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Japans core machinery orders rose 24.7% year-on-year in February, below the expected 8.5% and the previous months 13.70%.Japans core machinery orders rose 13.6% month-on-month in February, compared with an expected decline of 1.1% and a previous decline of 5.5%.On April 15th, Futures News reported that Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) soybean futures closed lower on Tuesday, with the benchmark contract down 0.4%, mainly reflecting weaker international crude oil prices and the record-breaking pace of US soybean planting for this time of year. US President Trump stated that negotiations with Iran might resume later this week. This led to a significant drop in international crude oil futures, with Brent crude futures falling 4.6%. The plunge in crude oil futures put pressure on the soybean and soybean product markets. The US Department of Agricultures weekly crop progress report released Monday showed that as of April 12th, soybean planting was 6% complete, 4 percentage points higher than the five-year average, setting a record for the fastest pace for this time of year. Analysts pointed out that the rapid progress of soybean planting has strengthened market expectations of ample new soybean supply, putting additional pressure on soybean prices. Furthermore, South America also brought bearish news. Brazils National Supply Company (Conab) released its latest forecast, raising its 2025/26 Brazilian soybean production estimate from 177.85 million tons last month to a record 179.15 million tons. Soybean exports were also revised upward by about 1 million tons to 115.4 million tons.1. All three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.66% to 48,535.99 points, the S&P 500 rose 1.18% to 6,967.38 points, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.96% to 23,639.08 points, marking its tenth consecutive day of gains. Amazon and Nvidia led the gains, rising nearly 4%. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index rose 2.83%, Facebook rose more than 4%, and Google rose more than 3%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose 2.35%, iQiyi rose more than 11%, and JD.com rose nearly 8%. 2. European stock indices all closed higher. The German DAX rose 1.27% to 24,044.22 points, the French CAC40 rose 1.12% to 8,327.86 points, and the UK FTSE 100 rose 0.25% to 10,609.06 points. Although the US and Iran did not reach a final agreement, the ceasefire proposal significantly eased market concerns about a potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and reduced the risk of disruptions to European energy supplies. 3. The WTI crude oil futures contract closed down 7.08% at $92.07 per barrel; the Brent crude oil futures contract fell 4.05% to $95.34 per barrel. 4. International precious metals futures generally closed higher. COMEX gold futures rose 2.04% to $4,864.50 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures rose 5.23% to $79.62 per ounce.Japans Reuters Tankan non-manufacturing business sentiment index for April was 31, down from 25 in the previous month.

As the likelihood of an aggressive Fed direction decreases, the US Dollar Index rises again toward 104.60

Daniel Rogers

Aug 11, 2022 12:05

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On Wednesday, the US dollar index (DXY) dropped significantly as the US Consumer Price Index fell (CPI). As the prospect of a major rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September diminished due to a sharp slowing in price pressures, the DXY collapsed like a house of cards. When the asset broke through the consolidation formed between 106.00 and 106.80, it fell to 104.64. Despite the temporary pause, the market's downward trend will continue.

Normalized CPI drops 60 basis points

Inflation in the United States for the year was reported at 8.5%, which was less than the 8.7% predicted and 9.1% reported in the preceding report. An annual reduction in inflation of this magnitude in July, brought on by a dramatic drop in oil prices, sent a strong signal of market fatigue to participants. Without a doubt, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce further rate hikes; but, the Fed's long-term hawkish stance will take a major hit.

There will be sustained confidence in the market.

After taking a number of policy tightening steps, including raising interest rates and halting the bond-buying program, Fed policymakers heave a sigh of relief. In order to put capital into risk-perceived assets, investors have been waiting for a month with strong employment data and a significant drop in price pressures. It's likely that your desire to take risks will last for a longer period of time in the future.

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