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Spains manufacturing PMI for July was 50.2, in line with expectations of 50 and the previous reading of 49.7.August 3 – Swiss inflation slowed to its lowest level in four months in July, showing resilience amid rapidly rising costs driven by energy prices across Europe. Data from the Swiss National Statistical Office showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% year-on-year in July, down from 0.5% in June and in line with economists median forecast. Cost pressures from rising diesel and heating oil prices were offset by lower prices for a range of goods and services, including clothing and car rentals. Core inflation, excluding volatile factors such as energy, remained at 0.3%. The latest data contrasts with the Swiss National Banks (SNB) previous forecast of a moderate, temporary acceleration in inflation. According to sources, based on the current weak inflation trend, the SNB internally expects interest rates to remain at zero until the end of next year, barring any new shocks.Futures News, August 3rd: Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) Energy and Chemical Warehouse Receipts and Changes on August 3rd: 1. Pulp futures warehouse receipts: 356,739 tons, an increase of 3,672 tons compared to the previous trading day; 2. Pulp futures mill warehouse receipts: 20,000 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 3. Offset paper futures warehouse receipts: 2,758 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 4. Offset paper futures mill warehouse receipts: 6,520 tons, a decrease of 80 tons compared to the previous trading day; 5. Fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 1,696 tons. 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 6. Petroleum asphalt futures warehouse receipts: 11,290 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 7. Petroleum asphalt futures factory warehouse receipts: 18,210 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 8. Medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse receipts: 2,961,000 barrels, unchanged from the previous trading day; 9. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 5,000 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 10. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures factory warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day.August 3 – Following the Houthi threat that disrupted regional shipping, Yanbu, a key Saudi export port on the Red Sea coast, appeared to be experiencing its busiest day yet. Meanwhile, an increasing number of ships turned off their tracking signals as they passed through the vital Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Satellite imagery showed five Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) docked at Yanbus oil loading terminal on Saturday, potentially marking the ports most active day since the Iranian-backed Houthi blockade of Saudi ports two weeks ago. These photos were taken by the EUs Sentinel-2 satellite. Because the satellite only passes through the area every few days, continuous monitoring is not possible. Yanbu has become a crucial node for Saudi Arabia to maintain large-scale crude oil exports after the war with Iran severely impacted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Saudi Arabia bypasses the Strait of Hormuz by transporting millions of barrels of crude oil daily to the Red Sea via pipelines for export to global markets.Shares of UK-listed energy companies fell, with Ithaca Energy down 4.1%, BP down 2.9%, and Shell down 2.1%.

AUD / USD Rises To 0.6640 As Australian Employment Improves

Daniel Rogers

Mar 16, 2023 14:12

As a consequence of the upbeat Employment data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the AUD/USD pair has extended its recovery to near 0.6640. The Australian economy added 64,600 new employment in February, exceeding the consensus estimate of 48,500. The Australian economy reported 11.5K unemployment in January. From estimates of 3.6% and the previous issuance of 3.7%, the unemployment rate has been further reduced to 3.5%.

 

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which is drafting a plan to reduce inflation, will encounter additional challenges as a consequence of positive Australian labor market data. As a larger labor force in action would exacerbate inflationary pressures, RBA Governor Philip Lowe may continue to target higher rates.

 

Earlier, Australian Consumer Inflation Expectations (Mar) data indicated that inflation projections for the next 12 months decreased to 5.0% from the consensus of 5.4% and the previous release of 5.1%.

 

In the meantime, S&P500 futures are showing modest gains during the Asian session, which could be considered a dead cat bounce following the volatility on Wednesday. The debacle of Credit Suisse following the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has increased the risk of global banking turmoil. According to one school of thought, the Federal Reserve (Fed) and other western central banks' rapid and precipitous interest rate increases contributed to the collapse of the global banking system.

 

As investors anticipate a less hawkish interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve (Fed) next week, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is looking to extend its correction below 104.60. After a fleeting upswing in January, the United States' inflation has retreated, dampening expectations for a hawkish stance from Fed chair Jerome Powell.