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On August 2, Russias First Deputy Permanent Representative to the United Nations, Konstantin Polyansky, stated at a Security Council meeting that UN staff were unwilling to take seriously the Ukrainian militarys attack on Russian civilian facilities, which undermined the UNs authority. He said: "In this case, the relevant staff of the UN Secretariat acted with extreme hypocrisy, feigning ignorance and evading responsibility by claiming they could not verify the authenticity of the information about Ukrainian crimes. All of this clearly undermined the authority of our global organization."On August 2nd, a full year since the Bank of England began its interest rate-cutting cycle, despite four consecutive rate cuts and the likelihood of further cuts, British households continue to face the highest borrowing costs in a generation. Analysis of Bank of England savings and mortgage data shows that Britons are spending £11 billion (US$14.5 billion) less annually than in July of last year. This loss stems primarily from two factors: First, the rate cuts have hit savers hard, significantly reducing the returns on their savings. Second, many homeowners have yet to benefit from the rate cuts, as they are still waiting for mortgages locked in during periods of high interest rates to expire. Edward Allenby, an economist at Oxford Economics, said: "Against the backdrop of slowing real wage growth and tighter fiscal policy, the lagged impact of past rate hikes on mortgage holders will continue to dampen consumption. The Bank of Englands rate-cutting cycle is unlikely to provide a significant boost to business investment and consumer spending over the next few years."DeepBlue Auto: Global deliveries of 27,169 vehicles in July, a year-on-year increase of 62%.On August 2, CNN reported that the United States plans to conduct the first large-scale test of its Golden Dome missile defense system before the 2028 presidential election, allowing the current administration to promote it as a political achievement during the campaign. The report indicated that the test is tentatively scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2028. An unnamed US Department of Defense official stated that this timeline indicates that Republicans want to have a demonstration to show during the November election. He also noted that completing the systems test preparations within such a tight timeframe is an "extremely challenging task," especially given the high technical complexity of deploying a new missile interceptor system. This test may only be the first phase of the Golden Dome project, and full deployment will take much longer.YouGov poll: Most Americans believe tariffs hurt American consumers; only 22% blame foreign manufacturers.

AUD/USD falls to approximately 0.67 as a result of less hawkish RBA minutes

Daniel Rogers

Mar 21, 2023 14:05

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As a result of the publication of minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) that were less hawkish, the AUD/USD pair has declined to near 0.6705. Given that inflation was still too high, the labor market was constrained, and business surveys indicated robust activity, the Board reaffirmed that additional policy tightening would likely be required. The RBA policymakers viewed a 25 basis point (bps) rate increase as the only viable option for March's monetary policy.

 

Investors should be aware that RBA Governor Philip Lowe raised the Official Cash Rate by 25 basis points to 3.60 percent for the fifth consecutive time. In addition, it was the RBA's eleventh consecutive increase in interest rates to combat persistent inflation.

 

Recent optimistic Australian employment data indicate that the fight against persistent inflation is extremely complicated and that RBA policymakers are still required to make challenging decisions in times of inflation uncertainty and global banking collapse concerns.

 

In the Asian session, S&P500 futures have extended Monday's gains as investors disregard concerns over the Federal Reserve's (Fed) impending monetary policy, indicating a further improvement in market participants' risk appetite.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has remained relatively stable around 103.30 as investors anticipate a less hawkish monetary policy and interest rate guidance. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is required to restore investor confidence following the failure of three midsize commercial banks in the United States. This could be accomplished through minor adjustments to interest rate policy.

 

In the interim, the demand for U.S. government bonds has weakened further as inflation expectations have risen as a result of the collaborative effort of various central banks to support commercial banks by providing liquidity assistance in the form of US dollars. This has led to higher yields on US Treasury bonds. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note has risen to 3.5%.