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UK GDP comes into focus when the EUR/GBP crosses a hurdle near 0.8440

Alina Haynes

Aug 11, 2022 12:03

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During the early Tokyo trading session, selling pressure developed on the EUR/GBP exchange rate towards the significant resistance level (R) of 0.8440. Prior to then, the cross had reversed after a sudden decline to about 0.8420. The German Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), which measures consumer price changes, held stable at 8.5%, while the asset declined on Wednesday after breaching a crucial support level of 0.8440. Furthermore, Germany's inflation rate matched expectations.

 

It is interesting that decreased oil prices have led to a dramatic decline in inflation in the US economy. The decline in oil prices should also contain inflation in Germany. This suggests that the ongoing energy crisis in Germany brought on by Russia shutting down a crucial gas pipeline to Europe has been unaffected by the reduction in oil prices.

 

Investors sold off the common currency's bulls. The multiplying effects of the inflation issue provide the European Central Bank (ECB) with an ever-more challenging situation.

 

The market was expecting the UK's GDP to grow by 0.3% in the second quarter, but analysts estimate a 0.2% decline. The 1.3% decrease in the UK GDP is anticipated to more than outweigh the 0.5% monthly expansion. Additionally, annual GDP predictions were reduced from 8.7% to 2.8%.

 

It is also anticipated that manufacturing output will fall short of expectations. An annual decline of 1.3% from the previous 2.3% is projected. However, the rate of industrial production increase each year might be between 1.4% and 1.6%.


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