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Iran will reopen its stock market on Tuesday, May 17, according to a report by the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) on Saturday, citing a senior official. The report stated that trading had been suspended due to conflicts with the United States and Israel. Hamid Yari, deputy supervisor of the Iranian Securities and Exchange Organization, said, "The suspension of stock market activities since the outbreak of the war was aimed at protecting shareholder assets, preventing panic trading, and creating a more transparent pricing environment." He added, "Now, with the reopening of the stock market, we will see all sectors of the capital market fully resume operation."On May 17th, according to the Financial Times, two Federal Reserve officials nominated by US President Trump opposed allowing Jerome Powell to serve as interim chairman of the Fed "without time limit." This highlights the escalating political divisions within the central bank amid continued attacks from the White House. Powells second term as Fed chairman ended on Friday. He was appointed interim chairman to assume the duties until his official successor, Warsh, takes office. Milan and Bowman, nominated by Trump to the Feds board of governors, stated in a joint statement that they supported Powells temporary appointment as interim chairman, but "could not support this action" because the arrangement was "without time limit." Milan voted against it, while Bowman abstained. Milan and Bowman stated that Powells interim chairmanship "should be limited to a clearly defined and finite timeframe, at least one week," but they "can support a maximum period of one month."On May 17, the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC) convened an emergency regional coordination meeting on May 16, local time, to discuss and deploy a new round of Ebola prevention and control efforts with relevant personnel from the Democratic Republic of Congo, Uganda, South Sudan, the World Health Organization, and the African Medical Association. The meeting focused on current priorities, including cross-border surveillance and early warning management, infection prevention and control, case management, close contact management, logistical support, and resource mobilization.On May 17, US President Trump warned Iran that it would face a "very bad situation" if a peace agreement was not reached soon. In a telephone interview with French broadcaster BFMTV, Trump said, "They are interested in reaching an agreement." Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi said on Friday that the Iranian government had received a message from the Trump administration indicating its willingness to engage in new negotiations, but he also warned that "distrust" of Washingtons true intentions remained.The Israeli military says it attacked 100 targets in southern Lebanon in two days.

Forecast for the price of gold: Pre-NFP trade slowdown around $1,790 according to XAU/USD

Alina Haynes

Aug 05, 2022 15:08

 截屏2022-08-04 下午5.25.46_1024x576.png

 

As traders exhibit the normal concern ahead of the important US employment data on Friday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) seesaws near the monthly peak. Despite this, the price of yellow metal fluctuates between $1,788 and $1,791 as of the morning of the press in Europe.

 

The market's conflicting fears about the global recession and the most recent geopolitical stories affecting Taiwan, in addition to the pre-NFP caution, further contribute to the XAU/USD's movement. It's important to note that the options market sends conflicting signals and presents difficulties for gold purchasers.

 

The recent increase in US Treasury rates has helped to strengthen the US currency and put downward pressure on the price of gold, but it also seems to have lessened concerns about a global economic downturn.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a two-day slump and registers modest gains at 106.00. The dollar index declined during the previous two days before consolidating recent losses by monitoring the yields. It's important to note that after falling during the previous two days, the US 10-year Treasury rates have stabilized at roughly 2.069 percent. The disparity between the coupons for 10-year and 2-year bonds is still the largest it has been since 2000, yet US Treasury rates have continued to show the possibility of a recession.

 

Geopolitical issues from the Taiwan Strait are also a problem for gold purchasers elsewhere, as China expresses its displeasure with Nancy Pelosi, the speaker of the US House of Representatives, visiting Taipei. According to West Official, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken recently stated at an East Asia meeting that China's response to US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan had been "flagrantly aggressive."

 

In terms of the options market's attitude, a one-month risk reversal (RR) of gold prices ends a three-week downturn when seen weekly, but if observed daily, it causes a third straight day of decline. It should be mentioned that the risk reversal term refers to the spread between bullish and bearish bets, namely the call options and put options (RR).

 

In conclusion, gold prices are still stable, but the bad news outweighs the good news, therefore today's US employment data for July will be important for the short-term outlook. The US dollar's recovery may continue and impact on gold prices if the employment numbers look to be higher than expected.


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