• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
The main Shanghai silver futures contract rose 2.97% intraday, last quoted at 16,105 yuan/kg, with an increase of nearly 3,100 lots in open interest, and both trading volume and open interest activity increased.September 17 – The 10th China-Australia (Australia) Defence Working Meeting was held in Beijing on September 17. The two sides exchanged candid and in-depth views on military relations, maritime and air security, and international and regional issues of common concern, enhancing mutual understanding and trust.On September 17th, when asked whether it was reasonable for the market to price in nearly four interest rate hikes within the next year, Bank of England Governor Bailey said on Thursday that the outlook was too unpredictable, adding that his officials had not yet discussed this. "Weve had a lot of discussions this time, but we havent discussed the prospect of four rate hikes," Bailey told the media after the Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged but warned of rising inflationary pressures. He added, "The market has to form its own judgment, but I must point out: the current situation... is simply too unpredictable." Bailey stated that the state of the UK gilt market—with the 30-year gilt yield hitting its highest level since 1998 this week—did not influence the banks announcement. Bailey said, "We planned this work long before the Middle East conflict, so this is not at all a reaction to market conditions."Industry data and Reuters calculations show that Russias seaborne petroleum product exports rose 16.4% in August compared to July, but fell 50% year-on-year.The U.S. pending home sales index fell 4.9% year-over-year in August, compared with a forecast of -3.9% and a previous reading of -2.50%.

Prior to UK Employment, GBP/JPY Expects Gains Above 163.00

Alina Haynes

Mar 14, 2023 14:26

 GBP:JPY.png

 

In the early Asian session, the GBP/JPY pair is evaluating an intermediate cushion above 162.00 after detecting restrictions in the upside momentum above 163. As investors become concerned about the United Kingdom's labor cost index, which has occupied the Bank of England (BoE) with high inflation issues for the past year, the cross is expected to resume its upward trend.

 

The release of the UK's Employment data will be the primary catalyst for the British Pound in the near future. Claimant Count Change (Feb) is expected to decline by 12.4K compared to the previous release of 12.9K. The three-month Unemployment Rate is expected to increase to 3.8% from the previous release of 3.7%.

 

The primary catalyst will be the Average Earnings data, which is anticipated to decrease to 5.7% from the previous release of 5.9%. Investors should be aware that higher employment costs and persistent food price inflation in the British economy have fueled inflationary pressures. And now, a decline in the labor cost index will please Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, who is losing sleep over devising a strategy to slow the double-digit inflation rate.

 

It is essential to observe that the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has repercussions outside of the United States. In a joint statement from the UK Treasury and the Bank of England (BOE) on Monday, Jeremy Hunt, the minister of finance, stated that "deposits will be protected without taxpayer support." The UK authorities have confirmed that HSBC has agreed to rescue Silicon Valley Bank's (SVB) UK subsidiary. UK Hunt added, "These actions have no direct material impact on any other British institutions."

 

Following the announcement of unchanged monetary policy by former Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, investors are shifting their focus to BoJ Kazuo Ueda's commentary on the Yield Curve Control (YCC) and a transition to restrictive monetary policy.

 

Alvin Liew, senior economist at UOB Group, believes that Japan's exit from the YCC and negative interest rates are inevitable; the question is how Ueda will implement his plan. We anticipate a gradual, well-communicated change in Ueda's pace, as opposed to a sudden one. We see it as two primary steps: 1) Protracted adjustment to its forward guidance on YCC and interest rates (April to December 2023) and 2) Elimination of YCC and abolition of the negative policy rate in early 2024."