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According to the Iranian Students News Agency, nuclear talks between Iran and the United States will be held in Oman on Friday, with a format similar to previous rounds.February 4th - US businesses added fewer jobs in January than expected, indicating a continued slowdown in the labor market at the start of the year. ADP Research data released Wednesday showed that private sector employment increased by only 22,000 jobs in January, below market expectations, and the previous months figure was revised downwards. Due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, the official data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics was delayed, making ADP data likely the most complete reference for the January labor market this week. Despite some signs of stabilization in recent months, the lower-than-expected increase in private sector employment suggests that the labor market continued to cool in January. ADP data showed that education and healthcare services led hiring growth, while professional/business services saw its largest job decline since June of last year.ADP report: Salary growth for employed workers remained largely unchanged in January, with a year-over-year increase of 4.5%. However, the year-over-year salary increase for those changing jobs slowed to 6.4% from 6.6%.ADP report: The total number of new jobs in December has been revised from 41,000 to 37,000.Financial website InvestingLive commented on the US January ADP employment data: The situation is quite severe, with widespread loss of various white-collar jobs, while net job growth is almost entirely concentrated in government-related fields.

Before the US PMI is released, the gold price is expected to rise beyond $1,740 per ounce

Daniel Rogers

Aug 23, 2022 14:48

 截屏2022-08-22 下午5.31.01_1024x576.png

 

On the back of conflicting forecasts for US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data, the gold price (XAU/USD) is trying to break above $1,740.00. A new monthly low of $1,727.85 was recorded for the precious metal on Monday, but it has since rallied strongly. Given the lack of impetus in the upward trend, the gold price is likely to stay volatile. However, a pullback may be less profitable.

 

The consensus for the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is 51.5, which is down from the prior reading of 52.2. When compared to its previous reading of 47.3, the Services PMI has room to grow.

 

The yellow metal has been supported by the disappointing early estimates of US Durable Goods Orders. From a previous release of 2%, the market expects the economic figures to sharply decrease to 0.5%. It's important to note that the most recent reading showed no change in underlying pricing pressures, which stood at 5.9%. So, we expect to see little change, if any, in the Durable Goods Orders numbers. Unfortunately, a precipitous drop in economic statistics portends a precipitous drop in demand.

 

The other thing that will be in the spotlight is Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell's remarks from the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. US economic conditions and Fed Powell's direction on inflationary pressures and interest rates will be determined by him.

 

Gold prices on an hourly scale are looking to continue their recovery after breaking above the $1,729.44 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (set from the low of $1,680.91 on July 21 to the high of $1,807.93 on August 10). Gold has been testing the resistance of the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $1,738.00; a sustained move above this level would signal a change in trend toward the bullish side.

 

Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (14), which had been negative in the 20.00-40.00 range, has moved into the bullish 40.00-60.00 zone, indicating that gold prices are currently not bearish.

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