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Hong Kong-listed consumer stocks weakened, with Pop Mart (09992.HK) falling more than 5%, Gu Ming (01364.HK) falling more than 4%, and BRUCO (00325.HK), Laopu Gold (06181.HK), and Mixue Group (02097.HK) following suit.Futures data from October 21st revealed that as of October 20th, the mainstream benzene market in East China closed at 5,535 yuan/ton, down 220 yuan/ton from 5,755 yuan/ton at the beginning of October. Looking at the post-holiday market, major ports in East China maintained a steady pace of destocking in early October, but concerns about crude oil oversupply intensified, with Brent crude futures falling to a five-month low and weakening market sentiment. Coupled with a lack of downstream market support, exacerbating losses, and a lack of new orders from end users, secondary downstream inventories remained high and difficult to reduce, creating significant price transmission resistance. The market may face downward pressure in late October.Futures News, October 21st: Crude oil prices have recently continued to decline, with overall weakness predominating. Market concerns are mounting about a global oil glut. On the one hand, Saudi Arabia has been increasing crude oil production, albeit at a slower pace, but the cumulative increase has been significant. On the other hand, the US has entered its seasonal off-season, resulting in lower oil demand and significant pressure on oil inventory. Zhuochuang Information predicts that the decline in oil prices reflects the realization of some negative factors. The market is focused on the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations. Current market news suggests expectations for a deal are stronger than previously anticipated, potentially providing support for oil prices. Whether this can stabilize remains to be seen.The Hang Seng Tech Index continued its strong performance, rising over 3%. Tech stocks performed strongly, with Bilibili (09626.HK) rising nearly 10%. The Hang Seng Index is now up nearly 2%.On October 21, it was learned from the Ministry of Natural Resources that due to the influence of strong cold air and this years No. 24 typhoon "Fengshen" (strong tropical storm level), the National Marine Forecasting Center continued to issue an orange alert for waves and a yellow alert for storm surges at 08:00 on October 21 in accordance with the "Marine Disaster Emergency Plan".

After positive Japan Retail Trade statistics, the USD/JPY currency pair declines toward 138.50

Daniel Rogers

Aug 31, 2022 11:37

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The US dollar fell against the Japanese yen by less than 0.1 percent to 138.50 after upbeat economic data was released. Retail sales in Japan rose by 2.4% last year, beating both analysts' estimates of 1.9% growth and the prior report of 1.5% growth. Furthermore, retail sales have climbed to 0.8% on a monthly basis. Meanwhile, the report on Industrial Production is 1.8% higher than expected and 2.6% higher than the previous release.

 

Because the US dollar index (DXY) has done so well, bulls have been able to keep a firm grip on the asset. The DXY is aiming for a return to its two-decade high of 109.29 after encouraging data on consumer confidence and hawkish remarks from Fed governors.

 

When compared to July's 95.3 score, August's 103.2 reading on the Conference Board's (CB) Consumer Confidence survey is a significant gain. Improved faith in the economy boosts retail spending, which in turn supports the domestic currency. The DXY was also helped along by John Williams, president of the New York Fed Bank.

 

Fed Williams believes that interest rates will need to increase by more than 3.5 percent by the end of the year in order to slow the rate of inflation. He predicted that by the next year, inflation might drop to between 2.5% and 3%.

 

The release of US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data on Friday remains the focal point of investors' attention this week. It is expected that employment growth numbers would remain satisfactory notwithstanding a halt in recruiting by a number of tech companies and the effects of dwindling liquidity. Reduced from 528k in the prior publication, the anticipated economic data is 300k.