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Israeli Military: The Israeli Air Force is currently attacking surface-to-surface missile sites in central Iran.Market News: An official said that Iran told mediators Qatar and Oman that it was unwilling to negotiate a ceasefire with Israel during the Israeli attack.On June 16, Richard Bronzi, head of geopolitics at consulting firm Energy Aspects, said, "Now that Israel has crossed the threshold, the market will question whether it will further strike Irans energy infrastructure. We seem to be caught in a vicious cycle of escalating conflict." Helima Croft, head of global commodity strategy at Royal Bank of Canada Capital Markets and former CIA analyst, said, "If the supply is interrupted, Trump is likely to ask the Saudi-led OPEC+ alliance to use its considerable idle production capacity." Irans current daily output is about 3.4 million barrels, and it is uncertain whether OPEC can make up for its long-term large-scale shutdown gap. This move itself may make Saudi Arabia and the UAEs energy facilities a target of public criticism. Clay Siegel, a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, analyzed: "Although OPEC can use idle production capacity to replace Iranian crude oil, Saudi Arabia and the UAE will face huge political risks if they profit from it."Israels emergency organization "Red Shield of David": Irans latest round of ballistic missile attacks has injured 8 people in Israel.June 16th news, on June 15th local time, Mustafa Hayari, director of media affairs of the Jordanian Armed Forces, said that the current situation is an attempt by one party to the conflict to drag Jordan into the war, intending to undermine Jordans security and stability. But Jordans national position has been very clear from the beginning, that is, to avoid being involved in the conflict between Iran and Israel. Regarding the measures taken by the Jordanian Armed Forces to deal with this threat, Hayari emphasized that the military has increased the combat readiness level of various combat units and logistics units since the beginning of the conflict, and has placed all combat units and troops on the highest level of alert to ensure effective response to any potential threats. Hayari said that missiles and drones entering Jordanian airspace are extremely dangerous. As military weapons, these devices may have technical deviations for a variety of reasons, making Jordanian territory a potential landing point.

Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD advances toward $1,800 on a decline in consensus for US inflation

Daniel Rogers

Aug 09, 2022 15:19

 截屏2022-07-29 上午11.06.12.png

 

The price of gold (XAU/USD) has slowed down since reaching a peak over $1,790.00 during the Asian session. After a sharp rally, the precious metal is stabilizing in a higher market profile but the upward energy has not yet been exhausted. On the back of reduced projections for the US Consumer Price Index, the shiny metal is moving closer to the psychological resistance level of $1,800.00. (CPI).

 

According to market expectations, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) will drop from its previous release of 9.1 percent to 8.7 percent. The consensus has decreased by 40 basis points, which is supported by the recent decline in oil prices. On account of growing recessionary fears and diminishing supply concerns, black gold lost its luster. This may encourage the Federal Reserve (Fed) to set interest rates a little lower this time.

 

Investors should be aware that a temporary decrease in price pressures does not signify that the Federal Reserve's (Fed) difficult work is finished. For the inflation rate to assert that the price pressures have subsided, a string of downward changes must be visible.

 

After receiving bids in the lower part of the Rising Channel that was established on a four-hour scale, gold prices have significantly recovered. The upper part of the aforementioned chart pattern is drawn from the high of July 22 at $1,739.37, and the lower part is drawn from the low of July 27 at $1,711.55.

 

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,775.50 has been held by the bulls in gold. Although there has been a correction, the 50-EMA at $1,767.11 has held steady, showing that the short-term trend is incredibly optimistic.

 

Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has made an attempt to break above 60.00; if this is successful, it will support gold bulls even more.