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Abu Dhabi National Oil Company: Crude oil can be supplied through loading schedules starting April 27.June 19th - Investinglive analyst Eamonn Sheridan stated that market movements, including those of oil and the US dollar, shifted due to the cancellation of Vances trip, revealing previous market expectations: the early setbacks caused by Israel have led the market to reassess the process. The 60-day countdown to the nuclear negotiations following the Memorandum of Understanding has begun, but the first meeting is still unscheduled, a worrying situation for a process that cannot tolerate procedural delays. If the Geneva talks fail to convene in time, the risk premium flowing out of crude oil after the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz will face partial reconstruction. The current situation is clear: neither side will travel to Switzerland—at least not yet—and the significant differences in their respective reasons indicate that the root of the friction goes far beyond the logistical issues mentioned by the White House.June 19th - Data shows that foreign exchange traders, including hedge funds, are buying options in large quantities, betting on a further strengthening of the US dollar following hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve this week, which reinforced expectations of a US interest rate hike. According to traders, leveraged funds began buying dollar call options on Wednesday, with these options appreciating in value if the dollar strengthens. This demand continued into Thursday as investors digested new Federal Reserve Chairman Warshs anti-inflationary remarks. Tobias Jungmann, head of FX options for the Americas at Bank of America, said, "Were seeing massive buying of dollar call options, primarily in G-10 currencies. Given the current low implied volatility, establishing long dollar positions through options looks very attractive." James Swindell, senior FX options trader at Barclays in London, said, "Were seeing significant demand across the board for dollar call options, particularly in EUR/USD and GBP/USD."Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino: When guiding monetary policy, the Bank of Japan must also pay attention to the financial situation, such as the lending attitude of banks.Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino: The Bank of Japans neutral interest rate estimate has a wide range, and it is difficult to formulate monetary policy simply by measuring the gap between the Bank of Japans policy rate and the estimated neutral interest rate.

AUD / USD Rises To 0.6640 As Australian Employment Improves

Daniel Rogers

Mar 16, 2023 14:12

As a consequence of the upbeat Employment data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the AUD/USD pair has extended its recovery to near 0.6640. The Australian economy added 64,600 new employment in February, exceeding the consensus estimate of 48,500. The Australian economy reported 11.5K unemployment in January. From estimates of 3.6% and the previous issuance of 3.7%, the unemployment rate has been further reduced to 3.5%.

 

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which is drafting a plan to reduce inflation, will encounter additional challenges as a consequence of positive Australian labor market data. As a larger labor force in action would exacerbate inflationary pressures, RBA Governor Philip Lowe may continue to target higher rates.

 

Earlier, Australian Consumer Inflation Expectations (Mar) data indicated that inflation projections for the next 12 months decreased to 5.0% from the consensus of 5.4% and the previous release of 5.1%.

 

In the meantime, S&P500 futures are showing modest gains during the Asian session, which could be considered a dead cat bounce following the volatility on Wednesday. The debacle of Credit Suisse following the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has increased the risk of global banking turmoil. According to one school of thought, the Federal Reserve (Fed) and other western central banks' rapid and precipitous interest rate increases contributed to the collapse of the global banking system.

 

As investors anticipate a less hawkish interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve (Fed) next week, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is looking to extend its correction below 104.60. After a fleeting upswing in January, the United States' inflation has retreated, dampening expectations for a hawkish stance from Fed chair Jerome Powell.