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On July 16th, Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Ghalibaf issued a statement on the latest developments regarding the war and the domestic situation on the evening of the 15th local time. Ghalibaf stated that Iran has never welcomed war, but in order to safeguard national security and interests, it must be prepared for battle at all times and must exert every effort. Ghalibaf pointed out that Iran should also utilize diplomatic and negotiating means to achieve and consolidate its national interests. Ghalibaf stated that a memorandum of understanding is only meaningful if all its provisions are valid and being implemented. If Iran cannot benefit from a memorandum of understanding, there is no reason to abide by it. Ghalibaf stated that everyone in Iran has a responsibility to make efforts, according to the Supreme Leaders instructions, for war, diplomacy, or both.July 16 – Three U.S. officials stated that the recent series of U.S. strikes against Iran were aimed at forcing it to open the Strait of Hormuz, and also at targeting Irans military capabilities, which the U.S. hopes to destroy before undertaking more complex operations against Iran. The recent strikes have effectively enhanced Trumps additional military options. The U.S. military stated that its latest airstrikes targeted Iranian air defense systems, coastal radar stations, missile and drone bases, as well as small vessels and other maritime assets. One U.S. official stated that these strikes can be seen as "shaping operations," weakening Irans defense capabilities to allow for more intensive U.S. military operations in the future. "This helps lay the groundwork for necessary follow-up work," the official said.Three U.S. officials said the recent U.S. strikes against Iran are increasing the U.S.s options for further escalation.July 16th - According to CBS, the U.S. Department of Defense recently assessed military action options against Cuba, including a large-scale air assault option carried out by the 101st Airborne Division. Sources familiar with the matter stated that these discussions do not indicate that the Trump administration has decided to take action. Currently, a large portion of U.S. military resources are concentrated in the Middle East, limiting the likelihood of action against Cuba. The U.S. has indicated it still prefers to push for reforms in Cuba through diplomatic and economic pressure. The Pentagon responded that it would not comment on hypothetical military action.According to CBS: The United States has explored the possibility of launching airstrikes against Cuba.

Before the PBoC's monetary policy announcement, AUD/JPY recovers strongly from 92.00

Alina Haynes

Feb 20, 2023 11:14

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Despite a difficult start to the Tokyo session at 92.10, the AUD/JPY pair has gained momentum. The risk barometer has recovered to approximately 92.30 and is expected to continue its upward trend in the near future. Ambassador Linda Thomas-Greenfield, the US representative to the United Nations, declared on Sunday that China would cross a "red line" if it sent lethal military help to Russia in response to its invasion of Ukraine.

 

According to Reuters, recent news from public broadcaster NHK that Japan's Coast Guard said North Korea fired three projectiles that may have been ballistic missiles has compounded the already negative market sentiment.

 

When the United States conducted bilateral air exercises with South Korea and Japan in response to the North's ICBM launch on Sunday, Kim Yo Jong, the sister of North Korean leader Kim, warned against the escalating deployment of U.S. strategic weapons on the Korean peninsula.

 

Investors await the People's Bank of China's interest rate announcement for additional guidance (PBoC). Eight out of 10 economists, according to a Reuters poll published on February 17, believe that the PBoC would retain the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) at 3.65%. After the abolition of currency restrictions, China is required to maintain an expansionary monetary policy to stimulate economic growth.

 

Bloomberg stated that Goldman Sachs predicts the MSCI China Index could reach 85 by the end of 2023, a nearly 24% increase from current levels, as the nation's economic opening generates windfall advantages for corporations.

 

Notably, Australia is a major trading partner of China, and the increased economic activity in China will benefit the Australian Dollar.

 

On Tuesday, preliminary Jibun Bank PMI (Feb) data will be released, which will have a substantial impact on the Japanese Yen. The Manufacturing PMI is expected to remain constant at 48.9, whilst the Services PMI is expected to increase from 51.1 to 51.5.

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