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According to NBC News: US President Trump plans to meet with Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates.According to Fox News: US Middle East envoy Witkoff said a meeting on the Gaza issue will be held at the White House on Wednesday.On August 27, UBS reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Powells speech at Jackson Hole was "classic Powell style," signaling a higher probability of a September rate cut to offset the drag of trade tariffs, but lacking guidance on a medium-term policy framework for economies facing structural change. While the market welcomed the hint of a rate cut, the bank believes its core message is essentially "data-dependent rhetoric wrapped in flowery rhetoric." UBS noted that Powells failure to offer a stronger defense of the Feds independence could lead to: ① renewed inflation uncertainty; ② a potential additional full percentage point increase in real borrowing costs; and ③ ripple effects on fiscal policy, business investment, housing affordability, household savings, and speculative activity.According to Japans Asahi Shimbun: Japanese Minister of Economic Revitalization Ryo Akasawa is planning to travel to the United States on August 28.On August 27th, the three major U.S. stock indices closed slightly higher as investors shrugged off Trumps dismissal of a Federal Reserve governor—an action that could now lead to legal action. Peter Cardillo, an analyst at Spartan Capital Securities, said, "We have to wait and see how this unfolds. The market seems to be ignoring Trumps dismissal of Tim Cook. Investors are also closely watching tomorrows earnings report from AI chip giant Nvidia."

While waiting for PBOC and PMIs data, the AUD/JPY pair temporarily retreats to around 94.20

Daniel Rogers

Aug 22, 2022 14:52

 

 

The early Tokyo session saw the AUD/JPY currency pair hit a momentary pause in the rise around 94.20. Since the start of today's trading session, the risk barometer has shown a strong open-drive action, with the asset climbing significantly. The temporary roadblock is expected to go sooner rather than later as investors anticipate a dovish tone from the People's Bank of China (PBOC).

 

Australia is China's largest trading partner, which is worth noting. The antipodes will reap the benefits of the PBOC's easy monetary policy as a result. Enhanced Chinese liquidity will benefit Australia's exports and the country's budget.

 

The Australian bulls held firm last week despite a sharp drop in the country's employment report. The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported a decrease of 40,900 jobs when a gain of 25,000 had been forecasted. However, it was determined that the unemployment rate should be 3.4% rather than 3.5%, thus that number has been adjusted downward.

 

And yet, yen bulls showed no signs of buying despite an increase in the national consumer price index (CPI). When compared to the expected 2.2% and the prior reading of 2.4%, the actual economic data came in at 2.6%, which is an increase. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may take a wait-and-see approach if inflation continues to run above 2% for an extended period of time.

 

In the future, information from IHS Markit's S&P Purchase Managers Index (PMI) will be crucial. Forecasts call for improvements in both the Manufacturing PMI (57.3) and the Services PMI (54.9) in Australia. A rise to 51.8 and 50.7 in the Manufacturing and Services PMIs for Japan is possible.