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May 5th - According to three sources familiar with the matter, US intelligence assessments indicate that the timeline for Iran to develop nuclear weapons has remained unchanged since last summer. At that time, analysts estimated that the joint US-Israeli strikes had delayed this timeline by up to a year. This unchanged timeline suggests that effectively stopping Irans nuclear program may require the destruction or removal of Irans remaining stockpile of highly enriched uranium (HEU). The sources stated that US intelligence agencies concluded before the 12-day war in June of last year that Iran was likely to produce enough weapons-grade uranium to build a nuclear weapon within three to six months. Following the June airstrikes, US intelligence assessments pushed this timeline back to approximately nine months to a year.According to the Wall Street Journal, "Big Short" Michael Burry has sold off his entire stake in GameStop (GME.N), after GameStop announced its intention to acquire eBay (EBAY.O).Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: With Federal Reserve Chairman nominee Warsh now serving as Chairman of the Federal Reserve, I believe the Feds culture and behavior will continue as they have been.US President Trump: Hundreds of millions of barrels of oil are flowing out of Venezuela.On May 5th, New York Federal Reserve President Williams stated that the Feds current accommodative stance reflects the likely long-term direction of monetary policy, while inflation dynamics have not yet reached the point where a rate hike needs to be discussed. Speaking to reporters after a speech in New York City, Williams said, "I dont see any indication from todays data that a rate hike is necessary in the near term." However, he added that given the current level of uncertainty, he believes "we cannot yet provide clear guidance on the direction of interest rates at the next few meetings."

Following The Upbeat Australian Employment Number, AUD / NZD Rises Above1.0750

Daniel Rogers

Mar 16, 2023 14:01

AUD:NZD.png 

 

The AUD / NZD exchange rate has increased by approximately 0.50% following the release of Australia's Employment Change data for the month of February. Employment Change came in at 64.6K, compared to 48.5K anticipated and -11.5K in the prior period. The unemployment rate has decreased from 3.7% to 3.5%. Full-time employment increased significantly from -43.3K to 74.9K.

 

After two negative readings in December and January, the positive employment data will likely encourage the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to implement an additional 25 basis point (bps) rate hike at their next meeting, despite indicating a pause thereafter.

 

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for the fourth quarter of 2022 in New Zealand were worse than expected, with the quarterly reading at -0.6% compared to -0.2% from the previous 2% and the annual reading at 2.2% compared to 3.3% from the previous 6.4%.

 

The economic contraction was caused by stagnant consumption, a decline in real national total disposable income, and a lack of investment in the industrial sectors. The economic impact of Cyclone Gabrielle is excluded from this figure, which represents the fourth quarter of 2022.

 

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) may reconsider its hawkish stance at its April 5 meeting in light of this growth data. Despite the fact that many market analysts anticipate a 25 basis point rate hike from the RBNZ in April, the upside bias for AUD / NZD remains intact as economic data for both economies continues to diverge.


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