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Both WTI and Brent crude oil prices fell by more than 1% during the day, currently trading at $73.94 per barrel and $76.91 per barrel, respectively.On June 23, the Ministry of Commerce and eight other departments issued a notice on several measures to cultivate and expand the automotive aftermarket consumption. The notice includes measures to enhance the high-quality supply capacity of the modification industry; studying the establishment of an access permit system for modified automotive parts; studying and improving the CCC certification system for automotive parts; strengthening product quality, safety, and environmental supervision; increasing the training and management of professional and technical personnel in automotive modification; encouraging technical interaction between automotive racing organizations and civilian vehicle modification companies; and optimizing services related to compulsory motor vehicle traffic accident liability insurance and commercial insurance to support the standardized development of automotive modification.Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) shares in Hong Kong continued to fall, currently down more than 5%.On June 23, according to Futures News, as of June 22, the closing price of benzene in the mainstream market in East China was 7185 yuan/ton, a decrease of 485 yuan/ton from 7670 yuan/ton on June 1. Progress in US-Iran negotiations and the drop in European and American crude oil futures to their early March lows dragged down market confidence. Coupled with the continued pressure of losses in downstream industries, there was low enthusiasm for purchasing raw material benzene, with priority given to fulfilling existing contracts. Spot trading was inactive, putting downward pressure on benzene prices to some extent. However, the lack of imported cargo ships arriving at major ports in East China for an extended period provided support at the market bottom, limiting the decline in benzene prices. Looking ahead, inventory reduction at major ports in East China is expected to continue in June, and market sentiment remains cautious, with few willing to short sell. The market is expected to remain weak in the short term, but the downside is limited.On June 23rd, Futures News reported that crude oil prices fluctuated significantly during the day. Following the strait blockade, oil prices initially rose, but subsequently retreated from their highs after the successful negotiations between the US and Iran and the reopening of the strait. The Middle East situation remains the core factor driving wide price fluctuations. Zhuochuang Information predicts that with the successful US-Iran negotiations and the resulting agreements, market anxieties have significantly eased, and the center of gravity for oil price fluctuations will gradually shift downwards. In the short term, oil prices are expected to continue their weak trend.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU / USD will continue to fluctuate above $1,900 despite a decline in US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Mar 15, 2023 11:43

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Gold price (XAU / USD) is not in danger despite U.S. inflation figures meeting expectations. Since Monday, the precious metal has been fluctuating continuously between $1,895 and $1,913. The release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) failed to produce a significant reaction in the Gold price; however, the upside bias appears to be solidified as wagers on lesser rate increases from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have increased.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is protecting the critical support at 103.50, but it appears vulnerable to further losses as investors' risk appetite has dramatically increased. As market participants purchased S&P500 futures in response to higher odds of a smaller rate hike from Fed chair Jerome Powell, a likely recession in the US economy was postponed, signaling an uptick in optimism.

 

Contrary to the risk-on sentiment, demand for US Treasury bonds remained weak, causing 10-year US Treasury yields to rise above 3.68 percent.

 

The headline As anticipated, the US CPI increased by 0.4% on a monthly basis, and the annual figure decreased from 6.4% to 6.0%. In addition, the core CPI, which excludes crude and food prices, decreased to 5.5% from 5.6% previously. The Fed appears to be pleased with the persistence of a declining trend in US inflation.

 

In the future, investors will closely monitor the US Retail Sales (Feb) data. Monthly Retail Sales data is anticipated to decline by 0.3% compared to the previous release of a 3.0% increase. This indicates that the consumer spending rebound is over and the Fed is on course to achieve its inflation target of 2%.

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