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March 20 (Futures News) – According to foreign media reports, Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) soybean futures closed moderately higher on Thursday, with the benchmark contract rising 0.6%, reflecting a sharp rise in the neighboring soybean meal market and strength in international crude oil futures. Traders said Chicago soybean meal futures surged to their highest level in nearly four months. This was reportedly supported by the rejection of Brazilian soybean shipments. The Brazilian Vegetable Oil Industry Association (Abiove) projects Brazils soybean production for 2025/26 at 177.85 million tons, an upward revision of 730,000 tons from its previous forecast. The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange maintained its Argentine soybean production forecast unchanged this week at 48.5 million tons. This figure is slightly higher than the US Department of Agricultures estimate of 48 million tons.March 20th - Generally, geopolitical conflicts can fuel market risk aversion, pushing up gold prices. For example, after the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in February 2022, gold prices surged within two weeks. However, since the outbreak of the Iraq War, while oil and the US dollar have soared, gold has experienced a continuous decline. "This counterintuitive trend in gold prices is mainly due to the fact that interest rate logic is significantly suppressing safe-haven logic," said Qu Rui, Senior Deputy Director of the Research and Development Department at Orient Securities. He added that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and the continued rise in oil prices are pushing up global inflation expectations, which may reinforce the Federal Reserves stance of maintaining unchanged interest rates, putting downward pressure on precious metals. Qu Rui cautioned that short-term gold price movements still need to focus on factors such as the Federal Reserves interest rate cut window and the evolution of the Middle East situation, and to be wary of potential risks such as unexpectedly high global inflation and escalating geopolitical conflicts.South Koreas Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy stated that a long-term liquefied natural gas contract with Qatar may constitute force majeure, exacerbating supply uncertainty.South Koreas Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy stated that liquefied natural gas imports from Qatar account for 14% of total imports, and supply disruptions will not cause major problems.European Council President Costa: (Regarding Hungarian Prime Minister Orbáns obstruction of loans to Ukraine) No one can blackmail the European Council.

GBP/JPY Buyers Approach 159.00 on Cautionary Optimism and Mixed Brexit Concerns

Alina Haynes

May 16, 2022 10:55

GBP/JPY receives bids to re-establish an intraday high near 158.75, extending the previous day's rebound, as Tokyo opens for trading on Monday. Recent gains in the cross-currency pair may be attributable to improved sentiment and generally favorable Brexit-related news.

 

Boris Johnson, prime minister of the United Kingdom, prepares to revise the Northern Ireland Protocol (NIP) in the hopes of influencing the European Union's (EU) stance. On Tuesday, the UK government is anticipated to announce plans for unilateral changes to NIP. However, the bloc had already warned of such acts resulting in a trade deal reduction with the United Kingdom.

 

On the other side, the Financial Times (FT) reported that British manufacturers are optimistic as they compete to alleviate supply chain issues. In the previous two years, three-quarters of enterprises have boosted the number of British suppliers, according to a poll by Make UK, the manufacturers' trade organization.

 

In addition to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's unchanged view of a 50 basis point (bps) rate hike in the next two meetings, the recent market's cautious optimism has been bolstered by the gloomy US mood data.

 

Notably, the continued virus-induced activity constraints in China and the deteriorating geopolitical conditions in Donbas are being used to investigate GBP/JPY buyers.

 

After Wall Street benchmarks rallied the previous day, the S&P 500 Futures reflect the sentiment with modest gains. In addition, 10-year US Treasury rates continue Friday's rebound gains, rising 1.5 basis points (bps) to 2.95 percent as of press time.

 

Amid a sparse domestic calendar, GBP/JPY traders may look to risk catalysts for directional cues in the near future. However, Tuesday's U.K. job data and Brexit updates will be essential for establishing direction.

Technical Evaluation

A one-month-old descending trend channel formation limits the GBP/short-term JPY's price range to 160.60 to 154.85.

GBP/JPY

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