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The most active Japanese rubber futures contract rose 2.00% on the day, currently trading at 356.40 yen per kilogram.On January 14th, Wang Jun, Deputy Director of the General Administration of Customs, stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that my countrys goods trade has been continuously optimized and upgraded. Over the past five years, the import and export of high-tech products has grown at an average annual rate of 7.9%, with the year-on-year growth rate further accelerating to 11.4% in 2025, contributing nearly 60% to the overall foreign trade growth. The export scale of the "new three" products—electric vehicles, photovoltaic products, and lithium batteries—is expected to reach nearly 1.3 trillion yuan in 2025, a 3.5-fold increase compared to 2020. New business formats and models are flourishing. According to preliminary statistics from customs, my countrys cross-border e-commerce imports and exports are expected to reach 2.75 trillion yuan in 2025, a 69.7% increase compared to 2020.On January 14th, Wang Jun, Deputy Director of the General Administration of Customs, stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that by 2025, my country will have trade relations with 249 countries and regions worldwide. Among them, 14 countries and regions will have trade exceeding one trillion, 62 exceeding one hundred billion, and 137 exceeding ten billion yuan, representing increases of 2, 6, and 10 respectively compared to 2024. Across the five continents, my countrys imports and exports with at least 60% of the countries and regions on each continent will see growth. Looking at individual economies, by 2025, my countrys top ten trading partners will account for 47.7% of my countrys total foreign trade, a decrease of two percentage points compared to 2024, indicating a slight decrease in concentration and a more balanced distribution.On January 14th, Wang Jun, Deputy Director of the General Administration of Customs, stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that my countrys intermediate goods trade achieved rapid growth in 2025, becoming a major driver of exports and providing strong support for global industrial cooperation. my countrys export markets have become more diversified, with exports to countries participating in the Belt and Road Initiative increasing by 11.2%, contributing 5.4 percentage points to overall export growth. ASEAN has been Chinas largest export market for three consecutive years. Export growth to emerging markets such as Latin America, the Middle East, Central Asia, and Africa all outpaced the overall growth rate. my country continues to provide the world with high-quality, affordable, stable, and reliable products, becoming a "key link" in the global industrial and supply chains. Overall, my countrys exports are characterized by more robust innovation, a stronger foundation for green development, and a brighter commitment to win-win cooperation. "Good Chinese products" are widely popular globally, playing a vital role in ensuring the stability of global production and supply chains, injecting certainty into global economic and trade development, and bringing new opportunities.On January 14th, Wang Jun, Deputy Director of the General Administration of Customs, stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that exports of high-tech products are projected to increase by 13.2% year-on-year by 2025, contributing 2.4 percentage points to my countrys overall export growth. Specifically, exports of specialized equipment, high-end machine tools, and industrial robots increased by 20.6%, 21.5%, and 48.7%, respectively. Notably, exports of industrial robots exceeded imports last year, making my country a net exporter of industrial robots.

Yields are driving the USD/JPY exchange rate toward 134.50, and anxieties about wage growth and an economic slowdown have turned the focus

Alina Haynes

Aug 18, 2022 11:17

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At Thursday's Tokyo open, the USD/JPY accepted bids to renew intraday lows near 134.90, preserving the week's gains. Recent weakness in the yen pair may be related to speculation about the state of Japan-China ties and the job market in the Asian superpower. Bears can find encouragement in the most recent Fed Minutes. Bears in the session are bolstered by worries of a recession, and bulls in the pair are still holding on.

 

Takeo Akiba, Japan's National Security advisor, and Yang Jiechi, China's Foreign Minister, reportedly agreed to continue discussions to establish a positive and stable alliance, as reported by Japan's local media Jiji earlier in the Asian session.

 

Elsewhere, On Thursday, a monthly Reuters poll showed that more major Japanese companies are increasing pay to attract workers and address persistent personnel shortages. That's encouraging because it suggests Japan's corporate sector is beginning to address the issue of decades of stagnant pay.

 

Current US 10-year Treasury yields of 2.89 percent are down from the week's high of roughly 2.90 percent. Both the disappointing FOMC meeting minutes and the risk-positive China Securities news were ignored by the benchmark bond coupons. According to the Federal Reserve Minutes, officials were unanimous in their support of the 75 basis point rate hike in August and expected future rate hikes to be less rapid. In addition, the Minutes revealed that Fed officials were aware of the risk that the Fed could tighten policy too far.

 

In order to spur investment, China may issue an additional 1.5 trillion yuan in debt, according to China Securities news.

 

As a result of these wagers, the S&P 500 Futures decline by 0.25 percent, reflecting Wall Street's poor showing, while the Nikkei 225 index in Japan has daily losses of close to 1 percent.

 

Trading pairs should focus on the weekly releases of US Initial Jobless Claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey for August in the absence of other relevant data/events.

 

In order to consolidate their gains, USD/JPY bulls need to push the pair over the 50-day moving average near 135.40. The 21-day moving average is a support level around 134.50, therefore a dip towards that level cannot be ruled out until then.