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On May 31, the Colombian Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement on May 30, local time, stating that in response to the Ecuadorian governments earlier announcement that it would stop imposing a "safety tax" on Colombian goods, Colombia would lift its trade retaliatory measures against Ecuador and promote the normalization of bilateral economic and trade relations.May 31 - A Bloomberg survey of economists median forecast indicates that the U.S. unemployment rate will remain unchanged at 4.3% in May, while nonfarm payrolls will increase by 89,000. This increase would push the three-month average job growth rate to its highest level in over a year, sparking discussions about a continued acceleration in hiring. Forecasters expect the healthcare sector to maintain its strong momentum, while cyclical sectors such as construction, leisure, and hospitality will also see a recovery, with demand in these sectors likely benefiting from the warm weather of the past month. Manufacturing employment may also be boosted as consumers stockpile goods in anticipation of potential price increases following a potential conflict with Iran.On May 31, according to Iranian state television, Saeed Ajorlou, a member of Irans Media Committee, stated on Saturday that Tehran had not yet approved the final draft of the proposed agreement with the United States, and warned that Iran might withdraw from the agreement if the US failed to fulfill its commitments. In an interview, Ajorlou said that to his knowledge, as of Friday evening, the final text had not been approved, but the differences between the two sides were minimal. He stated, "If the final text is approved, we will enter a 60-day phase of detailed consultations," adding that each of the 14 articles of the agreement contains annexes that require further negotiation. Ajorlou emphasized that the implementation mechanism is more important than the text itself, especially regarding the acquisition of Iranian assets and the fulfillment of commitments by the other side. He stated that the proposed agreement includes a clause allowing Iran to withdraw from the agreement if the other side fails to fulfill its commitments. He indicated that Iran could withdraw from the agreement if violations occur, including breaches of the ceasefire agreement, failure to grant access to Iranian funds, or failure to lift the naval blockade. He added that if commitments are not fulfilled in the initial phase, Iran will reconsider its participation in the proposed 60-day negotiations.The Indian government stated that the current consumption tax rates for gasoline and diesel consumed domestically will remain unchanged.On May 31, local time, Ibrahim Rezaei, spokesman for the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, said on May 30 that the naval blockade against Iran “will eventually end, whether through negotiations or military action.”

As the likelihood of an aggressive Fed direction decreases, the US Dollar Index rises again toward 104.60

Daniel Rogers

Aug 11, 2022 12:05

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On Wednesday, the US dollar index (DXY) dropped significantly as the US Consumer Price Index fell (CPI). As the prospect of a major rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September diminished due to a sharp slowing in price pressures, the DXY collapsed like a house of cards. When the asset broke through the consolidation formed between 106.00 and 106.80, it fell to 104.64. Despite the temporary pause, the market's downward trend will continue.

Normalized CPI drops 60 basis points

Inflation in the United States for the year was reported at 8.5%, which was less than the 8.7% predicted and 9.1% reported in the preceding report. An annual reduction in inflation of this magnitude in July, brought on by a dramatic drop in oil prices, sent a strong signal of market fatigue to participants. Without a doubt, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce further rate hikes; but, the Fed's long-term hawkish stance will take a major hit.

There will be sustained confidence in the market.

After taking a number of policy tightening steps, including raising interest rates and halting the bond-buying program, Fed policymakers heave a sigh of relief. In order to put capital into risk-perceived assets, investors have been waiting for a month with strong employment data and a significant drop in price pressures. It's likely that your desire to take risks will last for a longer period of time in the future.