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On May 15th, Sylvan Lane, business editor of The Hill, stated that Powell promised that while his reappointment would be unusual, he would remain "low-key" during his tenure on the Board and would not become a "shadow chairman" challenging Warshs influence. If he keeps his word, Powell is likely to return to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and express his views on interest rates in a moderate manner. The FOMC is increasingly divided on how to address the surge in inflation triggered by Iran. Although Powell may no longer dominate Fed policy, he could still have a significant impact on the Feds future due to the unique composition of the Fed Board. The seven members of the Fed Board each serve 14-year terms, with staggered terms. However, the term is not recalculated when a new board member replaces an outgoing member. If Powell were to leave the Fed permanently after his term as chairman, Trump could have nominated Warsh to succeed him for the remainder of his term, while reserving another board seat for another potential nominee. However, in reality, Trump can only nominate Warsh to fill the board seat temporarily held by Milan.Russian President Vladimir Putin: Russias unemployment rate remains at a low level of 2.2%.Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi: Saboteurs are trying to disrupt the diplomatic process, and some warmongers want to drag the United States into another war. I hope the United States will not make this mistake. Ultimately, diplomacy will prevail.Iranian Foreign Minister: Iran is both ready to return to the fight and prepared for a diplomatic solution.Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi: For more than 40 years, Iran has been the target of severe US sanctions. However, these sanctions have failed to change our resolve or policies.

Before the US PMI is released, the gold price is expected to rise beyond $1,740 per ounce

Daniel Rogers

Aug 23, 2022 14:48

 截屏2022-08-22 下午5.31.01_1024x576.png

 

On the back of conflicting forecasts for US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data, the gold price (XAU/USD) is trying to break above $1,740.00. A new monthly low of $1,727.85 was recorded for the precious metal on Monday, but it has since rallied strongly. Given the lack of impetus in the upward trend, the gold price is likely to stay volatile. However, a pullback may be less profitable.

 

The consensus for the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is 51.5, which is down from the prior reading of 52.2. When compared to its previous reading of 47.3, the Services PMI has room to grow.

 

The yellow metal has been supported by the disappointing early estimates of US Durable Goods Orders. From a previous release of 2%, the market expects the economic figures to sharply decrease to 0.5%. It's important to note that the most recent reading showed no change in underlying pricing pressures, which stood at 5.9%. So, we expect to see little change, if any, in the Durable Goods Orders numbers. Unfortunately, a precipitous drop in economic statistics portends a precipitous drop in demand.

 

The other thing that will be in the spotlight is Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell's remarks from the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. US economic conditions and Fed Powell's direction on inflationary pressures and interest rates will be determined by him.

 

Gold prices on an hourly scale are looking to continue their recovery after breaking above the $1,729.44 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (set from the low of $1,680.91 on July 21 to the high of $1,807.93 on August 10). Gold has been testing the resistance of the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $1,738.00; a sustained move above this level would signal a change in trend toward the bullish side.

 

Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (14), which had been negative in the 20.00-40.00 range, has moved into the bullish 40.00-60.00 zone, indicating that gold prices are currently not bearish.

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