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On January 29, Premier Li Qiang and British Prime Minister Keith Starmer jointly attended the closing ceremony of the China-UK Business Council meeting at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing and delivered speeches. More than 110 representatives from Chinese and British enterprises and institutions attended. Li Qiang stated that China and the UK are important economic and trade partners with broad common interests. As long as both sides adhere to mutual respect, move in the same direction, eliminate interference, and cooperate openly, they can achieve win-win results and create common prosperity through mutual benefit. Currently, unilateralism and protectionism are on the rise, and geopolitical conflicts are intensifying, severely impacting the world economy and business development. Against this backdrop, China and the UK should continue to uphold the "ice-breaking spirit" and strengthen cooperation ties. This is not only a rational choice for both countries to cope with risks and promote common development, but also a due responsibility for China and the UK as major powers to work together to solve global problems.January 29th - Canadas trade deficit widened more than expected, driven by increased volatility in gold exports and declines in both imports and exports of motor vehicles and parts. Statistics Canada reported on Thursday that the countrys trade deficit reached C$2.2 billion in November. Economists had previously predicted a deficit of C$690 million. The agency stated that total exports fell 2.8% in November, with exports of metal and non-metallic mineral products experiencing the largest drop at 24.4%. This was primarily dragged down by a 36% decline in exports of unwrought gold, silver, platinum, and their alloys. The report noted that gold has been the main driver of volatility in Canadian exports in recent months. In November, Canadian exports of unwrought gold to the UK, the US, and Hong Kong all declined sharply.The U.S. trade deficit widened by the largest margin since 1992.The final reading of U.S. nonfarm unit labor costs for the third quarter was -1.9%, compared to an expected -1.90% and a previous reading of -1.90%.The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits for the week ending January 24 was 209,000, compared with an expected 205,000 and a revised 210,000 for the previous week.

Before the US PMI is released, the gold price is expected to rise beyond $1,740 per ounce

Daniel Rogers

Aug 23, 2022 14:48

 截屏2022-08-22 下午5.31.01_1024x576.png

 

On the back of conflicting forecasts for US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data, the gold price (XAU/USD) is trying to break above $1,740.00. A new monthly low of $1,727.85 was recorded for the precious metal on Monday, but it has since rallied strongly. Given the lack of impetus in the upward trend, the gold price is likely to stay volatile. However, a pullback may be less profitable.

 

The consensus for the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is 51.5, which is down from the prior reading of 52.2. When compared to its previous reading of 47.3, the Services PMI has room to grow.

 

The yellow metal has been supported by the disappointing early estimates of US Durable Goods Orders. From a previous release of 2%, the market expects the economic figures to sharply decrease to 0.5%. It's important to note that the most recent reading showed no change in underlying pricing pressures, which stood at 5.9%. So, we expect to see little change, if any, in the Durable Goods Orders numbers. Unfortunately, a precipitous drop in economic statistics portends a precipitous drop in demand.

 

The other thing that will be in the spotlight is Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell's remarks from the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. US economic conditions and Fed Powell's direction on inflationary pressures and interest rates will be determined by him.

 

Gold prices on an hourly scale are looking to continue their recovery after breaking above the $1,729.44 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (set from the low of $1,680.91 on July 21 to the high of $1,807.93 on August 10). Gold has been testing the resistance of the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $1,738.00; a sustained move above this level would signal a change in trend toward the bullish side.

 

Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (14), which had been negative in the 20.00-40.00 range, has moved into the bullish 40.00-60.00 zone, indicating that gold prices are currently not bearish.

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