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1. Precious Metals Market: Spot silver surged 6.00% to $109.797 per ounce, while the Shanghai silver futures main contract jumped 6.65%. Indian gold and silver futures both hit record highs. 2. Exchange Regulation: Violations: The Shanghai Futures Exchange discovered 16 clients in 3 groups suspected of failing to declare their actual control relationships in tin and silver futures trading, imposing a one-month restriction on opening new positions and restricting withdrawals. Trading Limits: The Shanghai Futures Exchange announced that starting from the night session of January 26, the maximum daily opening positions for silver and tin futures contracts will be adjusted to 800 lots and 200 lots respectively. Industry Interpretation: Analysts from CITIC Securities Futures and Guoxin Futures believe that the Shanghai Futures Exchanges rare midday announcement reflects a "zero-tolerance" stance and a determination to dynamically "apply the brakes" to cool down the market. 3. Inventory and Open Interest Data: COMEX silver inventory decreased significantly by 16.957 million ounces month-on-month, while SHFE silver inventory decreased by 43.9 tons month-on-month. SPDR Gold ETF holdings increased slightly, while SLV Silver ETF holdings increased by 16.9 tons. COMEX silver non-commercial long positions decreased by 4,372 contracts, while short positions increased by 2,474 contracts, indicating an increase in short-selling pressure. 4. Fund subscriptions suspended: Guotou Silver LOF will suspend subscriptions starting January 28th. 5. Summary of institutional views: Investinglive analyst: Spot silver trading prices are still about half of the 1980 inflation-adjusted peak, but also warns of potential short-term selling pressure or margin changes, and does not recommend chasing the price higher. Julius Baer analyst: Silver has become the "Trump of the trading world," with prices entirely driven by buying interest rather than fundamentals; upward momentum may continue to $125 or even $150. Jinyuan Futures: This round of market activity driven by chasing the price higher is extremely fragile; the risk of a silver price correction from its high levels is increasing; pay attention to the potential for platinum and palladium to catch up. Dongwu Futures: Geopolitical crises (Greenland/US/Europe/Middle East) and the trend of de-dollarization (crisis on the Fed/central bank gold purchases) are the core drivers, with silver, possessing industrial attributes, experiencing even greater gains. 22V Research: This is not a cyclical fluctuation in silver, but rather related to the AI industry, exhibiting parabolic fluctuations within a commodity bull market. (The above content is compiled from publicly available market data and is for reference only, not investment advice.)Sources say Japan and the United States plan to invest in synthetic diamond production.Hong Kong-listed coal stocks declined, with Jiahe Holdings (00704.HK) and Green Leader Holdings (00061.HK) falling more than 8%, Shougang Resources (00639.HK) down 3.56%, and Yankuang Energy (01171.HK) and Mongolia Energy (00276.HK) down nearly 3%.Hong Kong-listed insurance stocks continued to rise in the afternoon, with China Life (02628.HK) extending its gains to 5%, AIA (01299.HK) rising over 4%, and China Pacific Insurance (02601.HK) and Peoples Insurance Company of China (01339.HK) rising over 3%.Market news: Indias Adani Group is partnering with Embraer to create the largest regional aerospace ecosystem.

USD/CHF Steady at 1.0020 as DXY Pauses, Powell and US Retail Sales Take Center Stage

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 10:46

The USD/CHF pair is bouncing within a small range between 1.0020 and 1.0030 in early Tokyo, as the US dollar index (DXY) is not gaining much traction due to Monday's light economic calendar. Although broad-based fundamentals continue to favor the dollar bulls, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is projected to raise interest rates by another significant number in June in an effort to limit the inflation issue.

 

Last week, Fed's Powell's interview with the national radio show Marketplace revealed the ongoing conversations among Fed policymakers regarding anticipated rate hikes in monetary policies. Fed Powell indicated that the Fed could declare two additional rate hikes in the next two consecutive monetary policy sessions in order to tame the soaring inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is poised between 104.46 and 104.60 after reaching a new 19-year high of 105.00 on Friday. The DXY appreciates the broader gains but requires further triggers to maintain strong. In the future, two significant events on Tuesday will keep investors occupied. First will be Fed Chairman Powell's speech, which will likely influence monetary policy action in June. The second significant event is the monthly US Retail Sales report, which is anticipated to increase by 0.7% from the previous reading of 0.5%.

 

In terms of the Swiss franc, Friday's Industrial Production data will be the focal point. The catalyst reached 7.3% the previous time. A greater-than-anticipated number will strengthen the Swiss franc against the U.S. dollar. 

USD/CHF

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