with the matter, a large-scale layoff initiated by Bill Pulte, acting Director of National Intelligence appointed by US President Trump, began on Monday. The source stated, "The purge of the deep state has begun," but declined to specify the number of positions to be cut. Previously, sources indicated that Pulte was considering cutting hundreds of positions in the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI). The source said that Pulte arrived at his post the day before his official start date last week and requested a complete list of all office staff, a move that even caught outgoing Director of National Intelligence Gabbard off guard. Another source indicated that the National Counterterrorism Center and the National Counterintelligence and Security Center are expected to be the primary targets of the layoffs.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD will continue to fluctuate above $1,900 despite a decline in US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Mar 15, 2023 11:43

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Gold price (XAU / USD) is not in danger despite U.S. inflation figures meeting expectations. Since Monday, the precious metal has been fluctuating continuously between $1,895 and $1,913. The release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) failed to produce a significant reaction in the Gold price; however, the upside bias appears to be solidified as wagers on lesser rate increases from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have increased.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the critical support at 103.50, but it appears vulnerable to further losses as investors' risk appetite has dramatically increased. As market participants purchased S&P500 futures in response to higher odds of a smaller rate hike from Fed chair Jerome Powell, a likely recession in the US economy was postponed, signaling an uptick in optimism.

 

Contrary to the risk-on sentiment, demand for US Treasury bonds remained weak, causing 10-year US Treasury yields to rise above 3.68 percent.

 

The headline As anticipated, the US CPI increased by 0.4% on a monthly basis, and the annual figure decreased from 6.4% to 6.0%. In addition, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, decreased to 5.5% from 5.6% previously. The Fed appears to be pleased with the persistence of a declining trend in US inflation.

 

In the future, investors will closely monitor the US Retail Sales (Feb) data. Monthly Retail Sales data is anticipated to decline by 0.3% compared to the previous release of a 3.0% increase. This indicates that the consumer spending rebound is over and the Fed is on course to achieve its inflation target of 2%.