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The chairmen of the U.S. Senate and House Armed Services Committees expressed deep concern over the U.S. decision to withdraw a brigade-sized force from Germany.On May 3, when asked when and how he would insure ships in the Strait of Hormuz, Berkshire Hathaways Vice Chairman for Insurance, Ajit Jain, gave a concise answer: "The short answer is—it depends on the price." Jain stated, "We do have a small stake in an established project to insure ships in the Strait of Hormuz. But no deals have been finalized yet." Jain also pointed out that U.S. Navy escort for the ships would be a key prerequisite for the projects coverage conditions. "If we can meet our own coverage conditions, we will insure this type of risk at a price level that we deem appropriate."On May 3, Qazem Gharibabadi, Irans Deputy Foreign Minister in charge of legal and international affairs, met with ambassadors from various countries stationed in Tehran on Saturday to discuss what he called Irans proposals to end the war and aggression launched by the US and Israel. Gharibabadi stated that Iran is fully prepared to defend itself against any attacks against its people, and that Tehran remains committed to diplomatic mediation based on national interests. He said that Iran has submitted a proposal through Pakistan as a mediator to permanently end this imposed war, and that the initiative now rests with the US, which must choose between a diplomatic path or a continued confrontational stance. He added that Iran is prepared for both scenarios to safeguard its national interests and security, while remaining pessimistic and distrustful of the US and its diplomatic sincerity.On May 3, local time, the Ukrainian presidential website announced that President Zelenskyy had signed a presidential decree approving the National Security and Defense Councils decision to impose targeted sanctions on five individuals. The sanctions were reportedly imposed because the actions of these individuals threatened Ukraines national interests, security, sovereignty, and territorial integrity. The five individuals targeted are a Ukrainian lawyer, a Ukrainian businessman, a Russian businessman, and two Russian sports promoters.Iraqs Deputy Oil Minister stated that two oil tankers are ready, with two more to be deployed depending on the situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Following the resolution of the Hormuz crisis, Iraq could restore its oil production and exports to normal levels within seven days.

Before the US PMI is released, the gold price is expected to rise beyond $1,740 per ounce

Daniel Rogers

Aug 23, 2022 14:48

 截屏2022-08-22 下午5.31.01_1024x576.png

 

On the back of conflicting forecasts for US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data, the gold price (XAU/USD) is trying to break above $1,740.00. A new monthly low of $1,727.85 was recorded for the precious metal on Monday, but it has since rallied strongly. Given the lack of impetus in the upward trend, the gold price is likely to stay volatile. However, a pullback may be less profitable.

 

The consensus for the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is 51.5, which is down from the prior reading of 52.2. When compared to its previous reading of 47.3, the Services PMI has room to grow.

 

The yellow metal has been supported by the disappointing early estimates of US Durable Goods Orders. From a previous release of 2%, the market expects the economic figures to sharply decrease to 0.5%. It's important to note that the most recent reading showed no change in underlying pricing pressures, which stood at 5.9%. So, we expect to see little change, if any, in the Durable Goods Orders numbers. Unfortunately, a precipitous drop in economic statistics portends a precipitous drop in demand.

 

The other thing that will be in the spotlight is Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell's remarks from the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. US economic conditions and Fed Powell's direction on inflationary pressures and interest rates will be determined by him.

 

Gold prices on an hourly scale are looking to continue their recovery after breaking above the $1,729.44 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (set from the low of $1,680.91 on July 21 to the high of $1,807.93 on August 10). Gold has been testing the resistance of the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $1,738.00; a sustained move above this level would signal a change in trend toward the bullish side.

 

Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (14), which had been negative in the 20.00-40.00 range, has moved into the bullish 40.00-60.00 zone, indicating that gold prices are currently not bearish.

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