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Spains manufacturing PMI for July was 50.2, in line with expectations of 50 and the previous reading of 49.7.August 3 – Swiss inflation slowed to its lowest level in four months in July, showing resilience amid rapidly rising costs driven by energy prices across Europe. Data from the Swiss National Statistical Office showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% year-on-year in July, down from 0.5% in June and in line with economists median forecast. Cost pressures from rising diesel and heating oil prices were offset by lower prices for a range of goods and services, including clothing and car rentals. Core inflation, excluding volatile factors such as energy, remained at 0.3%. The latest data contrasts with the Swiss National Banks (SNB) previous forecast of a moderate, temporary acceleration in inflation. According to sources, based on the current weak inflation trend, the SNB internally expects interest rates to remain at zero until the end of next year, barring any new shocks.Futures News, August 3rd: Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) Energy and Chemical Warehouse Receipts and Changes on August 3rd: 1. Pulp futures warehouse receipts: 356,739 tons, an increase of 3,672 tons compared to the previous trading day; 2. Pulp futures mill warehouse receipts: 20,000 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 3. Offset paper futures warehouse receipts: 2,758 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 4. Offset paper futures mill warehouse receipts: 6,520 tons, a decrease of 80 tons compared to the previous trading day; 5. Fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 1,696 tons. 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 6. Petroleum asphalt futures warehouse receipts: 11,290 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 7. Petroleum asphalt futures factory warehouse receipts: 18,210 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 8. Medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse receipts: 2,961,000 barrels, unchanged from the previous trading day; 9. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 5,000 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 10. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures factory warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day.August 3 – Following the Houthi threat that disrupted regional shipping, Yanbu, a key Saudi export port on the Red Sea coast, appeared to be experiencing its busiest day yet. Meanwhile, an increasing number of ships turned off their tracking signals as they passed through the vital Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Satellite imagery showed five Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) docked at Yanbus oil loading terminal on Saturday, potentially marking the ports most active day since the Iranian-backed Houthi blockade of Saudi ports two weeks ago. These photos were taken by the EUs Sentinel-2 satellite. Because the satellite only passes through the area every few days, continuous monitoring is not possible. Yanbu has become a crucial node for Saudi Arabia to maintain large-scale crude oil exports after the war with Iran severely impacted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Saudi Arabia bypasses the Strait of Hormuz by transporting millions of barrels of crude oil daily to the Red Sea via pipelines for export to global markets.Shares of UK-listed energy companies fell, with Ithaca Energy down 4.1%, BP down 2.9%, and Shell down 2.1%.

The USD/CNH Exchange Rate Fluctuates Around 6.9000 As Focus Shifts To PBoC Policy

Daniel Rogers

Mar 17, 2023 13:53

Throughout the Asian session, the USD/CNH has maintained a range near 6.9000. Before taking action on the main, investors are awaiting the People's Bank of China's (PBOC) interest rate decision on Monday.

 

After a strong recovery on Thursday, S&P500 futures are exhibiting minimal losses in the Asian session, indicating a rise in market participants' risk appetite. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has escaped the tight consolidation between 104.30 and 104.60. Investors' skepticism regarding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) prospective monetary policy has diminished the appeal of the USD Index in the wake of a decline in U.S. inflation and escalating banking turmoil.

 

Following an optimistic recovery in 500-US stock basket futures, lethargic demand for US government bonds has increased the returns on the same. The yields on 10-year Treasury notes have surpassed 3.59 percent.

 

In the future, emphasis will be placed on the release of the PBoC's monetary policy decision. Economists from the UOB Group speculate that the PBoC may reduce the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) at its March 20 meeting. The 1Y loan prime rate (LPR) could fall to 3.55 percent and the 5Y loan prime rate (LPR) could fall to 4.20 percent after the National People's Congress (NPC). This is due to the need for additional measures to support the actual economy and the wish to increase housing demand.

 

In addition, an upward revision of China's projected Gross Domestic Product (GDP) would strengthen the Chinese Yuan. Goldman Sachs has increased its GDP forecast for China for 2023 from 5.5% to 6%.