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March 11 (Futures News) – According to foreign media reports, Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) corn futures fell for the second consecutive trading day on Tuesday, with the benchmark contract closing down 0.3%, mainly due to a sharp decline in international crude oil futures. Trumps prediction that the war with Iran might end soon lowered market expectations for prolonged supply disruptions, causing crude oil prices to plummet by more than 13% on Tuesday. The previous trading day had seen prices surge to their highest level since 2022. Reports indicated that a convoy of at least 25 supertankers was diverting to the Red Sea due to shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. This news also negatively impacted the crude oil market. The USDAs supply and demand report showed that U.S. corn ending stocks for 2025/26 remained unchanged at 2.127 billion bushels, lower than the market expectation of 2.155 billion bushels. Brazils corn production forecast was revised upward by 1 million tons to 132 million tons, while Argentinas production forecast was revised downward by 1 million tons to 52 million tons.On March 11th, according to foreign media reports, soybean oil futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) closed lower on Tuesday, with the benchmark contract down 0.7%, mainly due to a sharp drop in international crude oil futures. International crude oil futures plummeted by over 11% on Tuesday as US President Trumps statement that the war between the US and Iran would end quickly eased concerns about long-term global supply disruptions, putting downward pressure on the Chicago soybean oil market. The USDAs supply and demand report showed that soybean oil production was slightly revised down to 29.92 billion pounds, despite an increase in crush volume forecasts, due to a lower soybean oil extraction rate. Domestic soybean oil consumption in the US was slightly revised down, with a decrease in soybean oil usage in the biofuel industry, but this was largely offset by an increase in usage in the food, feed, and industrial (FSI) sector. The expected soybean oil usage in the biofuel industry was lowered by 800 million pounds to 14 billion pounds, while ending stocks were slightly revised up to 1.782 billion pounds. The 2025/26 US soybean oil price forecast was raised by 2 cents to 55 cents per pound.On March 11th, according to foreign media reports, Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) soybean futures closed higher on Tuesday, with the benchmark contract rising 0.6%. Despite a sharp drop in international crude oil futures, Chicago soybean futures still closed higher. The U.S. Department of Agriculture released its highly anticipated monthly supply and demand report in the morning, but the market reaction was muted due to minimal adjustments in the data. The 2025/26 U.S. soybean ending stocks forecast remained unchanged at 350 million bushels, higher than analysts forecast of 343 million bushels. Brazilian soybean production was estimated at 180 million tons, while Argentinas production forecast was lowered to 48 million tons from 48.5 million tons last month. Global soybean ending stocks for 2025/26 are projected at 125.31 million tons, a decrease of 200,000 tons from February. Traders quickly refocused their attention on the impact of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, U.S. spring planting intentions, and upcoming biofuel policies.March 11 – U.S. Priority Refining Corporation announced on March 10 that its new refinery will be located in the Port of Brownsville, Texas. The project, valued at $300 billion, is a partnership with Indias Reliance Industries. U.S. President Trump stated that the new refinery in Brownsville will supply fuel to the U.S. market, enhance national security, increase U.S. energy production, generate billions of dollars in economic benefits, and create thousands of jobs.March 11 – The French presidential office announced that President Macron will host a teleconference of G7 leaders on Wednesday to discuss the Iranian crisis and rising energy prices. G7 governments are weighing how to respond to the sharp rise in oil prices triggered by the war with Iran. G7 energy ministers failed to reach an agreement on releasing strategic petroleum reserves on Tuesday, instead requesting the International Energy Agency (IEA) to assess the situation before taking action.

As US economic data is reviewed, XAU/USD slips off $1,740 support-turned-resistance

Daniel Rogers

Aug 30, 2022 11:47

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During Tuesday's Asian session, the gold price (XAU/USD) retests its intraday low near $1,736 after a failed rebound off the one-month low. In doing so, metal prices take cues from the most recent comeback of the U.S. dollar from its intraday low and justify the challenges to market mood originating from China and the central bankers' front.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounded from the daily low to 108.81 after reversing from a new 19-year high the day before. In doing so, the dollar's index against the six main currencies appears to validate the market's fears of higher interest rates despite the imminent economic downturn, as Fed Chair Jerome Powell had previously suggested.

 

It is important to note that rumors of an escalation in Sino-American tensions over Taiwan also impose downward pressure on the XAU/USD exchange rate, primarily since Beijing is one of the world's largest commodities consumers. The news further strengthens the dollar's appeal as a safe haven. Politico has reported that the Biden administration will ask Congress to authorize a $1.1 billion arms sale to Taiwan. Prior to it, the movement of US boats in the Taiwan Strait and the visits of American diplomats to Taipei provoked China.

 

In contrast, the most recent news from Bloomberg regarding the Eurozone's ability to combat the energy issue appears to challenge the XAU/USD bearish. "The European Union is on track to fulfill its gas storage filling goal two months ahead of schedule as the EU prepares for a harsh winter with Russia limiting supplies and surging energy prices ravaging the continent," Bloomberg reported.

 

Monday saw the consolidation of recent market movements amid a light economic calendar and contradictory Fed commentary. In spite of this, the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index increased to -12.9 from -20.2, as anticipated, and -22.6 previously. Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, claimed that people now comprehend how serious we are about bringing inflation back to 2%.

 

Following a two-day uptrend to reestablish the monthly high, the 10-year US Treasury yields fall to 3.10% amidst these plays. With this, intraday gains for S&P 500 Futures are reduced.

 

Moving forward, the August US Consumer Confidence and statements from Fed speakers are highlighted as the primary drivers to watch for additional impetus. In his Jackson Hole speech, Fed Chair Powell voiced concern over economic slowdown and labor market pressures. Consequently, Friday's US employment report will garner a great deal of attention.