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On December 22, local time, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy revealed via social media that the Ukrainian team was in Florida, USA, reviewing clauses of documents related to ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict, security guarantees in Ukraine, and post-war reconstruction, and discussing the timeframe for the implementation of the resolutions. Zelenskyy stated that the consultations had made constructive progress, and the relevant outcomes were of great significance to the peace process and the long-term stability of Ukraine. He looked forward to briefings from Ukrainian officials on the details of the talks.On December 22, local time, U.S. Presidential Special Envoy Witkov stated that over the past three days, the Ukrainian delegation held a series of productive and constructive meetings with U.S. and European partners in Florida, with separate constructive meetings also held between the U.S. and Ukraine. Witkov also noted that the talks with the Ukrainian delegation focused particularly on the timeline for discussions and the sequence of follow-up steps.December 21 – According to sources, another oil tanker has been seized by the United States in waters near Venezuela as President Trump intensifies his oil blockade against the government of Venezuelan President Maduro. The seized tanker, the "Bella 1," is a Panamanian-flagged vessel under U.S. sanctions and was en route to Venezuela to load cargo. This interception follows the seizure of the "Century" supertanker early Saturday morning and the seizure of the "Skipper" tanker on December 10. The White House did not immediately respond to a request for comment.On December 21, local time, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) issued a statement saying that during operations in northern Gaza that day, several suspicious individuals were spotted gathering near the Yellow Line, the ceasefire line. IDF fired warning shots, but three armed men crossed the Yellow Line and approached IDF forces, posing a "direct threat." IDF airstrikes subsequently killed them. The statement also noted that in two other separate incidents in northern Gaza, IDF forces also discovered two armed men crossing the Yellow Line and approaching soldiers. IDF airstrikes subsequently killed them.On December 21, the French presidential palace stated that it would determine the "best way" for French President Macron to hold dialogue with Russian President Putin "in the coming days." The French presidential palace welcomed Russias statement that Putin was willing to engage in dialogue with Macron, and that France believed the aim of such dialogue was to achieve a "stable and lasting peace," and that the content would be "transparent" to Ukraine and Europe.

GBP/JPY is above 163.00 as investors anticipate BOJ and BOE monetary policy decisions

Daniel Rogers

Sep 19, 2022 14:51

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The British pound to Japanese yen exchange rate has been all over the place throughout the Tokyo trading session, hovering between 163.12 and 163.34. The asset has continued its baffling weeklong price swing. Investors are trying to gather as much information as possible before making a decision, which is leading the cross to drift sideways before the results of the BOJ and BoE monetary policy meetings (BOE).

 

The weakening yen is a worry for the Japanese economy since it necessitates the shutdown or reduction of manufacturing capacity that relies heavily on global imports. Since this is the case, the Bank of Japan will have to take a stand of neutrality and refrain from pumping more money into the economy. The case for switching to a 'neutral' policy is bolstered by the fact that Japanese officials believe the yen's current value does not reflect its fundamentals and are prepared to intervene in FX fluctuations.

 

Japan's markets are closed today in observance of Respect for the Aged Day, while British markets are also closed today in observance of the Bank Holiday. In light of this, the cross's expected performance is middling at best.

 

UK inflation figures reported last week will aid the BOE, but it won't be enough to prevent an interest rate hike. The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the United Kingdom came in at 9.9% less than the expected 10.2%, despite rising energy prices. Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, is expected to announce a rate increase of 50 basis points (bps).

 

The BOE won't soften its aggressive position in response to a one-time drop in inflation. A shift in policy strategy will be warranted by a string of declining inflation rates.

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