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On May 31, the Colombian Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement on May 30, local time, stating that in response to the Ecuadorian governments earlier announcement that it would stop imposing a "safety tax" on Colombian goods, Colombia would lift its trade retaliatory measures against Ecuador and promote the normalization of bilateral economic and trade relations.May 31 - A Bloomberg survey of economists median forecast indicates that the U.S. unemployment rate will remain unchanged at 4.3% in May, while nonfarm payrolls will increase by 89,000. This increase would push the three-month average job growth rate to its highest level in over a year, sparking discussions about a continued acceleration in hiring. Forecasters expect the healthcare sector to maintain its strong momentum, while cyclical sectors such as construction, leisure, and hospitality will also see a recovery, with demand in these sectors likely benefiting from the warm weather of the past month. Manufacturing employment may also be boosted as consumers stockpile goods in anticipation of potential price increases following a potential conflict with Iran.On May 31, according to Iranian state television, Saeed Ajorlou, a member of Irans Media Committee, stated on Saturday that Tehran had not yet approved the final draft of the proposed agreement with the United States, and warned that Iran might withdraw from the agreement if the US failed to fulfill its commitments. In an interview, Ajorlou said that to his knowledge, as of Friday evening, the final text had not been approved, but the differences between the two sides were minimal. He stated, "If the final text is approved, we will enter a 60-day phase of detailed consultations," adding that each of the 14 articles of the agreement contains annexes that require further negotiation. Ajorlou emphasized that the implementation mechanism is more important than the text itself, especially regarding the acquisition of Iranian assets and the fulfillment of commitments by the other side. He stated that the proposed agreement includes a clause allowing Iran to withdraw from the agreement if the other side fails to fulfill its commitments. He indicated that Iran could withdraw from the agreement if violations occur, including breaches of the ceasefire agreement, failure to grant access to Iranian funds, or failure to lift the naval blockade. He added that if commitments are not fulfilled in the initial phase, Iran will reconsider its participation in the proposed 60-day negotiations.The Indian government stated that the current consumption tax rates for gasoline and diesel consumed domestically will remain unchanged.On May 31, local time, Ibrahim Rezaei, spokesman for the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, said on May 30 that the naval blockade against Iran “will eventually end, whether through negotiations or military action.”

While waiting for PBOC and PMIs data, the AUD/JPY pair temporarily retreats to around 94.20

Daniel Rogers

Aug 22, 2022 14:52

 

 

The early Tokyo session saw the AUD/JPY currency pair hit a momentary pause in the rise around 94.20. Since the start of today's trading session, the risk barometer has shown a strong open-drive action, with the asset climbing significantly. The temporary roadblock is expected to go sooner rather than later as investors anticipate a dovish tone from the People's Bank of China (PBOC).

 

Australia is China's largest trading partner, which is worth noting. The antipodes will reap the benefits of the PBOC's easy monetary policy as a result. Enhanced Chinese liquidity will benefit Australia's exports and the country's budget.

 

The Australian bulls held firm last week despite a sharp drop in the country's employment report. The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported a decrease of 40,900 jobs when a gain of 25,000 had been forecasted. However, it was determined that the unemployment rate should be 3.4% rather than 3.5%, thus that number has been adjusted downward.

 

And yet, yen bulls showed no signs of buying despite an increase in the national consumer price index (CPI). When compared to the expected 2.2% and the prior reading of 2.4%, the actual economic data came in at 2.6%, which is an increase. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may take a wait-and-see approach if inflation continues to run above 2% for an extended period of time.

 

In the future, information from IHS Markit's S&P Purchase Managers Index (PMI) will be crucial. Forecasts call for improvements in both the Manufacturing PMI (57.3) and the Services PMI (54.9) in Australia. A rise to 51.8 and 50.7 in the Manufacturing and Services PMIs for Japan is possible.