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GBP/JPY Nears 161.50 As Risk-On Sentiment Roughens The Waters

Daniel Rogers

Mar 20, 2023 13:25

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In the early hours of Monday's Asian session, GBP/JPY appreciated as Japanese Yen demand waned in response to rising liquidity optimism. Monday's improvement in risk appetite was the consequence of a global effort to end the liquidity crisis of the previous week.

 

In order to restore confidence in the financial system, several major central banks, including the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Bank of England (BoE), have coordinated efforts to dilute the global banking ecosystem with US Dollars. This is the reason why the transition line has been implemented.

 

This swap line's principal source of financing is the Federal Reserve (Fed); the Fed will lend US Dollars to other central banks in exchange for local currency as a short-term loan. The exchange line will begin on Monday and continue through April.

 

Sunday, the Bank of England issued a statement welcoming the Swiss government's decision to merge Credit Suisse and UBS Group and reiterating that the UK banking system is adequately capitalized and funded. The Bank of England (BoE) will make a decision regarding interest rates on Thursday, and it will be crucial to observe their future direction. Given the ongoing liquidity crisis, this may be the last time the BoE raises interest rates.

 

March meeting of the Bank of Japan The previously released Summary of Opinions contains no new information, as the Federal Reserve has maintained an extremely permissive monetary stance for decades. In addition, Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki stated on Monday that he was closely monitoring market movements in the wake of Credit Suisse Group's rescue agreement over the weekend.

 

This week, it is also crucial to monitor the liquidity situation, citing reports that two European banks are under close observation. Therefore, it is probable that upward advances in the GBP/JPY pair will continue to be fragile.