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On December 10th, Shannon Saccoci, Chief Investment Officer of Neuberger Berman Wealth Management, stated in a recent memo that regardless of whether the Federal Reserve cuts rates this week, interest rates will eventually decline, driving a renewed acceleration in the US economy and opening up upside potential for risk assets. She pointed out that while market expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed on December 10th have fluctuated wildly in recent weeks, the truly crucial factor is the Feds overall dovish policy stance—which is constructive for the US economy and risk markets. Saccoci emphasized that while risks regarding the timing and magnitude of rate cuts remain, this does not change the ultimate goal: a lower and more accommodative federal funds rate in the second half of next year.December 10th - According to NHK, the Japanese government and ruling party are adjusting the tax system for the ultra-wealthy, particularly those with high asset income from stocks and land, as part of next years tax reform. The plan is to lower the base annual income threshold from the current approximately 3 billion yen or more to approximately 600 million yen or more, thus expanding the tax base. A problem with Japans current tax system is that wages and other income are subject to progressive income rates, while asset income such as gains from stock and real estate transfers is subject to a flat rate. This results in a relatively low overall income tax burden for the ultra-wealthy, whose income is heavily reliant on asset income. An additional tax has already been implemented for those with high asset income among the ultra-wealthy, whose annual income is approximately 3 billion yen or more starting this year. The new standard is expected to apply to income from the following year. At that time, the number of people subject to taxation is expected to expand from the current approximately 200-300 to approximately 2,000, and tax revenue is expected to increase by approximately 300 billion yen.Cmoles trading volume exceeded 10 billion yuan, and its stock price has risen by more than 17%.According to NHK, the Japanese government and ruling party are considering expanding the tax rate range for the super-rich in order to increase tax revenue.On December 10th, according to futures market news: 1. WTI crude oil futures trading volume was 823,503 lots, an increase of 125,633 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,867,919 lots, a decrease of 22,893 lots from the previous trading day. 2. Brent crude oil futures trading volume was 109,892 lots, a decrease of 1,154 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 220,225 lots, a decrease of 1,021 lots from the previous trading day. 3. Natural gas futures trading volume was 801,271 lots, a decrease of 108,931 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,552,738 lots, a decrease of 16,730 lots from the previous trading day.

Copper prices tumble after encountering resistance near $3.60; DXY completes correction

Alina Haynes

Aug 30, 2022 11:49

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Copper prices are falling sharply after detecting selling pressure near the crucial $3.625 barrier during the Asian session. The asset's pullback move after hitting a low of $3.5715 on Monday is losing momentum, and the end of the pullback move indicates a new leg of selling is imminent.

 

The basic metal is anticipated to continue under the control of bears in light of bearish market mood. The US dollar index (DXY) is poised for a fresh upward surge as investors have begun buying the DXY in response to Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell's hawkish remarks on interest rate guidance at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium.

 

After the Federal Reserve (Fed) favored inflation fix above lower growth estimates, the risk-off market sentiment has supported the DXY. The DXY is anticipated to surpass its 20-year high of 109.29, set on July 14.

 

Taking into account the essential core concepts, the decision to address inflation turmoil before optimism looks mature. The US inflation rate is soaring, and a single indication of tiredness is insufficient to allow Fed policymakers to lay back and relax.

 

On the China front, the recurrence of Covid-19 cases has heightened fears of an economic slowdown in China. The news from Reuters that China recorded 1,344 new asymptomatic coronavirus cases on the mainland on August 28, up from 1,137 the previous day, has sparked worries of a lockdown to restrict the disease's spread. Copper prices may be weighed down by a forecast of weak demand.