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February 9th - The overnight SHIBOR was 1.2700%, down 0.70 basis points; the 7-day SHIBOR was 1.5050%, up 7.00 basis points; the 14-day SHIBOR was 1.5840%, up 8.00 basis points; the 1-month SHIBOR was 1.5500%, unchanged from the previous trading day; and the 3-month SHIBOR was 1.5800%, unchanged from the previous trading day.On February 9th, NIO founder, chairman, and CEO William Li announced plans to build 1,000 new battery swapping stations by 2026, increasing the number of "scenic charging routes" to 100. Following the completion of the G318 Sichuan-Tibet and Yunnan-Tibet battery swapping routes last year, the Silk Road battery swapping route will be opened this year. Furthermore, large-scale construction of the fifth-generation battery swapping stations will begin this year.February 9th - BNP Paribas economists stated that the ruling Liberal Democratic Partys (LDP) victory in the general election is expected to further strengthen its stringent economic policies. Their research report noted, "While there are still cautious opinions within the LDP regarding a consumption tax cut, the likelihood of its implementation has significantly increased given the election results." Analysts believe that considering the Prime Ministers public commitment to implementing the consumption tax cut by fiscal year 2026 and his overwhelming victory, the government is likely to accelerate the implementation of this measure while remaining focused on market stability. The report also pointed out that the LDPs victory could make it easier for the Takashimakata municipal government to push through the increased defense spending requested by the United States.On February 9th, Bank of America Securities issued a report stating that Meitu (01357.HK) expects its non-GAAP adjusted net profit for last year to grow by 60% to 66%, to RMB 938 million to RMB 973 million, with a median growth of 63% to RMB 955 million, slightly higher than market expectations and Bank of Americas forecast by 1%. This is mainly driven by two factors: rapid growth in product revenue and operating leverage. Bank of America Securities maintains its "Buy" rating on Meitu with a target price of HKD 11.3, based on the strong profit expansion driven by the increase in the proportion of paying users and operating leverage.On February 9th, Daiwa Securities issued a report stating that Yum China (09987.HK)s fourth-quarter results for 2025 exceeded expectations. KFCs same-store sales growth was better than anticipated, and the price increase for delivery channels in January indicated a recovery in consumer confidence and a more rational pricing trend in the industry. The report noted that Yum Chinas management forecasts a slight year-on-year increase in operating profit margin for 2026, but with improved competition in the Chinese market, further room for profit margins to exceed market expectations is anticipated. Daiwa reiterated its "Buy" rating on Yum China and raised its target price from HK$450 to HK$520.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) clings to 98.000 despite a gloomy mood and a need for safe havens

Larissa Barlow

Apr 01, 2022 10:11

  • The US Dollar Index closed March with a 1.65% rise, boosted by a bearish market attitude.

  • A protracted confrontation between Russia and Ukraine could benefit safe-haven assets.

  • Money market futures have priced in a 69.9 percent possibility of the Fed raising interest rates by 50 basis points at its May meeting.

  • DXY Price Prediction: The bias is upward, but a breach below 97.802 might allow for additional losses.

 

The US Dollar Index, usually known as DXY, is a measure of the value of the US dollar versus a basket of six currencies. It closed March positively, with a monthly gain of 1.65 percent, its best since November of 2021. At the time of writing, the US Dollar Index was at 98.348.

 

On the last trading day of March, the market was in a bad mood. Failure to reach a significant settlement in the Russia-Ukraine crisis leaves investors on edge, enhancing the dollar's prospects. Furthermore, money market futures forecast the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 50 basis points at its May and June meetings, keeping the US dollar on the rise.

 

The US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE), the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of inflation, increased by 6.4 percent year on year in February, exceeding the previous 6 percent reading. Meanwhile, Core PCE, which excludes volatile items, increased by 5.4 percent year on year, exceeding the 5.5 percent predicted by analysts.

 

Simultaneously, the US Department of Labor released Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 26. The final result was 202K, which was more than the 197K predicted.

DXY Price Prediction: Technical Outlook

The US Dollar Index remains bullish, but is consolidating in the 97.800-99.418 zone. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages (DMAs) remain below the price with an upward slope, indicating that the uptrend is still in place.

 

On the upside, the DXY's first resistance level is 99.000. If the latter is breached, the YTD high of 99.418 will be revealed, followed by the crucial 100.00 barrier.

 

The DXY first support, on the other hand, would be 98.000. A definitive breach would reveal 97.802, which, if broken, would clear the road to 96.000, but it would encounter some obstacles on the way down. The 50-DMA at 97.196 would be the next level of support, followed by 96.000.


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