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December 13th - According to sources, trade negotiators from India and the EU are no longer optimistic that they can finalize a trade agreement by the end of this year. The sources say negotiations may now extend into next month, with both sides still hoping to reach an agreement to announce when European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen leads a delegation to New Delhi in January. The sticking points appear to be in sensitive sectors such as automobiles and steel. Some sources indicate that the EU wants India to increase its quota of approximately 80,000 vehicles that can be exported to India in exchange for reduced tariffs. Meanwhile, the Indian government is seeking to ease tariffs on some steel exports to the EU and wants flexibility regarding EU carbon tax regulations.On December 13, it was reported that on December 11 local time, the Venezuelan National Assembly approved the "Law on Support for Palestine and Humanity," which abolishes the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, marking Venezuelas decision to withdraw from the International Criminal Court.Intercontinental Exchange: In the week ending December 9, diesel speculators reduced their net long positions by 7,954 contracts to 58,578 contracts.On December 13th, a French presidential official stated on Friday that Ukraine, the United States, and European countries are still working to find a common ground to outline a peace agreement, including security guarantees for Kyiv, which could be submitted to Russia for consideration. The official told reporters at a press conference, "Our goal is to establish a solid common foundation for the negotiations. This common ground must unite Ukrainians, Americans, and Europeans. This should enable us to jointly propose a negotiating offer, a solid and lasting peace proposal that respects international law and Ukraines sovereign interests, a proposal that the US negotiators are willing to present to Russia." The official stated that there is currently no joint document, but the parties will negotiate through various phone calls and meetings in the coming days. He did not disclose whether Washington had set a deadline. He also revealed that a Ukraine meeting would not be held in Paris on Saturday.French presidential official: There is still no joint document between Ukraine, Europe, and the United States.

The AUD/USD is hovering around 0.7500 ahead of the US NFP and Caixin Manufacturing PMI

Drake Hampton

Apr 01, 2022 10:07

Tips

  • As investors anticipate the next set of US data, the AUD/USD is hanging around 0.7500.

  • The Caixin manufacturing PMI is expected to keep the Aussie bulls at bay.

  • Despite rising commodity prices, the Australian dollar has been a standout performer.

 

The AUD/USD pair has been trading in a band of 0.7456-0.7537 for the whole week as investors await the publication of US Nonfarm Payrolls and Caixin Manufacturing Purchase Managers Index (PMI) data.

 

The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI preliminary estimate is 49.7 points lower than the previous print of 50.4. Australia, being a big exporter to China, has a favorable association with the data provided above. Following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the Australian dollar has maintained a top performer in the forex market. Rising commodity prices have supported the antipodean against major currencies. Even a cease-fire between Russia and Ukraine will increase the drive aussie, as Europe's goal of independence from Russian oil will alter its reliance on the commodity-exporting currency for energy.

 

The US dollar index (DXY) has risen above 98.40 on gloomy market mood, as global equities fade amid dwindling hope about Russia-Ukraine peace talks. After being a value bet for market players, the DXY has sensed a sheer response buying near 97.70. Despite a slightly lower Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation rate of 5.4 percent vs the projection of 5.5 percent, Thursday's data set has given the dollar some support.

 

On Friday, the US docket will announce Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), which is predicted to be 490k, significantly lower than the previous figure of 678k. This will have a substantial impact on the Federal Reserve's eventual interest rate decision (Fed).


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