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On August 3, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant posted on social media on the evening of August 2 that "the coordinated U.S.-Japan foreign exchange intervention effectively curbed the disorderly fluctuations in the yen exchange rate," and the Trump administration strongly supports "Japans market and monetary policy measures to correct the significant undervaluation of the yen." Bessant stated that the U.S. Treasury is closely monitoring the situation and will "not hesitate to participate in further joint intervention." Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama also confirmed on August 3 that Japan and the U.S. jointly implemented foreign exchange market intervention. She also stated, "We will not hesitate to further jointly implement foreign exchange market intervention in the future." It is understood that to curb the historic depreciation of the yen, the monetary authorities of Japan and the United States jointly implemented a foreign exchange market intervention last week, buying yen. In the international foreign exchange market, the trend of buying yen and selling dollars dominated, and the yen exchange rate once rose to the range of 156 yen to the dollar—the first time it has reached this level in about three months since early May of this year.According to foreign media reports, CBOT soybean futures fell in the week ending July 31, with the benchmark contract closing down 5.27%, retreating from a more than two-year high reached the previous week. This decline mainly reflected favorable rainfall expected in the Midwest in the coming days. Crude oil futures also fell, with funds liquidating positions at the end of the month. However, strong demand for US soybeans provided bottom support. Weather factors were the core factor suppressing soybean prices this week. The USDAs crop progress report showed that as of July 26, the US soybean condition rating had fallen to 63%, down from 66% a week earlier and also at a relatively low level for the same period in recent years, reflecting the stress that previous high temperatures and drought had placed on crops. Demand continued to provide important support. The USDAs weekly export sales report showed that as of the week ending July 23, US net soybean sales were 1.63 million tons (300,000 tons of old crop and 1.33 million tons of new crop), up from 1.59 million tons a week earlier (50,000 tons of old crop and 1.54 million tons of new crop). The soybean market was also affected by the sharp fluctuations in the energy market. The sharp decline in international crude oil prices weakened the energy premium of soybean oil and dragged down soybean futures prices.Lenovo Holdings (03396.HK): It expects its net profit for the first half of this year to be no less than RMB 2 billion, an increase of 186% year-on-year.August 3rd - According to foreign media reports, Malaysia is considering allowing some exports of unprocessed rare earth elements to solidify its position in supply chains across industries ranging from automobile manufacturing to defense and consumer goods. Malaysia suspended unprocessed rare earth exports in 2024 to stimulate investment in domestic processing industries—a common strategy among resource-rich developing countries. However, according to a senior government official, authorities are currently assessing the feasibility of relaxing restrictions as competition surrounding these minerals intensifies. Syed, Malaysias Deputy Minister of Natural Resources and Sustainable Environment, stated, "Any new exports will come with conditions, including being linked to inbound investment and technology transfer." He declined to provide a timeline for adjusting export regulations. Syed stated that Malaysia possesses 16.1 million tons of "inferred reserves" of rare earth elements. The government has previously indicated that these reserves could be worth 970 billion ringgit (US$237 billion).Japans Ministry of Finance: We remain vigilant and maintain close contact with the U.S. Treasury Department.

Before the US PMI is released, the gold price is expected to rise beyond $1,740 per ounce

Daniel Rogers

Aug 23, 2022 14:48

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On the back of conflicting forecasts for US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data, the gold price (XAU/USD) is trying to break above $1,740.00. A new monthly low of $1,727.85 was recorded for the precious metal on Monday, but it has since rallied strongly. Given the lack of impetus in the upward trend, the gold price is likely to stay volatile. However, a pullback may be less profitable.

 

The consensus for the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is 51.5, which is down from the prior reading of 52.2. When compared to its previous reading of 47.3, the Services PMI has room to grow.

 

The yellow metal has been supported by the disappointing early estimates of US Durable Goods Orders. From a previous release of 2%, the market expects the economic figures to sharply decrease to 0.5%. It's important to note that the most recent reading showed no change in underlying pricing pressures, which stood at 5.9%. So, we expect to see little change, if any, in the Durable Goods Orders numbers. Unfortunately, a precipitous drop in economic statistics portends a precipitous drop in demand.

 

The other thing that will be in the spotlight is Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell's remarks from the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. US economic conditions and Fed Powell's direction on inflationary pressures and interest rates will be determined by him.

 

Gold prices on an hourly scale are looking to continue their recovery after breaking above the $1,729.44 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (set from the low of $1,680.91 on July 21 to the high of $1,807.93 on August 10). Gold has been testing the resistance of the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $1,738.00; a sustained move above this level would signal a change in trend toward the bullish side.

 

Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (14), which had been negative in the 20.00-40.00 range, has moved into the bullish 40.00-60.00 zone, indicating that gold prices are currently not bearish.