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August 4th - Recently, the Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC) launched a special campaign called "Clean Up the Online Environment and Rectify Malicious Hype of Enterprise-Related Information." Based on letters from relevant departments and local cyberspace administrations, a number of illegal and irregular accounts that infringe upon the legitimate online rights and interests of enterprises and entrepreneurs will be dealt with severely.According to JLC Network Technology, several airlines will lower domestic fuel surcharges starting from midnight on August 5th, marking the third reduction this year. After the adjustment, adult passengers will be charged 40 yuan for flights of 800 kilometers or less, and 70 yuan for flights over 800 kilometers, a decrease of 10 yuan and 30 yuan respectively compared to before the adjustment. 1. This fee has fluctuated throughout the year: it remained low in the first quarter (10 yuan for flights under 800 kilometers, 20 yuan for flights over 800 kilometers); due to geopolitical conflicts, international crude oil and jet fuel prices rose, leading to consecutive increases in April and May, peaking in May (90 yuan/170 yuan); subsequently, with the easing of geopolitical tensions and falling oil prices, it decreased twice in June and July, finally seeing a third consecutive drop on August 5th. 2. Domestic fuel surcharges are linked to aviation kerosene prices and are determined by the National Development and Reform Commission and the Civil Aviation Administration of China based on international oil prices, which airlines then implement. Currently, it is still summer vacation, and long-distance travel is increasing; this reduction will slightly lower the cost of long-distance air travel for the public.On August 4th, Japanese Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Minoru Jonouchi stated that the cost increases caused by the Middle East conflict have so far had a limited impact on consumer prices, and offered a relatively optimistic assessment of inflation risks. Jonouchi said, "The overall Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 1.7% year-on-year in June, indicating that the rate of price increases remains relatively moderate." He made these remarks in response to the Bank of Japans warning last week regarding the "increased risk of inflation exceeding expectations." However, Jonouchi added, "We do need to remain vigilant, as costs may gradually be passed on to food and other consumer goods prices from this summer to autumn."The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.4 earthquake occurred at 10:25 a.m. on August 4 in Gao County, Yibin City, Sichuan Province (28.53 degrees north latitude, 104.67 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 5 kilometers.The China Earthquake Networks Center automatically determined that an earthquake of approximately magnitude 3.3 occurred at 10:25 AM on August 4th near Gao County, Yibin City, Sichuan Province (28.53°N, 104.67°E). The final result is subject to the official rapid report.

Before the US PMI is released, the gold price is expected to rise beyond $1,740 per ounce

Daniel Rogers

Aug 23, 2022 14:48

 截屏2022-08-22 下午5.31.01_1024x576.png

 

On the back of conflicting forecasts for US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data, the gold price (XAU/USD) is trying to break above $1,740.00. A new monthly low of $1,727.85 was recorded for the precious metal on Monday, but it has since rallied strongly. Given the lack of impetus in the upward trend, the gold price is likely to stay volatile. However, a pullback may be less profitable.

 

The consensus for the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is 51.5, which is down from the prior reading of 52.2. When compared to its previous reading of 47.3, the Services PMI has room to grow.

 

The yellow metal has been supported by the disappointing early estimates of US Durable Goods Orders. From a previous release of 2%, the market expects the economic figures to sharply decrease to 0.5%. It's important to note that the most recent reading showed no change in underlying pricing pressures, which stood at 5.9%. So, we expect to see little change, if any, in the Durable Goods Orders numbers. Unfortunately, a precipitous drop in economic statistics portends a precipitous drop in demand.

 

The other thing that will be in the spotlight is Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell's remarks from the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. US economic conditions and Fed Powell's direction on inflationary pressures and interest rates will be determined by him.

 

Gold prices on an hourly scale are looking to continue their recovery after breaking above the $1,729.44 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (set from the low of $1,680.91 on July 21 to the high of $1,807.93 on August 10). Gold has been testing the resistance of the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $1,738.00; a sustained move above this level would signal a change in trend toward the bullish side.

 

Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (14), which had been negative in the 20.00-40.00 range, has moved into the bullish 40.00-60.00 zone, indicating that gold prices are currently not bearish.

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