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On January 31st, OCBC strategist Christopher Wong stated that golds price action "confirms the adage a sharp rise is inevitably followed by a sharp fall." He believes that while Warshs nomination as Fed Chair was the trigger, a correction was already inevitable. "Its like one of the excuses the market has been waiting for—to liquidate those parabolic price movements." Precious metals had already paved the way for sharp fluctuations, as soaring prices and volatility put pressure on traders risk models and balance sheets. Goldman Sachs noted in a report that the record wave of call option buying also "mechanically reinforced the upward momentum," as sellers of these options hedged against rising prices by buying more metal.On January 31, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Grushko stated that the best guarantee for Ukraines security is a concrete guarantee of Russias security, a guarantee that no one in the West has offered. He emphasized, "If we believe that Ukrainian territory will not be used as a bridgehead threatening Russias security, then Ukraines security will also be guaranteed." The Russian Foreign Ministry previously stated that any scenario involving NATO member states deploying troops in Ukraine is absolutely unacceptable to Russia and could lead to a sharp escalation of the situation. The Russian Foreign Ministry also stated that statements from Britain and other European countries regarding the possible deployment of NATO troops in Ukraine are incitement to continue the conflict.January 31st - According to Yahoo Finance, Kevin Warsh, President Trumps nominee for Federal Reserve Chairman, appeared in newly released Epstein case documents released by the US government on Friday. The documents show that Warshs name was listed in the email guest list for the "2010 St. Barths Christmas" event, alongside figures such as Russian oligarch Roman Abramovich; he also attended a dinner hosted by British aristocrat William Astor. This revelation occurred on the same day Warsh was nominated for Fed chairman. His main controversy previously stemmed from his relationship with Republican donor Ronald Lauder, who was accused of influencing Trumps interest in Greenland during his first term and holding business interests there. Warsh may now need to address his relationship with Epstein and his 2010 Christmas trip, and there is also speculation that Trumps nomination is related to their shared social circle.January 31 – With the House of Representatives in recess and unable to consider the appropriations bill, the U.S. federal government entered a technical, partial shutdown at midnight local time on January 31. Analysts point out that although the shutdown is expected to be short-lived, it once again highlights the structural predicament of U.S. fiscal politics. In recent years, temporary funding, short-term extensions, and marginal shutdowns have become the norm in congressional budget battles, with government operations frequently hampered by political disagreements. Currently, the market generally believes that the direct impact of this technical shutdown on financial markets and economic operations is limited, but if subsequent congressional negotiations are again stalled, the risk of a prolonged shutdown and a wider impact cannot be ruled out.January 31st - The US government officially began a partial shutdown early this morning local time. This followed the Senates passage of a spending bill to fund most federal government departments, which was then submitted to the House of Representatives for consideration. However, because House members were not in Washington and would not return until Monday (February 2nd), the Senate vote could not prevent a partial government shutdown.

AUD/NZD is projected to dip below 1.1170 as market players focus on the RBA rate decision

Alina Haynes

Aug 31, 2022 11:34

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The AUD/NZD exchange rate has shown less conviction in its recent slide after printing a new four-day low below 1.1700. The cross dropped sharply on Tuesday after breaking below the crucial support level of 1.1200. It is expected that the asset will continue to drop after breaking through its immediate support at 1.1170, as investors remain cautious ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision (RBA).

 

The Aussie Bulls fell on Tuesday after poor data on Australian Building Permits was made public. As expected, the latest economic data showed a drop to -25.9%, from the prior report's -17.2%. The monthly numbers also fell drastically, from -0.6% to -17.2%.

 

Interest rates are expected to be raised by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) for the fourth time in a row on Tuesday. So far, the Australian economy has not breathed a sigh of relief as a result of falling pricing pressures. Inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Australia is at 6.1% as of the second quarter, and it is quite expected that additional rate hikes will be necessary to bring it down. Furthermore, the Official Cash Rate (OCR) information from RBZ Governor Philip Lowe will be essential.

 

New Zealand kiwi bulls have been supported by upbeat Building Permits data. This latest economic report shows a significant improvement, with a reading of 5% compared to -2.2% in the prior report. For the market as a whole, investors are still picking themselves up from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) announcement of two more interest rate hikes for the remainder of the year. In reaction to the soaring inflation, Reserve Bank of New Zealand governor Adrian Orr said last week at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium that the central bank will announce a couple more interest rate increases.