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On September 19th, the General Administration of Customs released import and export data for January-August 2026. Chinas merchandise exports showed relatively strong overall growth in 2026, reaching $2.9255 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 19%. August saw a record high of $401.4 billion, demonstrating strong export growth. Automobile exports reached $129.1 billion in January-August 2026, a 53% increase, with August exports reaching $18.3 billion, a 43% increase, indicating strong vitality in the Chinese automotive market. Auto parts exports reached $69.8 billion in January-August 2026, an 8% increase, with August exports reaching $9.1 billion, a 7% increase, highlighting significant export pressure for Chinese auto parts. Motorcycle exports reached $15.5 billion in January-August 2026, a 26% increase, with August exports reaching $2.1 billion, a 28% year-on-year increase. Exports of gasoline-powered motorcycles slowed due to high oil prices, while electric motorcycles surged. The country needs to follow the development of domestic vehicle manufacturers and change its reliance on European and American after-sales systems.Court websites show that Iran executed a man convicted of passing intelligence on missile bases to Israel during the war.September 19 - According to the Russian Ministry of Defense, Russian air defense systems destroyed 344 Ukrainian drones over Russia overnight. During the night, on-duty air defense systems intercepted and destroyed 344 Ukrainian fixed-wing drones over Leningrad Oblast, Novgorod Oblast, Bryansk Oblast, Kursk Oblast, Belgorod Oblast, Oryol Oblast, Kaluga Oblast, Tula Oblast, Ryazan Oblast, Lipetsk Oblast, Vladimir Oblast, Rostov Oblast, Krasnodar Krai, Moscow region, Yamal-Nenets Autonomous Okrug, Dagestan Republic, and the Black Sea region.On September 19th, a preliminary investigation report released by the UKs National Air Traffic Control (NAC) on the 18th concluded that the widespread disruption at multiple UK airports last week, resulting in the cancellation of over 2,000 flights, was caused by a "millisecond-level" software glitch. The investigation revealed that a software failure occurred in the UK air traffic control system on September 8th, "the entire failure occurring within one millisecond," rather than a human error as many had initially speculated. This system is responsible for assigning flight codes, allowing air traffic controllers to identify flights on radar. This glitch forced the cancellation or delay of numerous flights, affecting hundreds of thousands of passengers. Several major airports, including London Heathrow, Edinburgh, and Manchester, were impacted, with many passengers stranded at airports, and order only gradually being restored after several days.On September 19th, Bolivian President Rodrigo Paz announced the termination of state subsidies for diesel fuel and a shift to a unified pricing model to help address the long-standing fuel shortage. Paz stated that Bolivia relies on imports for approximately 90% of its diesel, with the government spending about $55 million weekly on subsidies. From today, the price of diesel will equal the cost of purchasing it abroad. Rampant fuel smuggling and black market resale are key factors contributing to the weekly losses. This move replaces the dual-pricing system introduced in August, which charged high-volume consumers 18 Bolivianos ($2.60) per liter while maintaining a subsidized price of 9.80 Bolivianos for other consumers. Paz stated that domestic prices will now follow global benchmarks, and if international costs decrease, domestic prices will also decrease. To offset the financial pressure on households and key economic sectors, the government announced targeted relief measures, including direct cash transfers and concessional credit lines.

Before the US PMI is released, the gold price is expected to rise beyond $1,740 per ounce

Daniel Rogers

Aug 23, 2022 14:48

 截屏2022-08-22 下午5.31.01_1024x576.png

 

On the back of conflicting forecasts for US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data, the gold price (XAU/USD) is trying to break above $1,740.00. A new monthly low of $1,727.85 was recorded for the precious metal on Monday, but it has since rallied strongly. Given the lack of impetus in the upward trend, the gold price is likely to stay volatile. However, a pullback may be less profitable.

 

The consensus for the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is 51.5, which is down from the prior reading of 52.2. When compared to its previous reading of 47.3, the Services PMI has room to grow.

 

The yellow metal has been supported by the disappointing early estimates of US Durable Goods Orders. From a previous release of 2%, the market expects the economic figures to sharply decrease to 0.5%. It's important to note that the most recent reading showed no change in underlying pricing pressures, which stood at 5.9%. So, we expect to see little change, if any, in the Durable Goods Orders numbers. Unfortunately, a precipitous drop in economic statistics portends a precipitous drop in demand.

 

The other thing that will be in the spotlight is Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell's remarks from the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. US economic conditions and Fed Powell's direction on inflationary pressures and interest rates will be determined by him.

 

Gold prices on an hourly scale are looking to continue their recovery after breaking above the $1,729.44 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (set from the low of $1,680.91 on July 21 to the high of $1,807.93 on August 10). Gold has been testing the resistance of the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $1,738.00; a sustained move above this level would signal a change in trend toward the bullish side.

 

Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (14), which had been negative in the 20.00-40.00 range, has moved into the bullish 40.00-60.00 zone, indicating that gold prices are currently not bearish.

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