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June 19th - Data shows that foreign exchange traders, including hedge funds, are buying options in large quantities, betting on a further strengthening of the US dollar following hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve this week, which reinforced expectations of a US interest rate hike. According to traders, leveraged funds began buying dollar call options on Wednesday, with these options appreciating in value if the dollar strengthens. This demand continued into Thursday as investors digested new Federal Reserve Chairman Warshs anti-inflationary remarks. Tobias Jungmann, head of FX options for the Americas at Bank of America, said, "Were seeing massive buying of dollar call options, primarily in G-10 currencies. Given the current low implied volatility, establishing long dollar positions through options looks very attractive." James Swindell, senior FX options trader at Barclays in London, said, "Were seeing significant demand across the board for dollar call options, particularly in EUR/USD and GBP/USD."Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino: When guiding monetary policy, the Bank of Japan must also pay attention to the financial situation, such as the lending attitude of banks.Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino: The Bank of Japans neutral interest rate estimate has a wide range, and it is difficult to formulate monetary policy simply by measuring the gap between the Bank of Japans policy rate and the estimated neutral interest rate.On June 19, 2026, Liao Min, Vice Minister of Finance, met with Roberto Ciffon-Arévaro, Global Head of Sovereign Credit Ratings at S&P Global Ratings, in Beijing. The two exchanged views on topics such as the resilience of Chinas macroeconomy, China-US bilateral relations, and the impact of the situation in the Middle East.The Secretariat of Irans Supreme National Security Council: We assure the Supreme Leader and the people that there will be no slackening in advancing future negotiations and other matters, and we will continue to persist until the rights of the Iranian people are fully realized.

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Price breaks six-week-old resistance below 0.6700 as bulls lose momentum

Daniel Rogers

Mar 15, 2023 11:50

AUD/USD accepts bids up to 0.6680 on Thursday morning as the currency pair falls toward retesting its intraday low of 0.6671. In doing so, the Aussie pair posts its first daily loss in three days as bulls flirt with a resistance line with a downward trajectory from early February.

 

In addition to the six-week-old descending resistance line, AUD/USD buyers are challenged by a lethargic RSI (14) and ambiguous MACD signals unless the price remains below the 0.6700 trend line resistance.

 

Even if the Aussie pair transcends the 0.6700 round number, a convergence of the 100-DMA and the 200-DMA around 0.6770-75 appears challenging for the bulls to surmount.

 

If the AUD/USD exchange rate remains above 0.6775, the December 2022 high near 0.6895 and the 0.6900 round number may serve as the bulls' final line of defense.

 

In contrast, a pullback has yet to materialize beyond the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the risk-barometer pair's upside from October 2022 to February 2023, which was near 0.6655 at the time of publication.

 

Afterwards, the most recent swing low and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the golden Fibonacci ratio, around 0.6565 and 0.6550, respectively, could challenge the AUD/USD bears prior to granting them control.

 

As China data approaches, the AUD/USD pair is likely to experience a retracement, but downside potential appears limited.